Các yếu tố tác động đến tăng trưởng tín dụng tại ngân hàng thương mại cổ phần Việt Nam - 10


DEPTA

|

13.14011

20.98115

0.63

0.533

-28.50714

54.78736

NPL

|

7.727445

1.618915

4.77

0.000

4.513925

10.94097

CAP

|

-219.607

87.63684

-2.51

0.014

-393.5647

-45.64923

LIQ

|

.0679411

.2783759

0.24

0.808

-.4846308

.6205129

SIZE

|

-11.70008

5.811507

-2.01

0.047

-23.23583

-.1643281

INR

|

.1279888

1.771471

0.07

0.943

-3.388353

3.64433

GDP

|

6.11263

3.945635

1.55

0.125

-1.719394

13.94465

INF

|

-.1779647

.6747867

-0.26

0.793

-1.517406

1.161476

_cons

|

39.58298

54.82188

0.72

0.472

-69.23758

148.4036

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Các yếu tố tác động đến tăng trưởng tín dụng tại ngân hàng thương mại cổ phần Việt Nam - 10


Phân tích hồi quy theo Fixed effects model:


. xtreg LGR DEPTA NPL CAP LIQ SIZE INR GDP INF



Random-effects GLS regression

Number

of obs

=

105

Group variable: STT

Number

of groups

=

15


R-sq: within = 0.2474 Obs per group: min = 7


between

=

0.2354

avg

=

7.0

overall

=

0.2429

max

=

7




Wald chi2(8)

=

31.26

corr(u_i, X)

=

0 (assumed)

Prob > chi2

=

0.0001


------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LGR | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]


DEPTA

|

13.66285

23.86774

0.57

0.567

-33.11707

60.44276

NPL

|

8.432875

1.583172

5.33

0.000

5.329914

11.53583

CAP

|

-170.7087

97.14881

-1.76

0.079

-361.1168

19.6995

LIQ

|

.2027434

.3268848

0.62

0.535

-.437939

.8434257

SIZE

|

-8.412832

7.889886

-1.07

0.286

-23.87673

7.05106

INR

|

-.0322841

1.582998

-0.02

0.984

-3.134903

3.070334

GDP

|

6.84239

3.612879

1.89

0.058

-.2387234

13.9235

INF

|

-.2311014

.6140768

-0.38

0.707

-1.43467

.9724671

_cons

|

11.98348

62.44963

0.19

0.848

-110.4155

134.3825


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------


sigma_u

|

8.9447186


sigma_e

|

15.234773


rho

|

.25634853

(fraction of variance due to u_i)


Phân tích hồi quy theo Fixed effects model:


. xtreg LGR DEPTA NPL CAP LIQ SIZE INR GDP INF,re



Random-effects GLS regression

Number of obs

=

105

Group variable: STT

Number of groups

=

15



R-sq: within

=

0.2474

Obs

per

group:

min

=

7

between

=

0.2354




avg

=

7.0

overall

=

0.2429




max

=

7



Wald chi2(8)

=

31.26

corr(u_i, X)

= 0 (assumed)

Prob > chi2

=

0.0001


------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LGR | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------


DEPTA

|

13.66285

23.86774

0.57

0.567

-33.11707

60.44276

NPL

|

8.432875

1.583172

5.33

0.000

5.329914

11.53583

CAP

|

-170.7087

97.14881

-1.76

0.079

-361.1168

19.6995

LIQ

|

.2027434

.3268848

0.62

0.535

-.437939

.8434257

SIZE

|

-8.412832

7.889886

-1.07

0.286

-23.87673

7.05106

INR

|

-.0322841

1.582998

-0.02

0.984

-3.134903

3.070334

GDP

|

6.84239

3.612879

1.89

0.058

-.2387234

13.9235

INF

|

-.2311014

.6140768

-0.38

0.707

-1.43467

.9724671

_cons

|

11.98348

62.44963

0.19

0.848

-110.4155

134.3825


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------


sigma_u

|

8.9447186


sigma_e

|

15.234773


rho

|

.25634853

(fraction of variance due to u_i)


Khắc phục hiện tượng tự tương quan bằng pương pháp Generalized Least Square(GLS)

. xtgls LGR DEPTA NPL CAP LIQ SIZE INR GDP INF


Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression


Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: homoskedastic Correlation: no autocorrelation


Estimated

covariances

=

1

Number of obs

=

105

Estimated

autocorrelations

=

0

Number of groups

=

15

Estimated coefficients =

9

Time

periods

=

7



Wald

chi2(8)

=

34.80

Log likelihood =

-441.9772

Prob

> chi2

=

0.0000


------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LGR | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]


-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------


DEPTA

|

13.14011

20.06182

0.65

0.512

-26.18033

52.46055

NPL

|

7.727445

1.547979

4.99

0.000

4.693463

10.76143

CAP

|

-219.607

83.79685

-2.62

0.009

-383.8458

-55.36818

LIQ

|

.0679411

.2661783

0.26

0.799

-.4537588

.5896409

SIZE

|

-11.70008

5.556864

-2.11

0.035

-22.59133

-.808826

INR

|

.1279888

1.69385

0.08

0.940

-3.191896

3.447874

GDP

|

6.11263

3.772749

1.62

0.105

-1.281822

13.50708

INF

|

-.1779647

.6452195

-0.28

0.783

-1.442572

1.086642

_cons

|

39.58298

52.41974

0.76

0.450

-63.15782

142.3238

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