RANDOM EFFECTS MODEL
Number of obs | = | 216 | ||||||
Group variable: id | Number of groups | = | 24 | |||||
R-sq: within | = | 0.4378 | Obs | per | group: | min | = | 9 |
between | = | 0.0122 | avg | = | 9.0 | |||
overall | = | 0.1549 | max | = | 9 | |||
Wald chi2(7) | = | 130.03 | ||||||
corr(u_i, X) | = | 0 (assumed) | Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
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Xem toàn bộ 169 trang tài liệu này.
Coef. | Std. Err. | z P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |||
size | .0421577 | .0392833 | 1.07 0.283 | -.0348362 | .1191516 | ||
eqta | 2.706427 | .300044 | 9.02 0.000 | 2.118351 | 3.294502 | ||
ltd | .279093 | .0920575 | 3.03 0.002 | .0986636 | .4595223 | ||
roe | .5815009 | .2372322 | 2.45 0.014 | .1165342 | 1.046467 | ||
gdp | -3.173713 | 3.420091 | -0.93 0.353 | -9.876967 | 3.529542 | ||
inf | -.8791251 | .3070083 | -2.86 0.004 | -1.48085 | -.2773999 | ||
cre | .0220949 | .0251745 | 0.88 0.380 | -.0272461 | .0714359 | ||
_cons | 2.051852 | .7426391 | 2.76 0.006 | .5963056 | 3.507397 | ||
sigma_u | .26361028 | ||||||
sigma_e | .22707848 | ||||||
rho | .57403965 | (fraction | of | variance due | to | u_i) |
HAUSMAN TEST
Coefficients
(b) fe1 | (B) . | (b-B) Difference | sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E. | |
SIZE | -.1533421 | -.0582665 | -.0950756 | .0914387 |
EQTA | 2.784412 | 2.394527 | .3898853 | .433441 |
LTD | .3598966 | .359359 | .0005377 | .0713883 |
ROE | -1.001225 | -1.037827 | .0366015 | .2440212 |
GDP | 5.068301 | 2.212541 | 2.85576 | 2.257929 |
INF | -1.323078 | -.9815084 | -.3415694 | .3590954 |
CRE | -1.072158 | -.761137 | -.3110206 | .2800944 |
b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg
Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic
chi2(7) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)
= 3.75
Prob>chi2 = 0.8086
MODIFIED WALD TEST
Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects
lnz[id,t] = Xb + u[id] + e[id,t]
Estimated results:
Var sd = sqrt(Var)
lnz .220037 .469081
e .0515631 .2270751
u .06949 .2636096
Test: Var(u) = 0
chibar2(01) = 261.37 Prob > chibar2 = 0.0000
WOOLDRIDGE TEST
Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation
F( 1, 23) = 14.875
Prob > F = 0.0008
Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression
Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: heteroskedastic Correlation: no autocorrelation
covariances | = | 24 | Number of obs | = | 216 | |
Estimated | autocorrelations | = | 0 | Number of groups | = | 24 |
Estimated | coefficients | = | 8 | Time periods | = | 9 |
Wald chi2(7) | = | 62.32 | ||||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
size | .0182613 | .0239508 | 0.76 | 0.446 | -.0286814 | .0652041 |
eqta | 2.464614 | .5302192 | 4.65 | 0.000 | 1.425403 | 3.503824 |
ltd | .3385358 | .0857626 | 3.95 | 0.000 | .1704441 | .5066274 |
roe | .7097366 | .4222151 | 1.68 | 0.093 | -.1177898 | 1.537263 |
gdp | -3.688005 | 3.682989 | -1.00 | 0.317 | -10.90653 | 3.53052 |
inf | -.9334238 | .3443416 | -2.71 | 0.007 | -1.608321 | -.2585268 |
cre | -.1158166 | .0728402 | -1.59 | 0.112 | -.2585808 | .0269476 |
_cons | 2.57371 | .5295018 | 4.86 | 0.000 | 1.535905 | 3.611514 |
.
covariances | = | 24 | Number of obs | = | 216 | |
Estimated | autocorrelations | = | 0 | Number of groups | = | 24 |
Estimated | coefficients | = | 9 | Time periods | = | 9 |
Wald chi2(8) | = | 85.73 | ||||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
size | .0419644 | .0249983 | 1.68 | 0.093 | -.0070314 | .0909602 |
eqta | 4.262651 | .9049482 | 4.71 | 0.000 | 2.488985 | 6.036317 |
eqta2 | -2.851388 | 1.552827 | -1.84 | 0.066 | -5.894873 | .1920966 |
ltd | .3071051 | .0821945 | 3.74 | 0.000 | .1460068 | .4682034 |
roe | .7808059 | .4114113 | 1.90 | 0.058 | -.0255455 | 1.587157 |
gdp | -3.328564 | 3.577966 | -0.93 | 0.352 | -10.34125 | 3.684121 |
inf | -.8714559 | .3351736 | -2.60 | 0.009 | -1.528384 | -.2145277 |
cre | -.1205175 | .0713157 | -1.69 | 0.091 | -.2602937 | .0192587 |
_cons | 1.990378 | .5624984 | 3.54 | 0.000 | .8879015 | 3.092855 |
.
covariances | = | 24 | Number of obs | = | 216 | |
Estimated | autocorrelations | = | 0 | Number of groups | = | 24 |
Estimated | coefficients | = | 10 | Time periods | = | 9 |
Wald chi2(9) | = | 96.01 | ||||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
size | .030254 | .0251462 | 1.20 | 0.229 | -.0190317 | .0795397 |
eqta | 4.072566 | .8997567 | 4.53 | 0.000 | 2.309075 | 5.836056 |
eqta2 | -2.497539 | 1.560521 | -1.60 | 0.109 | -5.556103 | .5610254 |
ltd | .3348959 | .0817167 | 4.10 | 0.000 | .1747342 | .4950576 |
roe | .9120701 | .4097033 | 2.23 | 0.026 | .1090663 | 1.715074 |
gdp | -8.03854 | 4.047036 | -1.99 | 0.047 | -15.97059 | -.1064944 |
inf | -.6649901 | .3399631 | -1.96 | 0.050 | -1.331306 | .0013253 |
cre | -.0693354 | .0743565 | -0.93 | 0.351 | -.2150715 | .0764007 |
khunghoang | -.1537518 | .0619094 | -2.48 | 0.013 | -.275092 | -.0324117 |
_cons | 2.461848 | .5896103 | 4.18 | 0.000 | 1.306233 | 3.617463 |
.
covariances | = | 24 | Number of obs | = | 216 | |
Estimated | autocorrelations | = | 0 | Number of groups | = | 24 |
Estimated | coefficients | = | 10 | Time periods | = | 9 |
Wald chi2(9) | = | 102.81 | ||||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
size | .0425786 | .0247657 | 1.72 | 0.086 | -.0059612 | .0911184 |
eqta | 4.568761 | .8960716 | 5.10 | 0.000 | 2.812493 | 6.325029 |
eqta2 | -1.729014 | 1.611795 | -1.07 | 0.283 | -4.888073 | 1.430045 |
ltd | .3538981 | .0820256 | 4.31 | 0.000 | .193131 | .5146653 |
roe | .7877247 | .4069262 | 1.94 | 0.053 | -.009836 | 1.585285 |
gdp | -6.752806 | 3.775256 | -1.79 | 0.074 | -14.15217 | .6465601 |
inf | -.6729156 | .3367356 | -2.00 | 0.046 | -1.332905 | -.012926 |
cre | -.0646742 | .0740766 | -0.87 | 0.383 | -.2098618 | .0805133 |
khunghoangeqta | -1.13509 | .4127006 | -2.75 | 0.006 | -1.943968 | -.3262117 |
_cons | 2.090462 | .5578487 | 3.75 | 0.000 | .9970984 | 3.183825 |
.
FIXED EFFECTS MODEL
roe | gdp | npl inf, | fe | |||
Fixed-effects (within) regression | Number | of obs | = | 216 | ||
Group variable: id | Number | of groups | = | 24 | ||
R-sq: within = 0.3442 | Obs per | group: min | = | 9 | ||
between = 0.0317 | avg | = | 9.0 | |||
overall = 0.0015 | max | = | 9 | |||
F(8,184 | ) | = | 12.07 | |||
corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.4926 | Prob > | F | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | t P>|t| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |||
banksize | -.1650859 | .0418999 | -3.94 0.000 | -.2477518 | -.08242 | ||
llp | -.0134528 | .2016315 | -0.07 0.947 | -.4112597 | .3843541 | ||
loanta | -.1356525 | .2044858 | -0.66 0.508 | -.5390909 | .2677859 | ||
cir | -1.13897 | .3998413 | -2.85 0.005 | -1.927833 | -.3501069 | ||
roe | .4476776 | .3110988 | 1.44 0.152 | -.1661019 | 1.061457 | ||
gdp | -5.012935 | 3.86494 | -1.30 0.196 | -12.63823 | 2.612362 | ||
npl | -4.148806 | 1.874085 | -2.21 0.028 | -7.846266 | -.4513473 | ||
inf | -1.110172 | .3311887 | -3.35 0.001 | -1.763587 | -.4567562 | ||
_cons | 7.561158 | .6834501 | 11.06 0.000 | 6.212751 | 8.909564 | ||
sigma_u | .55489279 | ||||||
sigma_e | .23584174 | ||||||
rho | .84699548 | (fraction | of | variance due | to | u_i) |
F test that all u_i=0: F(23, 184) = 23.96 Prob > F = 0.0000
. xttest3
Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity in fixed effect regression model
H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i
chi2 (24) = 316.38
Prob>chi2 = 0.0000
. xtserial lnz banksize llp loanta cir roe gdp npl inf
Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation
F( 1, 23) = 36.085
Prob > F = 0.0000
PHƯƠNG PHÁP BÌNH PHƯƠNG TỐI THIỂU TỔNG QUÁT KHẢ THI
. xtgls lnz banksize llp loanta cir roe gdp npl inf, cor(ar1) panels(hetero)
Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression
Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: heteroskedastic
Correlation: common AR(1) coefficient for all panels (0.7803)
covariances | = | 24 | Number of obs | = | 216 | |
Estimated | autocorrelations | = | 1 | Number of groups | = | 24 |
Estimated | coefficients | = | 9 | Time periods | = | 9 |
Wald chi2(8) | = | 60.63 | ||||
Prob > chi2 | = | 0.0000 |
Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P>|z| | [95% Conf. | Interval] | |
banksize | -.1032217 | .0308784 | -3.34 | 0.001 | -.1637423 | -.042701 |
llp | -.0112449 | .0867974 | -0.13 | 0.897 | -.1813647 | .158875 |
loanta | .2536402 | .1874519 | 1.35 | 0.176 | -.1137588 | .6210393 |
cir | .1321644 | .2470444 | 0.53 | 0.593 | -.3520337 | .6163625 |
roe | .9313156 | .3104374 | 3.00 | 0.003 | .3228695 | 1.539762 |
gdp | -7.680243 | 2.605883 | -2.95 | 0.003 | -12.78768 | -2.572807 |
npl | -4.836314 | 1.295788 | -3.73 | 0.000 | -7.376012 | -2.296617 |
inf | -.2859408 | .2125008 | -1.35 | 0.178 | -.7024347 | .1305531 |
_cons | 5.253815 | .5874777 | 8.94 | 0.000 | 4.10238 | 6.405251 |
PHƯƠNG PHÁP GMM