Phụ lục 3. Kết quả hồi quy kiểm định rủi ro đạo đức đối với KCB ngoại trú
3.1 Hồi quy OLS (KCB ngoại trú)
3.2 Các kiểm định đối với hồi quy OLS (KCB ngoại trú)
. vif
VIF | 1/VIF | |
Tuoi | 2.25 | 0.445006 |
GiaosuKysu | 2.11 | 0.474804 |
Daihoc | 1.99 | 0.502262 |
Huutri | 1.86 | 0.538312 |
DTKinh | 1.84 | 0.544583 |
Vung2 | 1.81 | 0.553004 |
lnthunhap | 1.64 | 0.607927 |
sdBHYTMP_NGT | 1.58 | 0.633372 |
Vung1 | 1.57 | 0.635916 |
THPT | 1.57 | 0.636334 |
dihoc | 1.56 | 0.641037 |
Vung3 | 1.48 | 0.673849 |
sdBHYTBB_NGT | 1.42 | 0.704062 |
Congnghiep | 1.40 | 0.714430 |
Vung5 | 1.38 | 0.722626 |
VPDV | 1.36 | 0.734976 |
ChuaKH | 1.35 | 0.738382 |
Thanhthi | 1.34 | 0.748320 |
THCS | 1.31 | 0.764294 |
Vung4 | 1.26 | 0.794335 |
Bangnghe | 1.24 | 0.805569 |
sdBHYTHSS~GT | 1.21 | 0.823989 |
thatnghiep | 1.17 | 0.852241 |
sdBHYTTN_NGT | 1.13 | 0.882447 |
DTHoa | 1.12 | 0.896318 |
tsnguoiHoGD | 1.11 | 0.897760 |
NhaLD | 1.11 | 0.904023 |
LDgiandon | 1.09 | 0.916708 |
GTNam | 1.07 | 0.934575 |
sdBHYTCN_NGT | 1.04 | 0.963356 |
SKKem | 1.03 | 0.969312 |
SKTot | 1.01 | 0.991596 |
Mean VIF | 1.42 |
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- Kết Quả Hồi Quy Đối Với Số Lần Kcb Nội Trú
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- Lựa chọn ngược và rủi ro đạo đức trong Bảo hiểm Y tế Việt Nam - 13
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. estat hettest
Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity Ho: Constant variance
Variables: fitted values of solanNGT
chi2(1) = 4301.81
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Number of obs | = | 9186 | |||
Wald chi2(32) | = | 895.72 | |||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 | |||
Log pseudolikelihood | = | -26499.093 | Pseudo R2 | = | 0.0891 |
Coef. | Robust Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
GTNam | -.0595385 | .0293575 | -2.03 | 0.043 | -.1170781 | -.0019988 |
Tuoi | .0054076 | .0011419 | 4.74 | 0.000 | .0031696 | .0076457 |
ChuaKH | -.13731 | .0504066 | -2.72 | 0.006 | -.236105 | -.038515 |
SKTot | -.1951636 | .0884899 | -2.21 | 0.027 | -.3686006 | -.0217265 |
SKKem | .1712615 | .0470253 | 3.64 | 0.000 | .0790935 | .2634295 |
tsnguoiHoGD | -.0063779 | .0082206 | -0.78 | 0.438 | -.0224901 | .0097342 |
lnthunhap | .0056654 | .0232159 | 0.24 | 0.807 | -.039837 | .0511678 |
Vung1 | -.6330909 | .0380367 | -16.64 | 0.000 | -.7076415 | -.5585403 |
Vung2 | -.7668265 | .047796 | -16.04 | 0.000 | -.8605049 | -.6731481 |
Vung3 | -.5637568 | .036564 | -15.42 | 0.000 | -.6354209 | -.4920927 |
Vung4 | -.5306166 | .0602903 | -8.80 | 0.000 | -.6487833 | -.4124498 |
Vung5 | -.2799774 | .0490487 | -5.71 | 0.000 | -.3761111 | -.1838437 |
Thanhthi | .0487543 | .0337687 | 1.44 | 0.149 | -.0174312 | .1149398 |
DTKinh | .118913 | .0612533 | 1.94 | 0.052 | -.0011413 | .2389673 |
DTHoa | -.0554862 | .1504637 | -0.37 | 0.712 | -.3503896 | .2394171 |
Daihoc | -.0126779 | .0665053 | -0.19 | 0.849 | -.1430258 | .11767 |
Bangnghe | .1241794 | .0938672 | 1.32 | 0.186 | -.0597968 | .3081557 |
THPT | -.0804924 | .0381814 | -2.11 | 0.035 | -.1553266 | -.0056581 |
THCS | -.0075633 | .0333941 | -0.23 | 0.821 | -.0730145 | .0578879 |
NhaLD | -.0900624 | .099345 | -0.91 | 0.365 | -.284775 | .1046502 |
GiaosuKysu | -.0024441 | .0619204 | -0.04 | 0.969 | -.1238059 | .1189177 |
VPDV | .0659081 | .0446155 | 1.48 | 0.140 | -.0215368 | .1533529 |
Congnghiep | -.092271 | .0411972 | -2.24 | 0.025 | -.1730161 | -.011526 |
LDgiandon | -.0922711 | .0807722 | -1.14 | 0.253 | -.2505818 | .0660395 |
Huutri | .0538445 | .0519339 | 1.04 | 0.300 | -.047944 | .155633 |
thatnghiep | .3193828 | .0679727 | 4.70 | 0.000 | .1861588 | .4526068 |
dihoc | -.0648277 | .0989843 | -0.65 | 0.513 | -.2588334 | .1291779 |
sdBHYTMP_NGT | .3062986 | .0464833 | 6.59 | 0.000 | .2151931 | .3974042 |
sdBHYTTN_NGT | .3310923 | .0392804 | 8.43 | 0.000 | .2541041 | .4080806 |
sdBHYTBB_NGT | .1280944 | .0426242 | 3.01 | 0.003 | .0445526 | .2116363 |
sdBHYTHSSV_NGT | .2152319 | .1515499 | 1.42 | 0.156 | -.0818005 | .5122643 |
sdBHYTCN_NGT | .1816962 | .0941208 | 1.93 | 0.054 | -.0027772 | .3661696 |
_cons | 1.132526 | .1888729 | 6.00 | 0.000 | .7623422 | 1.50271 |
. estat gof
= | 27117.23 | |
Prob > chi2(9153) | = | 0.0000 |
Pearson goodness-of-fit | = | 44230.58 |
Prob > chi2(9153) | = | 0.0000 |
Phụ lục 4. Kết quả hồi quy kiểm định rủi ro đạo đức đối với KCB nội trú
4.1 Hồi quy OLS
. reg solanNT GTNam Tuoi ChuaKH SKKem tsnguoiHoGD lnthunhap Vung1 Vung2 Vung3 Vung4 Vung5 Thanhthi
> suKysu VPDV Congnghiep LDgiandon Huutri thatnghiep dihoc sdBHYTMP_NT sdBHYTTN_NT sdBHYTBB_NT sdB
Source | SS | df | MS |
Model | 199.191861 | 31 | 6.42554389 |
Residual | 2897.82729 | 2109 | 1.37402906 |
Total | 3097.01915 | 2140 | 1.44720521 |
Number of obs | = | 2141 |
F( 31, 2109) | = | 4.68 |
Prob > F | = | 0.0000 |
R-squared | = | 0.0643 |
Adj R-squared | = | 0.0506 |
Root MSE | = | 1.1722 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | t | P>|t| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
GTNam | .0232805 | .057444 | 0.41 | 0.685 | -.0893723 | .1359333 |
Tuoi | .0043564 | .0023076 | 1.89 | 0.059 | -.0001691 | .0088819 |
ChuaKH | -.1362923 | .1249439 | -1.09 | 0.275 | -.3813184 | .1087339 |
SKKem | .2949398 | .0788916 | 3.74 | 0.000 | .1402264 | .4496533 |
tsnguoiHoGD | -.0482725 | .0158377 | -3.05 | 0.002 | -.0793316 | -.0172133 |
lnthunhap | .0852116 | .044649 | 1.91 | 0.056 | -.0023491 | .1727724 |
Vung1 | -.2000025 | .0876537 | -2.28 | 0.023 | -.3718992 | -.0281059 |
Vung2 | -.0519304 | .0956623 | -0.54 | 0.587 | -.2395328 | .1356719 |
Vung3 | -.0756004 | .0808302 | -0.94 | 0.350 | -.2341157 | .0829149 |
Vung4 | -.1275947 | .127015 | -1.00 | 0.315 | -.3766825 | .1214932 |
Vung5 | -.2394522 | .1134685 | -2.11 | 0.035 | -.461974 | -.0169303 |
Thanhthi | .0465857 | .0650373 | 0.72 | 0.474 | -.0809582 | .1741296 |
DTKinh | -.3014089 | .0924978 | -3.26 | 0.001 | -.4828053 | -.1200125 |
DTHoa | -.2500064 | .4284643 | -0.58 | 0.560 | -1.090263 | .5902505 |
Daihoc | .1089057 | .1543133 | 0.71 | 0.480 | -.1937165 | .4115279 |
Bangnghe | .0796353 | .2057407 | 0.39 | 0.699 | -.3238406 | .4831112 |
THPT | .1148792 | .0868115 | 1.32 | 0.186 | -.0553659 | .2851243 |
THCS | .1078864 | .0691499 | 1.56 | 0.119 | -.0277228 | .2434955 |
NhaLD | -.2779898 | .3463497 | -0.80 | 0.422 | -.9572125 | .4012329 |
GiaosuKysu | .0594752 | .1473121 | 0.40 | 0.686 | -.2294171 | .3483674 |
VPDV | .0434718 | .0989551 | 0.44 | 0.660 | -.1505879 | .2375315 |
Congnghiep | .0576453 | .0889485 | 0.65 | 0.517 | -.1167906 | .2320811 |
LDgiandon | .0981136 | .1648806 | 0.60 | 0.552 | -.225232 | .4214591 |
Huutri | .2259237 | .0937109 | 2.41 | 0.016 | .0421483 | .409699 |
thatnghiep | .4316477 | .1018932 | 4.24 | 0.000 | .2318261 | .6314693 |
dihoc | .7631649 | .2576808 | 2.96 | 0.003 | .2578298 | 1.2685 |
sdBHYTMP_NT | .1367061 | .0717382 | 1.91 | 0.057 | -.003979 | .2773911 |
sdBHYTTN_NT | -.0287464 | .0794292 | -0.36 | 0.717 | -.1845141 | .1270212 |
sdBHYTBB_NT | -.0205833 | .0946298 | -0.22 | 0.828 | -.2061608 | .1649941 |
sdBHYTHSSV_NT | -.6027685 | .240061 | -2.51 | 0.012 | -1.07355 | -.1319875 |
sdBHYTCN_NT | .062107 | .2339041 | 0.27 | 0.791 | -.3965997 | .5208138 |
_cons | .7346696 | .3410437 | 2.15 | 0.031 | .0658523 | 1.403487 |
. vif
VIF | 1/VIF | |
Tuoi | 3.06 | 0.326505 |
Vung2 | 2.38 | 0.420398 |
GiaosuKysu | 2.11 | 0.474465 |
Huutri | 2.01 | 0.498544 |
Vung1 | 1.98 | 0.504821 |
Vung3 | 1.98 | 0.505089 |
DTKinh | 1.95 | 0.512758 |
Daihoc | 1.92 | 0.521686 |
sdBHYTMP_NT | 1.69 | 0.590849 |
dihoc | 1.66 | 0.601066 |
lnthunhap | 1.65 | 0.605267 |
sdBHYTBB_NT | 1.65 | 0.606719 |
THPT | 1.61 | 0.619877 |
SKKem | 1.60 | 0.625240 |
ChuaKH | 1.52 | 0.659555 |
Vung5 | 1.42 | 0.704712 |
THCS | 1.41 | 0.711614 |
Congnghiep | 1.40 | 0.715734 |
Bangnghe | 1.39 | 0.721158 |
VPDV | 1.38 | 0.725507 |
Vung4 | 1.33 | 0.751891 |
sdBHYTHSS~NT | 1.32 | 0.756385 |
Thanhthi | 1.32 | 0.758429 |
thatnghiep | 1.30 | 0.768035 |
sdBHYTTN_NT | 1.25 | 0.800189 |
tsnguoiHoGD | 1.21 | 0.823187 |
GTNam | 1.20 | 0.835737 |
LDgiandon | 1.10 | 0.910963 |
DTHoa | 1.06 | 0.939080 |
sdBHYTCN_NT | 1.06 | 0.942038 |
NhaLD | 1.04 | 0.959900 |
Mean VIF | 1.58 |
. estat hettest
Breusch-Pagan / Cook-Weisberg test for heteroskedasticity Ho: Constant variance
Variables: fitted values of solanNT
chi2(1) = 1825.33
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Number of obs | = | 2141 | |
Wald chi2(31) | = | 204.31 | |
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 | |
Log pseudolikelihood = -2873.8908 | Pseudo R2 | = | 0.0238 |
Coef. | Robust Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
GTNam | .0161011 | .0414264 | 0.39 | 0.698 | -.0650931 | .0972954 |
Tuoi | .0030303 | .0015441 | 1.96 | 0.050 | 3.87e-06 | .0060568 |
ChuaKH | -.1017006 | .0591066 | -1.72 | 0.085 | -.2175475 | .0141462 |
SKKem | .2397392 | .0462528 | 5.18 | 0.000 | .1490853 | .3303931 |
tsnguoiHoGD | -.0337532 | .0090819 | -3.72 | 0.000 | -.0515534 | -.015953 |
lnthunhap | .0571439 | .0299566 | 1.91 | 0.056 | -.0015699 | .1158577 |
Vung1 | -.1407282 | .0623933 | -2.26 | 0.024 | -.2630169 | -.0184396 |
Vung2 | -.038587 | .0737799 | -0.52 | 0.601 | -.183193 | .106019 |
Vung3 | -.0514215 | .0585098 | -0.88 | 0.379 | -.1660985 | .0632556 |
Vung4 | -.0895385 | .0739562 | -1.21 | 0.226 | -.23449 | .0554131 |
Vung5 | -.1663104 | .0653437 | -2.55 | 0.011 | -.2943818 | -.0382391 |
Thanhthi | .0355598 | .0545499 | 0.65 | 0.514 | -.071356 | .1424756 |
DTKinh | -.208274 | .078102 | -2.67 | 0.008 | -.3613511 | -.055197 |
DTHoa | -.1576376 | .2188164 | -0.72 | 0.471 | -.5865098 | .2712346 |
Daihoc | .0682212 | .1621437 | 0.42 | 0.674 | -.2495745 | .386017 |
Bangnghe | .0519742 | .1168469 | 0.44 | 0.656 | -.1770416 | .2809899 |
THPT | .0773604 | .0651417 | 1.19 | 0.235 | -.050315 | .2050358 |
THCS | .0756986 | .0429544 | 1.76 | 0.078 | -.0084906 | .1598877 |
NhaLD | -.1958304 | .1078541 | -1.82 | 0.069 | -.4072206 | .0155599 |
GiaosuKysu | .0437816 | .1075335 | 0.41 | 0.684 | -.1669802 | .2545435 |
VPDV | .0254958 | .0585597 | 0.44 | 0.663 | -.0892791 | .1402707 |
Congnghiep | .033002 | .0515375 | 0.64 | 0.522 | -.0680097 | .1340136 |
LDgiandon | .0617945 | .0866851 | 0.71 | 0.476 | -.1081051 | .2316942 |
Huutri | .1422483 | .062968 | 2.26 | 0.024 | .0188332 | .2656634 |
thatnghiep | .2935538 | .0991926 | 2.96 | 0.003 | .0991398 | .4879678 |
dihoc | .529808 | .2449221 | 2.16 | 0.031 | .0497694 | 1.009847 |
sdBHYTMP_NT | .0873319 | .0530056 | 1.65 | 0.099 | -.0165572 | .1912209 |
sdBHYTTN_NT | -.0198149 | .0421713 | -0.47 | 0.638 | -.1024691 | .0628393 |
sdBHYTBB_NT | -.0166677 | .0613902 | -0.27 | 0.786 | -.1369903 | .1036548 |
sdBHYTHSSV_NT | -.4589395 | .1589357 | -2.89 | 0.004 | -.7704479 | -.1474312 |
sdBHYTCN_NT | .0469845 | .1006657 | 0.47 | 0.641 | -.1503167 | .2442856 |
_cons | -.1527026 | .2270291 | -0.67 | 0.501 | -.5976713 | .2922662 |
. estat gof
= | 1020.166 | |
Prob > chi2(2109) | = | 1.0000 |
Pearson goodness-of-fit | = | 1580.401 |
Prob > chi2(2109) | = | 1.0000 |
4.4 Hồi quy zero –truncated Poisson
Number of obs | = | 2141 | |
Truncation point: 0 | Wald chi2(31) | = | 134.94 |
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 | |
Log pseudolikelihood = -1889.4345 | Pseudo R2 | = | 0.2025 |
Coef. | Robust Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
GTNam | .0483552 | .1058969 | 0.46 | 0.648 | -.1591988 | .2559093 |
Tuoi | .0090278 | .0043107 | 2.09 | 0.036 | .000579 | .0174766 |
ChuaKH | -.355521 | .2091457 | -1.70 | 0.089 | -.7654391 | .054397 |
SKKem | 1.346506 | .2506258 | 5.37 | 0.000 | .8552882 | 1.837723 |
tsnguoiHoGD | -.098072 | .0256153 | -3.83 | 0.000 | -.1482771 | -.0478669 |
lnthunhap | .1570697 | .0789817 | 1.99 | 0.047 | .0022684 | .311871 |
Vung1 | -.4257181 | .1747464 | -2.44 | 0.015 | -.7682147 | -.0832215 |
Vung2 | -.1325213 | .1900837 | -0.70 | 0.486 | -.5050784 | .2400359 |
Vung3 | -.1426305 | .1525146 | -0.94 | 0.350 | -.4415537 | .1562926 |
Vung4 | -.2813753 | .2064777 | -1.36 | 0.173 | -.6860642 | .1233136 |
Vung5 | -.4946412 | .2002845 | -2.47 | 0.014 | -.8871916 | -.1020909 |
Thanhthi | .1246426 | .1498994 | 0.83 | 0.406 | -.1691548 | .41844 |
DTKinh | -.5917872 | .1848588 | -3.20 | 0.001 | -.9541039 | -.2294706 |
DTHoa | -.3334474 | .7070828 | -0.47 | 0.637 | -1.719304 | 1.052409 |
Daihoc | .1462831 | .4227461 | 0.35 | 0.729 | -.6822841 | .9748504 |
Bangnghe | .1351929 | .412273 | 0.33 | 0.743 | -.6728474 | .9432333 |
THPT | .2156022 | .1757108 | 1.23 | 0.220 | -.1287847 | .559989 |
THCS | .2300108 | .1254673 | 1.83 | 0.067 | -.0159007 | .4759222 |
NhaLD | -.6456663 | .44026 | -1.47 | 0.142 | -1.50856 | .2172275 |
GiaosuKysu | .1242929 | .3196272 | 0.39 | 0.697 | -.5021648 | .7507506 |
VPDV | .0177148 | .1967901 | 0.09 | 0.928 | -.3679867 | .4034163 |
Congnghiep | .0130888 | .1730405 | 0.08 | 0.940 | -.3260644 | .352242 |
LDgiandon | .1394313 | .2883924 | 0.48 | 0.629 | -.4258074 | .7046699 |
Huutri | .3385821 | .1411075 | 2.40 | 0.016 | .0620165 | .6151477 |
thatnghiep | .7938215 | .2113605 | 3.76 | 0.000 | .3795627 | 1.20808 |
dihoc | 1.505922 | .4825159 | 3.12 | 0.002 | .560208 | 2.451635 |
sdBHYTMP_NT | .2154755 | .1325459 | 1.63 | 0.104 | -.0443096 | .4752606 |
sdBHYTTN_NT | -.060889 | .1387932 | -0.44 | 0.661 | -.3329186 | .2111406 |
sdBHYTBB_NT | -.069742 | .1954044 | -0.36 | 0.721 | -.4527275 | .3132436 |
sdBHYTHSSV_NT | -1.958857 | .6192911 | -3.16 | 0.002 | -3.172646 | -.7450691 |
sdBHYTCN_NT | .1716979 | .2793103 | 0.61 | 0.539 | -.3757403 | .7191361 |
_cons | -2.405331 | .6378601 | -3.77 | 0.000 | -3.655514 | -1.155148 |