Nghiên cứu dự báo phân bổ nhu cầu đi lại theo phương thức vận tải trong các đô thị Việt Nam

Pr(choice = XEDAP|1 selected) = .01975975

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

variable | dp/dx Std. Err. z P>|z| [ 95% C.I. ] X

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

casevars |

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phụ lục 4g. Đối với phương thức xe đạp

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

TGT		\|
	DIBO	\|	2.5e-06	3.6e-07	6.88	0.000	1.8e-06	3.2e-06	79.401
	KHAC	\|	.000021	2.7e-06	7.74	0.000	.000016	.000027	22.86
	METRO	\|	.000581	.000043	13.55	0.000	.000497	.000664	9.8254
	OTO	\|	.000014	1.9e-06	7.28	0.000	.00001	.000018	22.863
	TAXI	\|	.000016	2.2e-06	7.39	0.000	.000012	.00002	22.863
	XEBUS	\|	.000055	5.5e-06	9.89	0.000	.000044	.000065	22.781
	XEDAP	\|	-.002264	.000165	-13.75	0.000	-.002587	-.001941	28.647
	XEMAY	\|	.001575	.000116	13.60	0.000	.001348	.001802	17.313
	XEOM	\|	8.0e-07	3.2e-07	2.49	0.013	1.7e-07	1.4e-06	17.172
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
TGN		\|
	DIBO	\|	.000027	4.7e-06	5.75	0.000	.000018	.000036	0
	KHAC	\|	.000232	.000032	7.19	0.000	.000169	.000295	.00362
	METRO	\|	.006342	.000572	11.09	0.000	.005221	.007462	10
	OTO	\|	.000151	.000022	6.81	0.000	.000108	.000195	0
	TAXI	\|	.000177	.000026	6.88	0.000	.000126	.000227	.000402
	XEBUS	\|	.000595	.000064	9.28	0.000	.00047	.000721	29.904
	XEDAP	\|	-.024733	.002181	-11.34	0.000	-.029008	-.020458	0
	XEMAY	\|	.0172	.001524	11.29	0.000	.014214	.020187	0
	XEOM	\|	8.7e-06	3.5e-06	2.47	0.014	1.8e-06	.000016	0
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
CP		\|
	DIBO	\|	8.3e-07	1.5e-07	5.54	0.000	5.4e-07	1.1e-06	0
	KHAC	\|	7.2e-06	1.0e-06	7.00	0.000	5.2e-06	9.2e-06	.1096
	METRO	\|	.000197	.000019	10.61	0.000	.000161	.000234	13.84
	OTO	\|	4.7e-06	7.0e-07	6.73	0.000	3.3e-06	6.1e-06	10.213
	TAXI	\|	5.5e-06	5.8e-07	9.44	0.000	4.4e-06	6.6e-06	85.596
	XEBUS	\|	.000019	2.2e-06	8.45	0.000	.000014	.000023	4.5338
	XEDAP	\|	-.000769	.000071	-10.77	0.000	-.000909	-.000629	.14245
	XEMAY	\|	.000535	.00005	10.67	0.000	.000436	.000633	3.8608
	XEOM	\|	2.7e-07	1.1e-07	2.50	0.012	5.9e-08	4.8e-07	57.137
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
CT		\|
	DIBO	\|	.000127	.000034	3.75	0.000	.000061	.000194	0
	KHAC	\|	.001101	.000277	3.97	0.000	.000558	.001644	.0001
	METRO	\|	.030083	.006757	4.45	0.000	.016839	.043327	.01011
	OTO	\|	.000717	.000182	3.94	0.000	.00036	.001074	.006241
	TAXI	\|	.000838	.000198	4.24	0.000	.000451	.001225	.052435
	XEBUS	\|	.002825	.000672	4.20	0.000	.001508	.004142	.002525
	XEDAP	\|	-.117324	.026484	-4.43	0.000	-.169232	-.065416	.000228
	XEMAY	\|	.081592	.018492	4.41	0.000	.045349	.117835	.002336
	XEOM	\|	.000041	.000019	2.24	0.025	5.2e-06	.000078	.034921

Có thể bạn quan tâm!

Phiếu Điều Tra Các Nhân Tố Ảnh Hưởng Tới Quyết Định Lựa Chọn Phương Thức Vận Tải
Thang Đo Cho Nhóm Biến Liên Quan Tới Chất Lượng Của Phương Thức Vận Tải Hay Phương Tiện Đi Lại (Cl)
Kết Quả Phân Tích Ảnh Hưởng Cận Biên Của Mô Hình Mh Metro
Nghiên cứu dự báo phân bổ nhu cầu đi lại theo phương thức vận tải trong các đô thị Việt Nam - 25

Xem toàn bộ 203 trang tài liệu này.

TN | -9.0e-06

4.3e-07 -21.15	0.000 -9.9e-06 -8.2e-06	4994.9
CH \| .018565	.0036 5.16	0.000 .011509 .025621	.87759

Pr(choice = XEMAY|1 selected) = .68169707

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

variable | dp/dx Std. Err. z P>|z| [ 95% C.I. ] X

Phụ lục 4h. Đối với phương thức xe máy

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

TGT		\|
	DIBO	\|	.000085	9.8e-06	8.67	0.000	.000066	.000104	79.401
	KHAC	\|	.000733	.00008	9.19	0.000	.000577	.000889	22.86
	METRO	\|	.020028	.00054	37.07	0.000	.018969	.021087	9.8254
	OTO	\|	.000477	.000057	8.45	0.000	.000367	.000588	22.863
	TAXI	\|	.000558	.000066	8.43	0.000	.000428	.000688	22.863
	XEBUS	\|	.001881	.000138	13.61	0.000	.00161	.002151	22.781
	XEDAP	\|	.001575	.000116	13.60	0.000	.001348	.001802	28.647
	XEMAY	\|	-.025364	.000622	-40.76	0.000	-.026583	-.024144	17.313
	XEOM	\|	.000028	.000011	2.52	0.012	6.1e-06	.000049	17.172
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
TGN		\|
	DIBO	\|	.000925	.000137	6.78	0.000	.000658	.001193	0
	KHAC	\|	.008007	.000943	8.49	0.000	.00616	.009855	.00362
	METRO	\|	.218785	.011594	18.87	0.000	.196061	.241509	10
	OTO	\|	.005216	.000663	7.87	0.000	.003917	.006515	0
	TAXI	\|	.006095	.000777	7.85	0.000	.004572	.007617	.000402
	XEBUS	\|	.020543	.001615	12.72	0.000	.017377	.023709	29.904
	XEDAP	\|	.0172	.001524	11.29	0.000	.014214	.020187	0
	XEMAY	\|	-.277073	.014213	-19.49	0.000	-.304929	-.249217	0
	XEOM	\|	.000302	.00012	2.51	0.012	.000066	.000537	0
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
CP		\|
	DIBO	\|	.000029	4.5e-06	6.46	0.000	.00002	.000037	0
	KHAC	\|	.000249	.00003	8.24	0.000	.00019	.000308	.1096
	METRO	\|	.006801	.000395	17.23	0.000	.006027	.007574	13.84
	OTO	\|	.000162	.000021	7.80	0.000	.000121	.000203	10.213
	TAXI	\|	.000189	.000015	12.73	0.000	.00016	.000219	85.596
	XEBUS	\|	.000639	.000058	10.94	0.000	.000524	.000753	4.5338
	XEDAP	\|	.000535	.00005	10.67	0.000	.000436	.000633	.14245
	XEMAY	\|	-.008613	.00048	-17.95	0.000	-.009553	-.007672	3.8608
	XEOM	\|	9.4e-06	3.7e-06	2.54	0.011	2.1e-06	.000017	57.137
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------
CT		\|
	DIBO	\|	.004389	.001083	4.05	0.000	.002266	.006512	0
	KHAC	\|	.037984	.009005	4.22	0.000	.020335	.055633	.0001
	METRO	\|	1.03784	.216164	4.80	0.000	.614162	1.46151	.01011
	OTO	\|	.024743	.005922	4.18	0.000	.013136	.036351	.006241
	TAXI	\|	.02891	.006397	4.52	0.000	.016372	.041448	.052435
	XEBUS	\|	.097449	.021657	4.50	0.000	.055003	.139895	.002525
	XEDAP	\|	.081592	.018492	4.41	0.000	.045349	.117835	.000228
	XEMAY	\|	-1.31433	.273995	-4.80	0.000	-1.85135	-.777313	.002336
	XEOM	\|	.001431	.000627	2.28	0.023	.000201	.00266	.034921
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------- casevars \|
TN \| 9.1e-06				1.7e-06	5.50	0.000	5.9e-06	.000012	4994.9
CH \| .109858				.018461	5.95	0.000	.073675	.146041	.87759
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phụ lục 4i. Đối với phương thức xe ôm

Pr(choice = XEOM|1 selected) = .00034644

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

variable | dp/dx Std. Err. z P>|z| [ 95% C.I. ] X

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------- TGT |

DIBO | 4.3e-08 . . . . . 79.401

KHAC | 3.7e-07 . . . . . 22.86

METRO | .00001 . . . . . 9.8254

OTO | 2.4e-07 . . . . . 22.863

TAXI | 2.8e-07 . . . . . 22.863

XEBUS | 9.6e-07 . . . . . 22.781

XEDAP | 8.0e-07 . . . . . 28.647

XEMAY | .000028 . . . . . 17.313

XEOM | -.00004 . . . . . 17.172

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------- TGN |

DIBO | 4.7e-07 . . . . . 0

KHAC | 4.1e-06 00362

METRO | .000111 . . . . . 10

OTO | 2.7e-06 . . . . . 0

TAXI | 3.1e-06 000402

XEBUS | .00001 . . . . . 29.904

XEDAP | 8.7e-06 . . . . . 0

XEMAY | .000302 . . . . . 0

XEOM | -.000442 . . . . . 0

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

CP |

DIBO | 1.5e-08 . . . . . 0

KHAC | 1.3e-07 1096

METRO | 3.5e-06 . . . . . 13.84

OTO | 8.2e-08 . . . . . 10.213

TAXI | 9.6e-08 . . . . . 85.596

XEBUS | 3.2e-07 . . . . . 4.5338

XEDAP | 2.7e-07 . . . . . .14245

XEMAY | 9.4e-06 . . . . . 3.8608

XEOM | -.000014 . . . . . 57.137

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

CT |

DIBO | 2.2e-06 . . . . . 0

KHAC | .000019 0001

METRO | .000527 01011

OTO | .000013 . . . . . .006241 TAXI | .000015 . . . . . .052435 XEBUS | .00005 . . . . . .002525 XEDAP | .000041 000228

XEMAY | .001431 . . . . . .002336 XEOM | -.002098 . . . . . .034921

-------------+-----------------------------------------------------------------

casevars |

TN | -7.5e-08 . . . . . 4994.9

CH | -.001585 . . . . . .87759

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phụ lục 5a. Công thức tính xác suất lựa chọn phương thức vận tải theo mô hình MH5 (đơn vị: %)

Xác suất chọn đi bộ:

𝑝𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂

= 𝑒3,960927−2,345925𝐶𝐻−1,86.10−5𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒3,960927−2,345925𝐶𝐻−1,86.10−5𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒43,5422−1,961617𝐶𝐻−1,344.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇 +

𝑒−0,5753208+1,040565𝐶𝐻−4,381.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

𝑒−0,6394166−4,781718𝐶𝐻−3,077.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀 +

𝑒−2,85582+0,1419767𝐶𝐻−1,332.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶 )

Xác suất chọn phương thức khác:

𝑝𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶

= 𝑒−2,85582+0,1419767𝐶𝐻−1,332.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn ô tô:

𝑝𝑂𝑇𝑂

= 𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn TAXI:

𝑝𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 = 𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 / (𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn xe buýt:

𝑝𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇 =

𝑒43,5422−1,961617𝐶𝐻−1,344.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇 / (𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn xe đạp:

𝑝𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃 =

𝑒−0,5753208+1,040565𝐶𝐻−4,381.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn xe máy:

𝑝𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 = 𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Xác suất chọn xe ôm:

𝑝𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀

= 𝑒−0,6394166−4,781718𝐶𝐻−3,077.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀 /

(𝑒−9,067827+3,511957𝐶𝐻+3,71.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒0,6284157−2,417663𝐶𝐻+9,68.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−0.181658𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,451482𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,063868𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−11,24384𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

Phụ lục 5b. Công thức tính xác suất lựa chọn phương thức vận tải theo mô hình MHMETRO (đơn vị: %)

Xác suất chọn đi bộ:

𝑝𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂

= 𝑒2,966935−2,516121𝐶𝐻−2,65.10−5𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂 /

(𝑒−7,533833+3,017437𝐶𝐻+2,155.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

𝑒2,966935−2,516121𝐶𝐻−2,65.10−5𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝐷𝐼𝐵𝑂 +

𝑒−2,894652+0,920553𝐶𝐻−2,004.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶 +

𝑒11,75996−0,499287𝐶𝐻+3,51.10−6𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑀𝐸𝑇𝑅𝑂−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑀𝐸𝑇𝑅𝑂−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑀𝐸𝑇𝑅𝑂−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑀𝐸𝑇𝑅𝑂 +

𝑒1,293522−2,242785𝐶𝐻+5,87.10−5𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑇𝐴𝑋𝐼 +

𝑒−38,34651−2,116661𝐶𝐻−2,002.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐵𝑈𝑌𝑇 +

𝑒−0,7091006+0,7784058𝐶𝐻−4,706.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝐷𝐴𝑃 +

𝑒−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑀𝐴𝑌 +

𝑒0,0113391−4,736579𝐶𝐻−2,29.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑋𝐸𝑂𝑀 )

Xác suất chọn phương thức khác:

𝑝𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶

= 𝑒−2,894652+0,920553𝐶𝐻−2,004.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝐾𝐻𝐴𝐶 /

(𝑒−7,533833+3,017437𝐶𝐻+2,155.10−4𝑇𝑁−0.1168913𝑇𝐺𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂−1,276916𝑇𝐺𝑁𝑂𝑇𝑂−0,0396926𝐶𝑃𝑂𝑇𝑂−6,05722𝐶𝑇𝑂𝑇𝑂 +

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Ngày đăng: 09/06/2022