Các yếu tố ảnh hưởng đến cấu trúc vốn của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 12


Myers, S.C. and Majluf, N.S., 1984. Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms Have Information That Investors Do Not Have. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper No. 1396.

Myers, S.C., 1977. Determinants of corporate borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics, 5.

Octavia, M. and Brown, R., 2008. Determinants of capital structure in developing countries: Regulatory Capital Requirement versus the Standard determinants of capital structure. Department of Finance, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia.


PHỤ LỤC ĐỊNH LƯỢNG


Phục lục 1: Thống kê mô tả


Variable

Obs

Mean

Std. Dev.

Min

Max

GDP

77

6.126778

.622314

5.24737

7.12949

INF

77

8.781572

6.352026

.63

23.0878

ROA

77

1.069418

.4780994

.026688

2.16484

SIZE

77

19.06761

.9141695

16.4204

20.7297

L

77

.9185465

.035286

.7337895

.9725453

MTB

55

104.2586

151.4512

3.87143

944.4318

DIV

77

.260913

1.376546

0

12

RISK

63

.1651567

.136523

.0111182

.5292427

TANG

77

35.25315

37.0424

0

95.47026

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Các yếu tố ảnh hưởng đến cấu trúc vốn của các ngân hàng thương mại Việt Nam - 12


Phụ lục 2: Ma trận tương quan



L

LROA

LSIZE

LRISK

LGDP

LINF

LTANG

LMTB

LDIV

L

1.0000









LROA

-0.0728

1.0000








LSIZE

0.4434

-0.2853

1.0000







LRISK

-0.1243

-0.0991

-0.4162

1.0000






LGDP

0.1776

-0.2158

0.2609

-0.3213

1.0000





LINF

-0.1476

0.5991

-0.3381

0.1362

-0.1703

1.0000




LTANG

0.2170

-0.0294

0.3042

-0.1085

0.2285

0.0765

1.0000



LMTB

-0.2840

-0.0198

-0.1895

0.1351

-0.1091

0.1231

-0.1725

1.0000


LDIV

-0.2079

0.1442

-0.2411

0.1041

0.0483

0.3312

-0.1272

-0.0956

1.0000


Source

SS

df

MS

Model

.003933918

8

.00049174

Residual

.010060531

35

.000287444

Total

.013994449

43

.000325452

Number of obs

=

44

F( 8, 35)

=

1.71

Prob > F

=

0.1305

R-squared

=

0.2811

Adj R-squared

=

0.1168

Root MSE

=

.01695



L

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

LROA

.0038442

.0079023

0.49

0.630

-.0121984

.0198868

LSIZE

.0117463

.0051173

2.30

0.028

.0013576

.0221349

LRISK

.0186289

.0224256

0.83

0.412

-.0268975

.0641553

LGDP

.0040375

.0055801

0.72

0.474

-.0072907

.0153658

LINF

.0000524

.0005921

0.09

0.930

-.0011497

.0012545

LTANG

.0000104

.0000817

0.13

0.900

-.0001555

.0001763

LMTB

-.000024

.0000164

-1.47

0.151

-.0000572

9.19e-06

LDIV

-.0099335

.0096083

-1.03

0.308

-.0294394

.0095725

_cons

.6672058

.1081829

6.17

0.000

.4475827

.8868288


. vif


Variable

VIF

1/VIF

LINF

2.01

0.497953

LROA

1.87

0.535560

LSIZE

1.61

0.622224

LRISK

1.46

0.683946

LGDP

1.29

0.777833

LDIV

1.26

0.791600

LTANG

1.26

0.792708

LMTB

1.14

0.880032

Mean VIF

1.49


Kiểm định Pooled với FEM


Fixed-effects (within) regression

Number of obs

=

44

Group variable: BANK

Number of groups

=

7

R-sq: within

=

0.1883

Obs

per

group:

min

=

2

between

=

0.3158




avg

=

6.3

overall

=

0.1489




max

=

8




F(8,29)

=

0.84

corr(u_i, Xb)

=

0.1096

Prob > F

=

0.5748


L

Coef.

Std. Err.


t P>|t|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

LROA

.0081324

.006728


1.21 0.237


-.0056279

.0218926

LSIZE

.0023041

.0079087


0.29 0.773


-.0138711

.0184792

LRISK

.0162302

.0209054


0.78 0.444


-.0265261

.0589865

LGDP

.0058818

.0049022


1.20 0.240


-.0041443

.0159079

LINF

-.0003385

.0004855


-0.70 0.491


-.0013314

.0006544

LTANG

-.0000275

.0000786


-0.35 0.729


-.0001882

.0001331

LMTB

-.0000164

.0000155


-1.06 0.299


-.000048

.0000153

LDIV

-.0096866

.0088557


-1.09 0.283


-.0277986

.0084253

_cons

.8377681

.148473


5.64 0.000


.5341066

1.14143

sigma_u

.01598075







sigma_e

.01308454







rho

.59866524

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)


F test that all u_i=0: F(6, 29) = 4.96 Prob > F = 0.0013



. xttest0


Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects


L[BANK,t] = Xb + u[BANK] + e[BANK,t]


Estimated results:

Var sd = sqrt(Var)


L .0003255 .0180403

e .0001712 .0130845

u 0 0


Test: Var(u) = 0


chibar2(01) = 0.00

Prob > chibar2 = 1.0000


.


.

Kiểm định FEM với REM


.

. hausman fe1 re1, sig


Note: the rank of the differenced variance matrix (6) does not equal the number of coefficients being tested (8); be sure this is what you expect, or there may be problems computing the test. Examine the output of your estimators for anything unexpected and possibly consider scaling your variables so that the coefficients are on a similar scale.


Coefficients


(b) fe1

(B)

re1

(b-B)

Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E.

LROA

.0081324

.0038442

.0042882

.0036812

LSIZE

.0023041

.0117463

-.0094422

.0088785

LRISK

.0162302

.0186289

-.0023988

.0151937

LGDP

.0058818

.0040375

.0018443

.0030348

LINF

-.0003385

.0000524

-.0003909

.0002124

LTANG

-.0000275

.0000104

-.0000379

.0000607

LMTB

-.0000164

-.000024

7.67e-06

.0000116

LDIV

-.0096866

-.0099335

.0002468

.0062729

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg


Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic


chi2(6) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 17.73

Prob>chi2 = 0.0070

(V_b-V_B is not positive definite)


Fixed-effects (within) regression

Number of obs

=

44

Group variable: BANK

Number of groups

=

7

R-sq: within

=

0.1883

Obs

per

group:

min

=

2

between

=

0.3158




avg

=

6.3

overall

=

0.1489




max

=

8




F(8,29)


=

0.84

corr(u_i, Xb)

=

0.1096

Prob >

F

=

0.5748


L

Coef.

Std. Err.


t P>|t|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

LROA

.0081324

.006728


1.21 0.237


-.0056279

.0218926

LSIZE

.0023041

.0079087


0.29 0.773


-.0138711

.0184792

LRISK

.0162302

.0209054


0.78 0.444


-.0265261

.0589865

LGDP

.0058818

.0049022


1.20 0.240


-.0041443

.0159079

LINF

-.0003385

.0004855


-0.70 0.491


-.0013314

.0006544

LTANG

-.0000275

.0000786


-0.35 0.729


-.0001882

.0001331

LMTB

-.0000164

.0000155


-1.06 0.299


-.000048

.0000153

LDIV

-.0096866

.0088557


-1.09 0.283


-.0277986

.0084253

_cons

.8377681

.148473


5.64 0.000


.5341066

1.14143

sigma_u

.01598075







sigma_e

.01308454







rho

.59866524

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)


F test that all u_i=0: F(6, 29) = 4.96 Prob > F = 0.0013


. xttest3


Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity in fixed effect regression model


H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i


chi2 (7) = 21.44

Prob>chi2 = 0.0032


Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 5) = 120.484

Prob > F = 0.0001


Phụ lục 7: Kết quả hồi quy Mô hình Pooled OLS


Source

SS

df

MS

Model

.003933918

8

.00049174

Residual

.010060531

35

.000287444

Total

.013994449

43

.000325452

Number of obs = 44

F( 8, 35) = 1.71

Prob > F = 0.1305

R-squared

=

0.2811

Adj R-squared

=

0.1168

Root MSE

=

.01695


L

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

LROA

.0038442

.0079023

0.49

0.630

-.0121984

.0198868

LSIZE

.0117463

.0051173

2.30

0.028

.0013576

.0221349

LRISK

.0186289

.0224256

0.83

0.412

-.0268975

.0641553

LGDP

.0040375

.0055801

0.72

0.474

-.0072907

.0153658

LINF

.0000524

.0005921

0.09

0.930

-.0011497

.0012545

LTANG

.0000104

.0000817

0.13

0.900

-.0001555

.0001763

LMTB

-.000024

.0000164

-1.47

0.151

-.0000572

9.19e-06

LDIV

-.0099335

.0096083

-1.03

0.308

-.0294394

.0095725

_cons

.6672058

.1081829

6.17

0.000

.4475827

.8868288


Fixed-effects (within) regression

Number of obs

=

44

Group variable: BANK

Number of groups

=

7

R-sq: within

=

0.1883

Obs

per

group:

min

=

2

between

=

0.3158




avg

=

6.3

overall

=

0.1489




max

=

8




F(8,29)

=

0.84

corr(u_i, Xb)

=

0.1096

Prob > F

=

0.5748



L

Coef.

Std. Err.


t P>|t|


[95% Conf.

Interval]

LROA

.0081324

.006728


1.21 0.237


-.0056279

.0218926

LSIZE

.0023041

.0079087


0.29 0.773


-.0138711

.0184792

LRISK

.0162302

.0209054


0.78 0.444


-.0265261

.0589865

LGDP

.0058818

.0049022


1.20 0.240


-.0041443

.0159079

LINF

-.0003385

.0004855


-0.70 0.491


-.0013314

.0006544

LTANG

-.0000275

.0000786


-0.35 0.729


-.0001882

.0001331

LMTB

-.0000164

.0000155


-1.06 0.299


-.000048

.0000153

LDIV

-.0096866

.0088557


-1.09 0.283


-.0277986

.0084253

_cons

.8377681

.148473


5.64 0.000


.5341066

1.14143

sigma_u

.01598075







sigma_e

.01308454







rho

.59866524

(fraction

of

variance due

to

u_i)


F test that all u_i=0: F(6, 29) = 4.96 Prob > F = 0.0013

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