Nghiên cứu tác động của dịch vụ ngân hàng quốc tế đến hiệu quả hoạt động của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 25



KIỂM ĐỊNH HAUSMAN

Coefficients


(b) fe

(B)

.

(b-B)

Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E.

cvnt

-.0002554

-.0126792

.0124238

.0126326

tsnnt

.2216493

.1150312

.1066181

.0507208

vcsh

.100462

.1588311

-.0583691

.0404004

qmts

.0270024

.0202788

.0067236

.0076214

cv

-.0437124

-.0695559

.0258435

.0313031

vhdcv

.0126838

.0068475

.0058364

.0047335

ttkt

-1.987262

-1.544875

-.4423868

.2942216

lp

.0068559

-.0273097

.0341656

.0399052

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Nghiên cứu tác động của dịch vụ ngân hàng quốc tế đến hiệu quả hoạt động của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 25

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg


Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic


chi2(8) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 9.67

Prob>chi2 = 0.2888

(V_b-V_B is not positive definite)


KIỂM ĐỊNH BREUSCH-PAGAN LAGRANGIAN

Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects


hqktt[bank,t] = Xb + u[bank] + e[bank,t]


Estimated results:

Var sd = sqrt(Var)


hqktt .0045186 .0672209

e .0027546 .0524847

u .0013903 .0372873


Test: Var(u) = 0

chi2(1) = 40.35

Prob > chi2 = 0.0000


KIỂM ĐỊNH WOOLDRIDGE

Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 36) = 10.724

Prob > F = 0.0023

MÔ HÌNH FGLS VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKTT

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression


Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: heteroskedastic

Correlation: common AR(1) coefficient for all panels (0.4936)


Estimated covariances

=

38

Number of obs

=

242

Estimated autocorrelations

=

1

Number of groups

=

38

Estimated coefficients

=

9

Obs per group: min

=

2


avg

=

6.368421

max

=

7

Wald chi2(8)

=

39.09

Prob > chi2

=

0.0000



hqktt

Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0004067

.0167505

-0.02

0.981

-.033237

.0324236

tsnnt

.0671865

.0327671

2.05

0.040

.0029642

.1314089

vcsh

.1634918

.0519448

3.15

0.002

.0616818

.2653018

qmts

.0182934

.004281

4.27

0.000

.0099028

.0266839

cv

-.0320864

.0331425

-0.97

0.333

-.0970444

.0328717

vhdcv

.0059352

.0092168

0.64

0.520

-.0121293

.0239998

ttkt

-.8488412

.5445592

-1.56

0.119

-1.916158

.2184753

lp

-.0017012

.039563

-0.04

0.966

-.0792432

.0758409

_cons

.66676

.0768905

8.67

0.000

.5160574

.8174627


PHỤ LỤC 12

MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY VÀ PHƯƠNG PHÁP KIỂM ĐỊNH ĐỐI VỚI TOÀN BỘ CÁC NGÂN HÀNG NGHIÊN CỨU VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQQM

MÔ HÌNH POOLED VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQQM


Source

SS

df

MS

Model

.057208422

8

.007151053

Residual

.553755128

233

.002376631

Total

.61096355

241

.002535118

Number of obs

=

242

F( 8, 233)

=

3.01

Prob > F

=

0.0031

R-squared

=

0.0936

Adj R-squared

=

0.0625

Root MSE

=

.04875


hqqm

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

.002265

.0158196

0.14

0.886

-.0289027

.0334328

tsnnt

.0520516

.0356661

1.46

0.146

-.0182177

.1223209

vcsh

.0048439

.0518601

0.09

0.926

-.0973307

.1070186

qmts

-.005817

.0038971

-1.49

0.137

-.013495

.0018611

cv

-.0853608

.0317574

-2.69

0.008

-.1479291

-.0227925

vhdcv

-.0061593

.0108394

-0.57

0.570

-.027515

.0151963

ttkt

.5987865

.8237527

0.73

0.468

-1.024169

2.221742

lp

-.1898781

.0584308

-3.25

0.001

-.3049984

-.0747579

_cons

1.095848

.0837498

13.08

0.000

.9308439

1.260851


MÔ HÌNH FEM VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQQM


Fixed-effects (within) regression

Number of obs

=

242

Group variable: bank

Number of groups

=

38

R-sq: within

=

0.1105

Obs

per

group:

min

=

2

between

=

0.1345




avg

=

6.4

overall

=

0.0165




max

=

7




F(8,196)

=

3.04

corr(u_i, Xb)

=

-0.7022

Prob > F

=

0.0030


hqqm

Coef.

Std. Err.


t P>|t|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0070343

.018964


-0.37 0.711


-.044434

.0303654

tsnnt

-.0435729

.057041

-0.76 0.446

-.1560658

.06892

vcsh

.1273834

.0631246

2.02 0.045

.0028928

.2518741

qmts

.028432

.0075073

3.79 0.000

.0136265

.0432375

cv

.0087397

.0400577

0.22 0.828

-.0702597

.0877392

vhdcv

-.0149486

.0104527

-1.43 0.154

-.0355629

.0056656

ttkt

-.3513773

.724002

-0.49 0.628

-1.779211

1.076457

lp

.0165544

.0598797

0.28 0.782

-.1015368

.1346456

_cons

.4886467

.1401859

3.49 0.001

.2121804

.765113

sigma_u

.0500767







sigma_e

.03946075






rho

.61692073

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)

F test that all u_i=0: F(37, 196) = 4.31 Prob > F = 0.0000

MÔ HÌNH REM VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQQM

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 242

Group variable: bank Number of groups = 38


R-sq: within = 0.0490 Obs per group: min = 2

between = 0.0734 avg = 6.4

overall = 0.0509 max = 7


Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Wald chi2(8) = 12.46

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.1318



hqqm

Coef.

Std. Err.


z P>|z|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

.0039679

.016857


0.24 0.814


-.0290711

.037007

tsnnt

-.0132859

.0430567


-0.31 0.758


-.0976756

.0711037

vcsh

.0535347

.0568113


0.94 0.346


-.0578134

.1648829

qmts

.0040047

.0048934


0.82 0.413


-.0055863

.0135956

cv

-.0682715

.0332611


-2.05 0.040


-.133462

-.003081

vhdcv

-.0122304

.0101948


-1.20 0.230


-.0322117

.007751

ttkt

.3552342

.7178766


0.49 0.621


-1.051778

1.762246

lp

-.1225975

.0536342


-2.29 0.022


-.2277186

-.0174764

_cons

.9301615

.0938172


9.91 0.000


.7462831

1.11404

sigma_u

.02543715







sigma_e

.03946075







rho

.29355267

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)




KIỂM ĐỊNH HAUSMAN

Coefficients


(b) fe

(B)

.

(b-B)

Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E.

cvnt

-.0070343

.0039679

-.0110022

.0086877

tsnnt

-.0435729

-.0132859

-.030287

.0374138

vcsh

.1273834

.0535347

.0738487

.0275171

qmts

.028432

.0040047

.0244273

.0056933

cv

.0087397

-.0682715

.0770112

.0223231

vhdcv

-.0149486

-.0122304

-.0027182

.0023079

ttkt

-.3513773

.3552342

-.7066115

.0939796

lp

.0165544

-.1225975

.1391519

.0266261

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg


Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic


chi2(8) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 29.96

Prob>chi2 = 0.0002

(V_b-V_B is not positive definite)


KIỂM ĐỊNH MODIFIED WALD

Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity in fixed effect regression model


H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i


chi2 (38) = 4880.16

Prob>chi2 = 0.0000


KIỂM ĐỊNH WOOLDRIDGE

Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 36) = 4.653

Prob > F = 0.0377

MÔ HÌNH FGLS VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQQM

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression


Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: heteroskedastic

Correlation: common AR(1) coefficient for all panels (0.3870)


Estimated covariances

=

38

Number of obs

=

242

Estimated autocorrelations

=

1

Number of groups

=

38

Estimated coefficients

=

9

Obs per group: min

=

2


avg

=

6.368421

max

=

7

Wald chi2(8)

=

25.45

Prob > chi2

=

0.0013



hqqm

Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0062644

.010491

-0.60

0.550

-.0268265

.0142976

tsnnt

-.0317596

.0279002

-1.14

0.255

-.086443

.0229237

vcsh

.028787

.0306177

0.94

0.347

-.0312225

.0887965

qmts

.0048155

.0034368

1.40

0.161

-.0019205

.0115514

cv

-.082662

.020907

-3.95

0.000

-.123639

-.041685

vhdcv

-.0187937

.0071428

-2.63

0.009

-.0327933

-.004794

ttkt

-.1710881

.4381833

-0.39

0.696

-1.029912

.6877354

lp

-.0696219

.032509

-2.14

0.032

-.1333385

-.0059054

_cons

.981067

.0646598

15.17

0.000

.8543361

1.107798


PHỤ LỤC 13

MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY VÀ PHƯƠNG PHÁP KIỂM ĐỊNH ĐỐI VỚI CÁC NGÂN HÀNG NHÓM 1 VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKT

MÔ HÌNH POOLED VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKT


Source

SS

df

MS

Model

.078368224

8

.009796028

Residual

.302322451

67

.004512275

Total

.380690676

75

.005075876

Number of obs

=

76

F( 8, 67)

=

2.17

Prob > F

=

0.0408

R-squared

=

0.2059

Adj R-squared

=

0.1110

Root MSE

=

.06717


hqkt

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0989029

.0520511

-1.90

0.062

-.2027974

.0049916

tsnnt

.0816045

.0941882

0.87

0.389

-.106396

.269605

vcsh

.2103276

.3060629

0.69

0.494

-.4005765

.8212317

qmts

.0142129

.0159639

0.89

0.376

-.0176511

.046077

cv

-.2337826

.1360365

-1.72

0.090

-.5053126

.0377473

vhdcv

-.0500903

.0443562

-1.13

0.263

-.1386255

.038445

ttkt

-.828911

2.05012

-0.40

0.687

-4.920968

3.263147

lp

-.2211092

.1445136

-1.53

0.131

-.5095595

.0673411

_cons

.9323893

.3080593

3.03

0.004

.3175004

1.547278


MÔ HÌNH FEM VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKT


Fixed-effects (within) regression

Number of obs

=

76

Group variable: bank

Number of groups

=

11

R-sq: within

=

0.1339

Obs

per

group:

min

=

6

between

=

0.0058




avg

=

6.9

overall

=

0.0398




max

=

7




F(8,57)


=

1.10

corr(u_i, Xb)

=

-0.5106

Prob >

F

=

0.3757


hqkt

Coef.

Std. Err.


t P>|t|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0564119

.0973935


-0.58 0.565


-.2514391

.1386153

tsnnt

.2122024

.1683688


1.26 0.213


-.1249503

.5493551

vcsh

.4966837

.386375


1.29 0.204


-.277019

1.270386

qmts

.0393995

.0217065


1.82 0.075


-.0040671

.0828661

cv

.0131097

.2324369


0.06 0.955


-.4523372

.4785566

vhdcv

-.0215857

.0657215


-0.33 0.744


-.1531908

.1100194

ttkt

-1.343945

2.001207


-0.67 0.505


-5.351294

2.663404

lp

-.0454251

.1869112


-0.24 0.809


-.4197082

.3288581

_cons

.2218203

.4600037


0.48 0.632


-.6993212

1.142962

sigma_u

.05313308







sigma_e

.06257961







rho

.41890269

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)



F test that all u_i=0: F(10, 57) = 2.02

MÔ HÌNH REM VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKT


Prob

> F

=

0.0478

Random-effects GLS regression

Number

of obs

=


76

Group variable: bank

Number

of groups

=


11

R-sq: within = 0.1044

Obs per

group: min

=


6

between = 0.4036


avg

=


6.9

overall = 0.1938


max

=


7

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian

Wald ch

i2(8)

=


11.25

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed)

Prob >

chi2

=


0.1882


hqkt

Coef.

Std. Err.


z P>|z|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0827722

.0652355


-1.27 0.205


-.2106315

.045087

tsnnt

.0990759

.1126068


0.88 0.379


-.1216294

.3197811

vcsh

.3794709

.3222557


1.18 0.239


-.2521388

1.011081

qmts

.0192601

.0167431


1.15 0.250


-.0135557

.052076

cv

-.1716585

.1553412


-1.11 0.269


-.4761216

.1328047

vhdcv

-.0328833

.0516899


-0.64 0.525


-.1341936

.0684271

ttkt

-.7627531

1.912856


-0.40 0.690


-4.511881

2.986375

lp

-.1913941

.1431033


-1.34 0.181


-.4718713

.0890832

_cons

.747534

.327944


2.28 0.023


.1047756

1.390292

sigma_u

.03393222







sigma_e

.06257961







rho

.22720711

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)



KIỂM TRA ĐA CỘNG TUYẾN


Variable

VIF

1/VIF

cv

4.57

0.218956

vhdcv

3.05

0.328400

qmts

2.81

0.355443

vcsh

1.64

0.610306

tsnnt

1.54

0.649014

cvnt

1.37

0.731533

lp

1.35

0.741087

ttkt

1.26

0.796614

Mean VIF

2.20

KIỂM ĐỊNH HAUSMAN

Coefficients


(b) fe

(B)

.

(b-B)

Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E.

cvnt

-.0564119

-.0827722

.0263603

.0723176

tsnnt

.2122024

.0990759

.1131265

.1251709

vcsh

.4966837

.3794709

.1172128

.2131593

qmts

.0393995

.0192601

.0201394

.0138146

cv

.0131097

-.1716585

.1847682

.1729047

vhdcv

-.0215857

-.0328833

.0112976

.0405891

ttkt

-1.343945

-.7627531

-.5811919

.5880593

lp

-.0454251

-.1913941

.145969

.1202382

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg


Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic


chi2(8) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 4.27

Prob>chi2 = 0.8323

KIỂM ĐỊNH BREUSCH-PAGAN LAGRANGIAN

Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects


hqkt[bank,t] = Xb + u[bank] + e[bank,t]


Estimated results:

Var sd = sqrt(Var)


hqkt .0050759 .0712452

e .0039162 .0625796

u .0011514 .0339322


Test: Var(u) = 0

chi2(1) = 1.54

Prob > chi2 = 0.2140

KIỂM ĐỊNH WOOLDRIDGE

Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 10) = 7.906

Prob > F = 0.0184

MÔ HÌNH FGLS VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKT

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression


Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: homoskedastic

Correlation: common AR(1) coefficient for all panels (0.4041)


Estimated covariances

=

1

Number of obs

=

76

Estimated autocorrelations

=

1

Number of groups

=

11

Estimated coefficients

=

9

Obs per group: min

=

6


avg

=

6.909091

max

=

7

Wald chi2(8)

=

12.88

Prob > chi2

=

0.1161



hqkt

Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.1214874

.0564355

-2.15

0.031

-.232099

-.0108758

tsnnt

.1280488

.1045611

1.22

0.221

-.0768872

.3329847

vcsh

.1258016

.3243871

0.39

0.698

-.5099855

.7615887

qmts

.0056908

.0171035

0.33

0.739

-.0278316

.0392131

cv

-.0732797

.1439377

-0.51

0.611

-.3553924

.2088331

vhdcv

-.0252933

.0468556

-0.54

0.589

-.1171285

.0665419

ttkt

-.2971461

1.699891

-0.17

0.861

-3.628871

3.034578

lp

-.148855

.122328

-1.22

0.224

-.3886134

.0909034

_cons

.9456188

.3313764

2.85

0.004

.296133

1.595105


PHỤ LỤC 14

MÔ HÌNH HỒI QUY VÀ PHƯƠNG PHÁP KIỂM ĐỊNH ĐỐI VỚI CÁC NGÂN HÀNG NHÓM 1 VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKTT

MÔ HÌNH POOLED VỚI BIẾN PHỤ THUỘC HQKTT


Source

SS

df

MS

Model

.051763307

8

.006470413

Residual

.149826638

67

.002236218

Total

.201589945

75

.002687866

Number of obs

=

76

F( 8, 67)

=

2.89

Prob > F

=

0.0079

R-squared

=

0.2568

Adj R-squared

=

0.1680

Root MSE

=

.04729


hqktt

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

cvnt

-.0726497

.0366429

-1.98

0.052

-.1457892

.0004898

tsnnt

.1540297

.0663065

2.32

0.023

.0216814

.286378

vcsh

-.1156767

.2154617

-0.54

0.593

-.54574

.3143866

qmts

.015462

.0112382

1.38

0.173

-.0069696

.0378937

cv

.1102052

.0957668

1.15

0.254

-.080946

.3013564

vhdcv

.0090185

.0312258

0.29

0.774

-.0533084

.0713454

ttkt

-.7535215

1.44324

-0.52

0.603

-3.634241

2.127199

lp

.1640911

.1017344

1.61

0.111

-.0389716

.3671539

_cons

.6450415

.2168671

2.97

0.004

.212173

1.07791

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