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PHỤ LỤC
KẾT QUẢ CHẠY MÔ HÌNH 1 (ĐẦU TƯ CÔNG VÀ TĂNG TRƯỞNG)
Phụ lục 1: Kiể tra tính dừng của biến LNGDP
Exogenous: Constant | ||||
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=12) | ||||
t-Statistic | Prob.* | |||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic | -11.17175 | 0.0000 | ||
Test critical values: | 1% level | -3.495021 | ||
5% level | -2.889753 | |||
10% level | -2.581890 | |||
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. | ||||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation | ||||
Dependent Variable: D(LNGDP) | ||||
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 03/29/20 Time: 16:40 | ||||
Sample (adjusted): 1994Q2 2019Q4 | ||||
Included observations: 103 after adjustments | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
LNGDP(-1) | -1.133523 | 0.101463 | -11.17175 | 0.0000 |
C | 14.67394 | 1.313514 | 11.17151 | 0.0000 |
R-squared | 0.552717 | Mean dependent var | 0.009136 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.548289 | S.D. dependent var | 0.711668 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.478308 | Akaike info criterion | 1.382103 | |
Sum squared resid | 23.10663 | Schwarz criterion | 1.433262 | |
Log likelihood | -69.17829 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | 1.402824 | |
F-statistic | 124.8080 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.919203 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 | |||
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Hạn Chế Của Luận Án Và Và Hướng Nghiên Cứu Tiếp Theo -
Kiể Tra Tính Dừng Của Biến Lnif -
Kiể Tra Tính Dừng Của Biến Inf -
Kết Quả Iể Định Unit Root Test Của Hình 1
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Phụ lục 2: Kiể tra tính dừng của biến LNIG
Exogenous: Constant | ||||
Lag Length: 12 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=12) | ||||
t-Statistic | Prob.* | |||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic | -0.226936 | 0.9301 | ||
Test critical values: | 1% level | -3.503879 | ||
5% level | -2.893589 | |||
10% level | -2.583931 | |||
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. | ||||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation | ||||
Dependent Variable: D(LNIG) | ||||
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 04/02/20 Time: 00:29 | ||||
Sample (adjusted): 1997Q2 2019Q4 | ||||
Included observations: 91 after adjustments | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
LNIG(-1) | -0.004545 | 0.020028 | -0.226936 | 0.8211 |
D(LNIG(-1)) | -0.060700 | 0.104358 | -0.581657 | 0.5625 |
D(LNIG(-2)) | -0.110247 | 0.104608 | -1.053904 | 0.2952 |
D(LNIG(-3)) | -0.093834 | 0.105805 | -0.886853 | 0.3779 |
D(LNIG(-4)) | 0.010558 | 0.115654 | 0.091292 | 0.9275 |
D(LNIG(-5)) | -0.083427 | 0.103778 | -0.803897 | 0.4239 |
D(LNIG(-6)) | -0.084991 | 0.104077 | -0.816613 | 0.4167 |
D(LNIG(-7)) | -0.084130 | 0.104464 | -0.805351 | 0.4231 |
D(LNIG(-8)) | 0.163337 | 0.109273 | 1.494756 | 0.1391 |
D(LNIG(-9)) | -0.094283 | 0.109227 | -0.863182 | 0.3907 |
D(LNIG(-10)) | -0.051654 | 0.109035 | -0.473741 | 0.6370 |
D(LNIG(-11)) | -0.062583 | 0.108806 | -0.575181 | 0.5668 |
D(LNIG(-12)) | 0.587475 | 0.153885 | 3.817624 | 0.0003 |
C | 0.080749 | 0.206335 | 0.391348 | 0.6966 |
R-squared | 0.792352 | Mean dependent var | 0.035262 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.757295 | S.D. dependent var | 0.263732 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.129928 | Akaike info criterion | -1.103040 | |
Sum squared resid | 1.299852 | Schwarz criterion | -0.716754 | |
64.18832 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -0.947198 | |
F-statistic | 22.60157 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.880842 |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 |
Exogenous: Constant | ||||
Lag Length: 7 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=8) | ||||
t-Statistic | Prob.* | |||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic | -3.208345 | 0.0225 | ||
Test critical values: | 1% level | -3.500669 | ||
5% level | -2.892200 | |||
10% level | -2.583192 | |||
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. | ||||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation | ||||
Dependent Variable: D(LNIG,2) | ||||
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 03/29/20 Time: 16:41 | ||||
Sample (adjusted): 1996Q2 2019Q4 | ||||
Included observations: 95 after adjustments | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
D(LNIG(-1)) | -1.332289 | 0.415257 | -3.208345 | 0.0019 |
D(LNIG(-1),2) | 0.189059 | 0.375247 | 0.503827 | 0.6157 |
D(LNIG(-2),2) | 0.020974 | 0.337705 | 0.062108 | 0.9506 |
D(LNIG(-3),2) | -0.173088 | 0.300414 | -0.576164 | 0.5660 |
D(LNIG(-4),2) | 0.095566 | 0.267417 | 0.357367 | 0.7217 |
D(LNIG(-5),2) | -0.075134 | 0.214910 | -0.349607 | 0.7275 |
D(LNIG(-6),2) | -0.208476 | 0.164318 | -1.268739 | 0.2080 |
D(LNIG(-7),2) | -0.360645 | 0.106038 | -3.401087 | 0.0010 |
C | 0.040516 | 0.019817 | 2.044440 | 0.0440 |
R-squared | 0.916745 | Mean dependent var | 0.002598 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.909000 | S.D. dependent var | 0.461486 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.139213 | Akaike info criterion | -1.015680 | |
Sum squared resid | 1.666701 | Schwarz criterion | -0.773733 | |
Log likelihood | 57.24479 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -0.917915 | |
118.3707 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.891910 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 |
Phụ lục 3: Kiể tra tính dừng của biến LNIP
Exogenous: Constant | ||||
Lag Length: 4 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=12) | ||||
t-Statistic | Prob.* | |||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic | 0.210760 | 0.9720 | ||
Test critical values: | 1% level | -3.497727 | ||
5% level | -2.890926 | |||
10% level | -2.582514 | |||
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values. | ||||
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation | ||||
Dependent Variable: D(LNIP) | ||||
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 04/02/20 Time: 00:29 | ||||
Sample (adjusted): 1995Q2 2019Q4 | ||||
Included observations: 99 after adjustments | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
LNIP(-1) | 0.002216 | 0.010516 | 0.210760 | 0.8335 |
D(LNIP(-1)) | -0.245086 | 0.082621 | -2.966370 | 0.0038 |
D(LNIP(-2)) | -0.198015 | 0.082392 | -2.403326 | 0.0182 |
D(LNIP(-3)) | -0.260179 | 0.083613 | -3.111707 | 0.0025 |
D(LNIP(-4)) | 0.639057 | 0.085305 | 7.491400 | 0.0000 |
C | 0.022646 | 0.102608 | 0.220701 | 0.8258 |
R-squared | 0.752535 | Mean dependent var | 0.045124 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.739230 | S.D. dependent var | 0.231802 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.118371 | Akaike info criterion | -1.371289 | |
Sum squared resid | 1.303094 | Schwarz criterion | -1.214009 | |
Log likelihood | 73.87882 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -1.307654 | |
F-statistic | 56.56206 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.852039 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 | |||