# Hoạt động huy động và sử dụng vốn đầu tư của ngân hàng cho chuyển dịch cơ cấu kinh tế trên địa bàn tỉnh Hưng Yên - 18

S.E. of regression

 0.007595 Sum squared resid 0.000288 Durbin-Watson stat 2.139601

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Equation: D(LTDDV) = C(27)*( LGDPDV(-1) - 0.2039229671*LTDDV(-1)

- 5.023794985 ) + C(28)*D(LGDPDV(-1)) + C(29)*D(LGDPDV(-2))

+ C(30)*D(LGDPDV(-3)) + C(31)*D(LGDPDV(-4)) + C(32)

*D(LGDPDV(-5)) + C(33)*D(LGDPDV(-6)) + C(34)*D(LGDPDV(-7))

+ C(35)*D(LGDPDV(-8)) + C(36)*D(LGDPDV(-9)) + C(37)

*D(LGDPDV(-10)) + C(38)*D(LGDPDV(-11)) + C(39)*D(LGDPDV(

-12)) + C(40)*D(LTDDV(-1)) + C(41)*D(LTDDV(-2)) + C(42)

*D(LTDDV(-3)) + C(43)*D(LTDDV(-4)) + C(44)*D(LTDDV(-5)) +

C(45)*D(LTDDV(-6)) + C(46)*D(LTDDV(-7)) + C(47)*D(LTDDV(-8))

+ C(48)*D(LTDDV(-9)) + C(49)*D(LTDDV(-10)) + C(50)*D(LTDDV(

-11)) + C(51)*D(LTDDV(-12)) + C(52)

Observations: 31

R-squared

 0.999450 Mean dependent var 0.161828 Adjusted R-squared 0.996700 S.D. dependent var 0.164344 S.E. of regression 0.009440 Sum squared resid 0.000446 Durbin-Watson stat 3.024275

2.5. Kiểm định trong khu vực kinh tế nhà nước Kiểm định đồng liên kết

Date: 05/21/08 Time: 23:44 Sample (adjusted): 1998Q1 2007Q4

Included observations: 40 after adjustments Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend Series: LGDPNN LTDNN

 Hypothesized No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Trace Statistic 0.05Critical Value Prob.** None * 0.298636 17.81091 15.49471 0.0220 At most 1 0.086567 3.621792 3.841466 0.0570

Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 3 Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)

Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level

* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level

**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values

Mô hình VEC

System: UNTITLED Estimation Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/21/08 Time: 23:45

Sample: 1998Q1 2007Q4

Included observations: 40

Total system (balanced) observations 80

 Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C(1) -0.074779 0.020513 -3.645525 0.0005 C(2) 0.430747 0.142916 3.013979 0.0037 C(3) 0.078853 0.155701 0.506441 0.6143 C(4) -0.111819 0.151286 -0.739121 0.4625 C(5) -0.100227 0.128990 -0.777009 0.4400 C(6) 0.133697 0.157488 0.848935 0.3991 C(7) -0.331186 0.088415 -3.745803 0.0004 C(8) 0.031278 0.010230 3.057292 0.0033 C(9) 0.006133 0.027746 0.221055 0.8258 C(10) 0.476369 0.193310 2.464274 0.0164 C(11) 0.098401 0.210603 0.467237 0.6419 C(12) 0.174503 0.204631 0.852770 0.3970 C(13) 2.020124 0.174474 11.57838 0.0000 C(14) -0.717542 0.213020 -3.368434 0.0013 C(15) -0.069582 0.119591 -0.581828 0.5627 C(16) -0.043287 0.013838 -3.128134 0.0026

Determinant residual covariance 1.78E-07

Equation: D(LGDPNN) = C(1)*( LGDPNN(-1) - 0.4599955078*LTDNN(-1)

- 3.031525042 ) + C(2)*D(LGDPNN(-1)) + C(3)*D(LGDPNN(-2)) +

C(4)*D(LGDPNN(-3)) + C(5)*D(LTDNN(-1)) + C(6)*D(LTDNN(-2)) + C(7)*D(LTDNN(-3)) + C(8)

Observations: 40

R-squared

 0.587287 Mean dependent var 0.038059 Adjusted R-squared 0.497006 S.D. dependent var 0.027916 S.E. of regression 0.019799 Sum squared resid 0.012544 Durbin-Watson stat 2.348209

Equation: D(LTDNN) = C(9)*( LGDPNN(-1) - 0.4599955078*LTDNN(-1) - 3.031525042 ) + C(10)*D(LGDPNN(-1)) + C(11)*D(LGDPNN(-2)) +

C(12)*D(LGDPNN(-3)) + C(13)*D(LTDNN(-1)) + C(14)*D(LTDNN(

-2)) + C(15)*D(LTDNN(-3)) + C(16)

Observations: 40

R-squared

 0.978571 Mean dependent var -0.008927 Adjusted R-squared 0.973884 S.D. dependent var 0.165714 S.E. of regression 0.026780 Sum squared resid 0.022950 Durbin-Watson stat 1.999431

2.6. Kiểm định trong khu vực kinh tế ngoài nhà nước Mô hình VEC

System: UNTITLED Estimation Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/21/08 Time: 23:56 Sample: 1998Q4 2007Q4

Included observations: 37

Total system (balanced) observations 74

 Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. C(1) -0.126589 0.082758 -1.529636 0.1330 C(2) 0.490491 0.267054 1.836672 0.0727 C(3) 0.235148 0.269486 0.872578 0.3874 C(4) 0.249247 0.288654 0.863481 0.3924 C(5) -0.005867 0.294289 -0.019935 0.9842 C(6) 0.004055 0.303557 0.013358 0.9894 C(7) -0.065973 0.258916 -0.254804 0.8000 C(8) 0.125415 0.144652 0.867011 0.3904 C(9) -0.090094 0.202474 -0.444964 0.6584 C(10) 0.154090 0.141894 1.085951 0.2832 C(11) -0.003198 0.077567 -0.041228 0.9673 C(12) -0.099110 0.050741 -1.953258 0.0569 C(13) -0.023326 0.055590 -0.419599 0.6767 C(14) -0.001835 0.022441 -0.081789 0.9352 C(15) 0.466064 0.109150 4.269931 0.0001 C(16) -0.147910 0.352221 -0.419934 0.6765 C(17) -0.768871 0.355428 -2.163224 0.0358 C(18) -1.039456 0.380709 -2.730319 0.0089 C(19) 0.543370 0.388141 1.399927 0.1682 C(20) -1.024046 0.400366 -2.557778 0.0139 C(21) -0.250853 0.341487 -0.734591 0.4663 C(22) 1.051415 0.190783 5.511040 0.0000 C(23) -0.169868 0.267045 -0.636102 0.5279 C(24) -0.195762 0.187146 -1.046037 0.3010 C(25) -0.079184 0.102304 -0.774007 0.4429 C(26) 0.059277 0.066922 0.885749 0.3804 C(27) 0.193897 0.073319 2.644568 0.0112 C(28) 0.100774 0.029597 3.404840 0.0014

Determinant residual covariance 6.79E-09

Equation: D(LGDPNNN) = C(1)*( LGDPNNN(-1) - 0.3435761889

*LTDNNN(-1) - 4.58182423 ) + C(2)*D(LGDPNNN(-1)) + C(3)

*D(LGDPNNN(-2)) + C(4)*D(LGDPNNN(-3)) + C(5)*D(LGDPNNN(

-4)) + C(6)*D(LGDPNNN(-5)) + C(7)*D(LGDPNNN(-6)) + C(8)

*D(LTDNNN(-1)) + C(9)*D(LTDNNN(-2)) + C(10)*D(LTDNNN(-3)) +

C(11)*D(LTDNNN(-4)) + C(12)*D(LTDNNN(-5)) + C(13)*D(LTDNNN(

-6)) + C(14)

Observations: 37

R-squared

 0.538435 Mean dependent var 0.033154 Adjusted R-squared 0.277550 S.D. dependent var 0.012213 S.E. of regression 0.010380 Sum squared resid 0.002478 Durbin-Watson stat 2.122481

Equation: D(LTDNNN) = C(15)*( LGDPNNN(-1) - 0.3435761889

*LTDNNN(-1) - 4.58182423 ) + C(16)*D(LGDPNNN(-1)) + C(17)

*D(LGDPNNN(-2)) + C(18)*D(LGDPNNN(-3)) + C(19)

*D(LGDPNNN(-4)) + C(20)*D(LGDPNNN(-5)) + C(21)

*D(LGDPNNN(-6)) + C(22)*D(LTDNNN(-1)) + C(23)*D(LTDNNN(-2))

+ C(24)*D(LTDNNN(-3)) + C(25)*D(LTDNNN(-4)) + C(26)

*D(LTDNNN(-5)) + C(27)*D(LTDNNN(-6)) + C(28)

Observations: 37

R-squared

 0.938017 Mean dependent var 0.081169 Adjusted R-squared 0.902984 S.D. dependent var 0.043955 S.E. of regression 0.013691 Sum squared resid 0.004311 Durbin-Watson stat 2.219323