Các nhân tố ảnh hưởng đến lợi nhuận của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 11


Redundant Fixed Effects Tests




Equation: Untitled




Test cross-section fixed effects





Effects Test


Statistic


d.f.


Prob.


Cross-section F


2.556633


(7,32)


0.0328

Cross-section Chi-square

21.322251

7

0.0033


Cross-section fixed effects test


equation:



Dependent Variable: ROE




Method: Panel Least Squares




Date: 10/15/14 Time: 21:14




Sample: 2008 2013




Periods included: 6




Cross-sections included: 8




Total panel (balanced) observ

ations: 48



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Các nhân tố ảnh hưởng đến lợi nhuận của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 11


Tác giả dùng Likelihood Ratio Test để kiểm định xem dùng Fixed Effect Model tốt hơn hay dùng Pooled Regression Model tốt hơn. Ta có:

Giả thuyết H0: dùng Pooled regression tốt hơn. Giả thuyết H1: dùng Fixed Effect Model tốt hơn.

Khi đó

p-value = 0.0328 < mức ý nghĩa α = 0.05 (5%) -> Bác bỏ H0 Kết quả cho thấy dùng Fixed Effect Model sẽ thích hợp hơn.


Dependent Variable: ROA





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:08





Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


0.042821


0.028065


1.525802


0.1369

AS

-0.002197

0.001334

-1.647373

0.1093

CA

0.008036

0.017022

0.472102

0.6401

LA

-0.017566

0.011811

-1.487266

0.1467

DP

-0.017141

0.007590

-2.258419

0.0309

NIM

0.461471

0.099052

4.658896

0.0001

NII

0.737930

0.115567

6.385296

0.0000

GDP

0.227307

0.094340

2.409450

0.0219

INF

-0.018991

0.009489

-2.001328

0.0539



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.798090


Mean dependent var



0.012017

Adjusted R-squared

0.703445

S.D. dependent var


0.004220

S.E. of regression

0.002298

Akaike info criterion


-9.052483

Sum squared resid

0.000169

Schwarz criterion


-8.428750

Log likelihood

233.2596

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-8.816774

F-statistic

8.432448

Durbin-Watson stat


2.374818

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000





Dependent Variable: ROE





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:14

Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


0.582505


0.409871


1.421191


0.1649

AS

-0.025499

0.019475

-1.309287

0.1998

CA

-0.786676

0.248599

-3.164436

0.0034

LA

-0.499043

0.172492

-2.893132

0.0068

DP

-0.116699

0.110843

-1.052834

0.3003

NIM

6.227871

1.446589

4.305212

0.0001

NII

8.599735

1.687787

5.095272

0.0000

GDP

4.330837

1.377777

3.143351

0.0036

INF

-0.337520

0.138587

-2.435431

0.0206



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.789089


Mean dependent var



0.155555

Adjusted R-squared

0.690224

S.D. dependent var


0.060295

S.E. of regression

0.033559

Akaike info criterion


-3.689838

Sum squared resid

0.036038

Schwarz criterion


-3.066104

Log likelihood

104.5561

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-3.454128

F-statistic

7.981501

Durbin-Watson stat


2.477594

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000001





Dependent Variable: AS





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:44





Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


20.27345


0.983340


20.61692


0.0000

CA

-3.271355

2.147868

-1.523071

0.1373

LA

-0.932342

1.533239

-0.608087

0.5473

DP

-0.668618

0.983900

-0.679559

0.5015

NIM

12.14294

12.75624

0.951922

0.3481

NII

-29.34371

14.19501

-2.067185

0.0466

GDP

3.546451

12.29964

0.288338

0.7749

INF

-3.020322

1.121636

-2.692783

0.0110



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.850318


Mean dependent var



19.04792

Adjusted R-squared

0.786816

S.D. dependent var


0.649663

S.E. of regression

0.299961

Akaike info criterion


0.679980

Sum squared resid

2.969235

Schwarz criterion


1.264731

Log likelihood

-1.319531

Hannan-Quinn criter.


0.900958

F-statistic

13.39049

Durbin-Watson stat


1.129365

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000





Dependent Variable: CA





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:46





Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


0.336643


0.280959


1.198194


0.2394

AS

-0.020077

0.013182

-1.523071

0.1373

LA

-0.098084

0.119572

-0.820288

0.4179

DP

0.184837

0.070633

2.616884

0.0133

NIM

1.044284

0.996506

1.047946

0.3023

NII

1.524460

1.151667

1.323699

0.1947

GDP

0.529642

0.960351

0.551509

0.5850

INF

-0.047054

0.096697

-0.486612

0.6297



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.716445


Mean dependent var



0.083484

Adjusted R-squared

0.596149

S.D. dependent var


0.036978

S.E. of regression

0.023499

Akaike info criterion


-4.413413

Sum squared resid

0.018223

Schwarz criterion


-3.828663

Log likelihood

120.9219

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-4.192435

F-statistic

5.955678

Durbin-Watson stat


0.764172

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000013





Dependent Variable: LA





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:47





Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


0.349395


0.409142


0.853970


0.3993

AS

-0.011885

0.019545

-0.608087

0.5473

CA

-0.203731

0.248365

-0.820288

0.4179

DP

0.389915

0.088916

4.385221

0.0001

NIM

4.260922

1.257416

3.388632

0.0018

NII

1.027453

1.693883

0.606567

0.5483

GDP

1.919778

1.349681

1.422394

0.1643

INF

-0.521071

0.106459

-4.894594

0.0000



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.938056


Mean dependent var



0.522812

Adjusted R-squared

0.911777

S.D. dependent var


0.114022

S.E. of regression

0.033867

Akaike info criterion


-3.682435

Sum squared resid

0.037850

Schwarz criterion


-3.097685

Log likelihood

103.3784

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-3.461457

F-statistic

35.69572

Durbin-Watson stat


1.458458

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000





Dependent Variable: DP





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:49

Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


0.756732


0.630073


1.201022


0.2383

AS

-0.020641

0.030374

-0.679559

0.5015

CA

0.929761

0.355293

2.616884

0.0133

LA

0.944260

0.215328

4.385221

0.0001

NIM

-1.596110

2.254794

-0.707874

0.4840

NII

-1.726729

2.633548

-0.655666

0.5166

GDP

-5.185610

1.966489

-2.636989

0.0127

INF

0.286037

0.211878

1.350013

0.1862



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.800327


Mean dependent var



0.613114

Adjusted R-squared

0.715617

S.D. dependent var


0.098830

S.E. of regression

0.052704

Akaike info criterion


-2.797962

Sum squared resid

0.091663

Schwarz criterion


-2.213212

Log likelihood

82.15108

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-2.576984

F-statistic

9.447852

Durbin-Watson stat


1.955265

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000





Dependent Variable: NIM





Method: Panel Least Squares

Date: 8/15/14 Time: 21:50





Sample: 2008 2013





Periods included: 6





Cross-sections included: 8





Total panel (balanced) observations: 48


Variable


Coefficient


Std. Error


t-Statistic


Prob.


C


-0.031516


0.049016


-0.642970


0.5247

AS

0.002201

0.002312

0.951922

0.3481

CA

0.030841

0.029430

1.047946

0.3023

LA

0.060583

0.017878

3.388632

0.0018

DP

-0.009371

0.013238

-0.707874

0.4840

NII

-0.603634

0.173807

-3.473006

0.0015

GDP

-0.211178

0.161670

-1.306224

0.2005

INF

0.057656

0.013319

4.328876

0.0001



Effects Specification




Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)





R-squared


0.741778


Mean dependent var



0.028971

Adjusted R-squared

0.632229

S.D. dependent var


0.006659

S.E. of regression

0.004038

Akaike info criterion


-7.935657

Sum squared resid

0.000538

Schwarz criterion


-7.350906

Log likelihood

205.4558

Hannan-Quinn criter.


-7.714679

F-statistic

6.771201

Durbin-Watson stat


1.239725

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000003




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