Bảng 8: Kiểm định tính chuẩn cho mô hình VAR với DCV
Orthogonalization: Cholesky (Lutkepohl) | ||||
Null Hypothesis: residuals are multivariate normal | ||||
Date: 05/11/17 Time: 01:57 | ||||
Sample: 2005M01 2016M10 | ||||
Included observations: 133 | ||||
Component | Skewness | Chi-sq | df | Prob. |
1 | 0.679809 | 10.24412 | 1 | 0.0014 |
2 | 0.554182 | 6.807770 | 1 | 0.0091 |
3 | 0.277004 | 1.700880 | 1 | 0.1922 |
4 | 0.162693 | 0.586728 | 1 | 0.4437 |
5 | 0.154381 | 0.528311 | 1 | 0.4673 |
6 | 0.431168 | 4.120909 | 1 | 0.0424 |
Joint | 23.98872 | 6 | 0.0005 | |
Component | Kurtosis | Chi-sq | df | Prob. |
1 | 3.168619 | 0.157563 | 1 | 0.6914 |
2 | 4.803444 | 18.02377 | 1 | 0.0000 |
3 | 3.471892 | 1.234028 | 1 | 0.2666 |
4 | 2.230895 | 3.278018 | 1 | 0.0702 |
5 | 1.487148 | 12.68333 | 1 | 0.0004 |
6 | 2.393206 | 2.040437 | 1 | 0.1532 |
Joint | 37.41714 | 6 | 0.0000 | |
Component | Jarque-Bera | df | Prob. | |
1 | 10.40168 | 2 | 0.0055 | |
2 | 24.83154 | 2 | 0.0000 | |
3 | 2.934908 | 2 | 0.2305 | |
4 | 3.864746 | 2 | 0.1448 | |
5 | 13.21164 | 2 | 0.0014 | |
6 | 6.161346 | 2 | 0.0459 | |
Joint | 61.40586 | 12 | 0.0000 |
Có thể bạn quan tâm!
- Kết Quả Kiểm Định Nghiệm Đơn Vị Đối Với Phần Dư Của Mô Hình Hồi Quy Giữa Dcpi_Sa Và Tcv
- Kết Quả Kiểm Định Nghiệm Đơn Vị Đối Với Phần Dư Của Mô Hình Hồi Quy Giữa Dcpi_Sa Và Tck
- Kết Quả Mô Hình Hiệu Chỉnh Sai Số Giữa Dcpi_Sa Và Tt
- Hoàn thiện cơ chế điều hành lãi suất của Ngân hàng Nhà nước Việt Nam trong điều kiện nền kinh tế thị trường - 30
Xem toàn bộ 249 trang tài liệu này.
Nguồn: Tính toán của tác giả từ Eviews 6
Mặc dù P.Value < 5% song do số quan sát là 136 quan sát > 60, theo quy luật số lớn, mô hình gần với phân phối chuẩn.
Bảng 9: Kết quả ước lượng mô hình VAR với biến DTG
Date: 05/11/17 Time: 01:57 | ||||||
Sample (adjusted): 2005M10 2016M10 | ||||||
Included observations: 133 after adjustments | ||||||
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in { } | ||||||
DTCK | DTCV | DTT | DQD_SA | DCPI_SA | DTG | |
DTCK(-1) | -0.507363 | 0.271844 | 0.017459 | 0.301408 | 0.398995 | 0.324136 |
(0.18534) | (0.15209) | (0.22451) | (0.54206) | (0.23193) | (0.15664) | |
{-2.73749} | { 1.78741} | { 0.07777} | { 0.55604} | { 1.72036} | { 2.06931} | |
DTCK(-2) | -0.144030 | 0.215564 | 0.264304 | 0.655623 | 0.049020 | -0.133304 |
(0.23686) | (0.19437) | (0.28693) | (0.69275) | (0.29640) | (0.20018) | |
{-0.60807} | { 1.10905} | { 0.92115} | { 0.94641} | { 0.16538} | {-0.66590} | |
DTCK(-3) | -0.254039 | 0.086248 | 0.013735 | -0.032465 | -0.038303 | -0.159329 |
(0.23497) | (0.19281) | (0.28463) | (0.68720) | (0.29403) | (0.19858) | |
{-1.08117} | { 0.44731} | { 0.04826} | {-0.04724} | {-0.13027} | {-0.80233} | |
DTCK(-4) | 0.095703 | 0.365296 | 0.473764 | 0.423639 | 0.409794 | 0.329839 |
(0.23485) | (0.19272) | (0.28449) | (0.68687) | (0.29388) | (0.19849) | |
{ 0.40750} | { 1.89548} | { 1.66530} | { 0.61677} | { 1.39441} | { 1.66178} | |
DTCK(-5) | 0.317661 | 0.608429 | 1.090238 | 0.336534 | 0.495553 | 0.704263 |
(0.23713) | (0.19459) | (0.28725) | (0.69354) | (0.29674) | (0.20041) | |
{ 1.33959} | { 3.12672} | { 3.79539} | { 0.48524} | { 1.67001} | { 3.51407} | |
DTCK(-6) | -0.008911 | 0.273412 | 0.528323 | 0.914668 | 0.272889 | 0.352459 |
(0.24105) | (0.19780) | (0.29200) | (0.70498) | (0.30164) | (0.20372) | |
{-0.03697} | { 1.38225} | { 1.80936} | { 1.29743} | { 0.90470} | { 1.73011} | |
DTCK(-7) | -0.306969 | 0.042118 | 0.721134 | 0.681330 | 0.133919 | 0.098395 |
(0.21811) | (0.17898) | (0.26421) | (0.63790) | (0.27293) | (0.18433) | |
{-1.40742} | { 0.23532} | { 2.72942} | { 1.06809} | { 0.49067} | { 0.53379} | |
DTCK(-8) | -0.218729 | 0.068825 | 0.428288 | 0.179020 | 0.099372 | 0.117175 |
(0.16204) | (0.13297) | (0.19629) | (0.47391) | (0.20277) | (0.13695) | |
{-1.34985} | { 0.51760} | { 2.18194} | { 0.37775} | { 0.49007} | { 0.85562} | |
DTCV(-1) | 1.018590 | 0.099288 | -0.273268 | 0.346250 | -0.475085 | -0.037065 |
(0.21415) | (0.17573) | (0.25941) | (0.62632) | (0.26798) | (0.18099) | |
{ 4.75644} | { 0.56500} | {-1.05341} | { 0.55283} | {-1.77285} | {-0.20479} | |
DTCV(-2) | 0.052128 | -0.727928 | 0.076532 | -0.829548 | -0.476455 | -0.568748 |
(0.29197) | (0.23959) | (0.35369) | (0.85393) | (0.36536) | (0.24676) | |
{ 0.17854} | {-3.03818} | { 0.21638} | {-0.97144} | {-1.30406} | {-2.30484} | |
DTCV(-3) | -0.122000 | -0.135382 | -0.335438 | -1.334658 | 0.005536 | 0.377254 |
(0.32798) | (0.26914) | (0.39731) | (0.95925) | (0.41043) | (0.27720) | |
{-0.37197} | {-0.50301} | {-0.84428} | {-1.39135} | { 0.01349} | { 1.36096} | |
DTCV(-4) | -0.115672 | -0.518192 | -0.621312 | -0.442806 | -0.743773 | -0.595105 |
(0.32082) | (0.26326) | (0.38863) | (0.93829) | (0.40146) | (0.27114) | |
{-0.36056} | {-1.96835} | {-1.59874} | {-0.47193} | {-1.85269} | {-2.19484} |
-0.514544 | -0.661956 | -1.359312 | -0.941132 | -0.637811 | -0.952784 | |
(0.31379) | (0.25750) | (0.38012) | (0.91775) | (0.39267) | (0.26520) | |
{-1.63976} | {-2.57072} | {-3.57603} | {-1.02548} | {-1.62430} | {-3.59267} | |
DTCV(-6) | -0.213467 | -0.550957 | -1.040801 | -0.759833 | -0.570440 | -0.850446 |
(0.32615) | (0.26764) | (0.39509) | (0.95390) | (0.40813) | (0.27565) | |
{-0.65450} | {-2.05857} | {-2.63433} | {-0.79656} | {-1.39768} | {-3.08525} | |
DTCV(-7) | 0.001543 | -0.093938 | -0.448099 | -1.095216 | -0.085065 | -0.013477 |
(0.31296) | (0.25681) | (0.37911) | (0.91530) | (0.39162) | (0.26450) | |
{ 0.00493} | {-0.36579} | {-1.18199} | {-1.19656} | {-0.21721} | {-0.05095} | |
DTCV(-8) | 0.650876 | 0.377280 | 0.073412 | 0.138817 | -0.014592 | 0.258839 |
(0.25100) | (0.20597) | (0.30405) | (0.73410) | (0.31409) | (0.21213) | |
{ 2.59312} | { 1.83171} | { 0.24145} | { 0.18910} | {-0.04646} | { 1.22017} | |
DTT(-1) | 0.003774 | -0.188737 | 0.139001 | -0.016909 | 0.070789 | -0.223360 |
(0.09832) | (0.08068) | (0.11910) | (0.28755) | (0.12303) | (0.08310) | |
{ 0.03838} | {-2.33929} | { 1.16708} | {-0.05880} | { 0.57537} | {-2.68800} | |
DTT(-2) | 0.009656 | 0.099671 | -0.011103 | -0.335348 | 0.069812 | 0.014774 |
(0.10212) | (0.08380) | (0.12370) | (0.29867) | (0.12779) | (0.08631) | |
{ 0.09456} | { 1.18940} | {-0.08975} | {-1.12281} | { 0.54631} | { 0.17119} | |
DTT(-3) | -0.019492 | -0.029894 | 0.004300 | 0.212749 | -0.093577 | -0.205343 |
(0.09239) | (0.07582) | (0.11192) | (0.27022) | (0.11562) | (0.07809) | |
{-0.21097} | {-0.39428} | { 0.03842} | { 0.78731} | {-0.80936} | {-2.62967} | |
DTT(-4) | -0.022742 | 0.057784 | 0.138675 | -0.140733 | 0.121487 | 0.198744 |
(0.09174) | (0.07528) | (0.11113) | (0.26832) | (0.11480) | (0.07754) | |
{-0.24789} | { 0.76754} | { 1.24780} | {-0.52450} | { 1.05821} | { 2.56321} | |
DTT(-5) | 0.116904 | 0.098889 | -0.005450 | 0.296656 | -0.005418 | 0.086081 |
(0.08916) | (0.07316) | (0.10800) | (0.26075) | (0.11157) | (0.07535) | |
{ 1.31123} | { 1.35167} | {-0.05046} | { 1.13769} | {-0.04856} | { 1.14241} | |
DTT(-6) | -0.029828 | -0.030358 | -0.285294 | 0.080567 | 0.086049 | 0.088924 |
(0.08152) | (0.06689) | (0.09875) | (0.23841) | (0.10201) | (0.06889) | |
{-0.36592} | {-0.45384} | {-2.88916} | { 0.33793} | { 0.84356} | { 1.29074} | |
DTT(-7) | 0.094614 | -0.000520 | 0.161630 | 0.107565 | -0.068602 | -0.026295 |
(0.08332) | (0.06837) | (0.10093) | (0.24368) | (0.10426) | (0.07042) | |
{ 1.13554} | {-0.00760} | { 1.60139} | { 0.44141} | {-0.65797} | {-0.37342} | |
DTT(-8) | -0.092856 | -0.061508 | -0.035023 | -0.379141 | 0.155486 | -0.101343 |
(0.08218) | (0.06744) | (0.09955) | (0.24034) | (0.10283) | (0.06945) | |
{-1.12994} | {-0.91210} | {-0.35182} | {-1.57749} | { 1.51201} | {-1.45916} | |
DQD_SA(-1) | 0.042935 | 0.055447 | 0.087762 | -0.510746 | 0.152815 | 0.118275 |
(0.04333) | (0.03556) | (0.05249) | (0.12673) | (0.05422) | (0.03662) | |
{ 0.99082} | { 1.55929} | { 1.67192} | {-4.03005} | { 2.81818} | { 3.22954} | |
DQD_SA(-2) | -0.025406 | -0.001684 | 0.110983 | -0.116886 | 0.024934 | 0.134488 |
(0.05427) | (0.04453) | (0.06574) | (0.15871) | (0.06791) | (0.04586) | |
{-0.46817} | {-0.03781} | { 1.68829} | {-0.73646} | { 0.36717} | { 2.93235} | |
DQD_SA(-3) | 0.025593 | -0.007997 | 0.045239 | 0.220348 | 0.167627 | 0.047695 |
(0.05828) | (0.04782) | (0.07059) | (0.17044) | (0.07292) | (0.04925) | |
{ 0.43916} | {-0.16722} | { 0.64084} | { 1.29282} | { 2.29864} | { 0.96838} | |
DQD_SA(-4) | 0.139559 | 0.035847 | 0.132654 | 0.195661 | 0.058278 | 0.127177 |
(0.05944) | (0.04878) | (0.07201) | (0.17386) | (0.07439) | (0.05024) | |
{ 2.34771} | { 0.73487} | { 1.84217} | { 1.12541} | { 0.78344} | { 2.53140} | |
DQD_SA(-5) | 0.060910 | 0.017635 | -0.040778 | 0.012799 | -0.093840 | -0.030710 |
(0.06543) | (0.05369) | (0.07926) | (0.19136) | (0.08188) | (0.05530) | |
{ 0.93091} | { 0.32844} | {-0.51448} | { 0.06688} | {-1.14611} | {-0.55536} | |
DQD_SA(-6) | 0.069318 | -0.002325 | 0.096163 | -0.118477 | 0.006759 | 0.044659 |
(0.06548) | (0.05373) | (0.07932) | (0.19150) | (0.08194) | (0.05534) | |
{ 1.05863} | {-0.04327} | { 1.21237} | {-0.61867} | { 0.08249} | { 0.80701} | |
DQD_SA(-7) | 0.122221 | 0.127193 | -0.047839 | 0.175824 | -0.098441 | 0.088166 |
(0.06515) | (0.05346) | (0.07892) | (0.19054) | (0.08152) | (0.05506) | |
{ 1.87603} | { 2.37918} | {-0.60618} | { 0.92277} | {-1.20750} | { 1.60125} | |
DQD_SA(-8) | 0.042036 | 0.050033 | -0.190567 | 0.217176 | -0.130846 | 0.026088 |
(0.06128) | (0.05029) | (0.07423) | (0.17923) | (0.07669) | (0.05179) | |
{ 0.68595} | { 0.99493} | {-2.56709} | { 1.21172} | {-1.70628} | { 0.50371} | |
DCPI_SA(-1) | 0.099919 | 0.098131 | -0.029781 | 0.228073 | 0.727121 | 0.069543 |
(0.10152) | (0.08331) | (0.12298) | (0.29692) | (0.12704) | (0.08580) | |
{ 0.98421} | { 1.17793} | {-0.24216} | { 0.76813} | { 5.72357} | { 0.81051} | |
DCPI_SA(-2) | 0.218198 | 0.188277 | 0.123443 | 0.516004 | -0.112703 | 0.367058 |
(0.12153) | (0.09973) | (0.14721) | (0.35543) | (0.15207) | (0.10271) | |
{ 1.79546} | { 1.88795} | { 0.83853} | { 1.45177} | {-0.74110} | { 3.57376} | |
DCPI_SA(-3) | -0.154834 | -0.122039 | -0.210700 | -0.412479 | 0.189415 | -0.248923 |
(0.11676) | (0.09581) | (0.14144) | (0.34148) | (0.14610) | (0.09868) | |
{-1.32612} | {-1.27375} | {-1.48973} | {-1.20793} | { 1.29643} | {-2.52260} | |
DCPI_SA(-4) | -0.075557 | -0.186864 | -0.072578 | -0.231629 | -0.061173 | -0.016233 |
(0.11820) | (0.09699) | (0.14318) | (0.34569) | (0.14791) | (0.09990) | |
{-0.63924} | {-1.92656} | {-0.50690} | {-0.67004} | {-0.41359} | {-0.16250} | |
DCPI_SA(-5) | 0.040430 | 0.064670 | 0.254126 | 0.297394 | 0.099752 | -0.091399 |
(0.11715) | (0.09613) | (0.14191) | (0.34263) | (0.14660) | (0.09901) | |
{ 0.34511} | { 0.67271} | { 1.79074} | { 0.86798} | { 0.68045} | {-0.92313} | |
DCPI_SA(-6) | 0.083053 | 0.120438 | 0.042230 | -0.018099 | -0.208794 | 0.053293 |
(0.10872) | (0.08922) | (0.13170) | (0.31798) | (0.13605) | (0.09189) | |
{ 0.76390} | { 1.34994} | { 0.32065} | {-0.05692} | {-1.53468} | { 0.57998} | |
DCPI_SA(-7) | 0.000995 | -0.031575 | -0.265429 | 0.254078 | -0.008347 | 0.086531 |
(0.10472) | (0.08593) | (0.12686) | (0.30628) | (0.13104) | (0.08851) | |
{ 0.00951} | {-0.36743} | {-2.09238} | { 0.82957} | {-0.06369} | { 0.97769} | |
DCPI_SA(-8) | -0.002506 | 0.024529 | 0.084055 | -0.073375 | 0.019349 | -0.021957 |
(0.08966) | (0.07357) | (0.10861) | (0.26222) | (0.11219) | (0.07577) | |
{-0.02795} | { 0.33340} | { 0.77393} | {-0.27982} | { 0.17246} | {-0.28977} | |
DTG(-1) | -0.086134 | 0.080320 | -0.108652 | -0.014753 | 0.189716 | 0.264370 |
(0.13661) | (0.11210) | (0.16548) | (0.39953) | (0.17094) | (0.11545) | |
{-0.63053} | { 0.71652} | {-0.65659} | {-0.03693} | { 1.10982} | { 2.28986} |
-0.026169 | 0.280913 | 0.287532 | 0.542889 | -0.198823 | 0.006074 | |
(0.14215) | (0.11665) | (0.17220) | (0.41575) | (0.17788) | (0.12014) | |
{-0.18409} | { 2.40815} | { 1.66976} | { 1.30579} | {-1.11770} | { 0.05055} | |
DTG(-3) | 0.368247 | 0.422558 | -0.062812 | -0.036475 | 0.127601 | 0.274430 |
(0.14784) | (0.12132) | (0.17909) | (0.43239) | (0.18500) | (0.12495) | |
{ 2.49084} | { 3.48308} | {-0.35073} | {-0.08436} | { 0.68973} | { 2.19637} | |
DTG(-4) | 0.019404 | -0.034824 | 0.219132 | 0.321041 | 0.218984 | -0.186375 |
(0.15253) | (0.12517) | (0.18477) | (0.44610) | (0.19087) | (0.12891) | |
{ 0.12721} | {-0.27822} | { 1.18597} | { 0.71966} | { 1.14730} | {-1.44577} | |
DTG(-5) | -0.161330 | 0.065659 | 0.070500 | -0.341777 | 0.210593 | 0.055961 |
(0.14284) | (0.11722) | (0.17303) | (0.41777) | (0.17875) | (0.12072) | |
{-1.12943} | { 0.56015} | { 0.40744} | {-0.81810} | { 1.17817} | { 0.46355} | |
DTG(-6) | 0.038925 | 0.002351 | 0.245874 | 0.146379 | 0.405333 | 0.073747 |
(0.12726) | (0.10443) | (0.15416) | (0.37220) | (0.15925) | (0.10755) | |
{ 0.30586} | { 0.02251} | { 1.59493} | { 0.39328} | { 2.54527} | { 0.68567} | |
DTG(-7) | 0.000214 | 0.010659 | 0.306832 | -0.059948 | 0.150910 | 0.130586 |
(0.11716) | (0.09614) | (0.14192) | (0.34266) | (0.14661) | (0.09902) | |
{ 0.00183} | { 0.11087} | { 2.16195} | {-0.17495} | { 1.02933} | { 1.31881} | |
DTG(-8) | -0.072752 | -0.148707 | -0.122561 | -0.229510 | -0.012268 | -0.181410 |
(0.10990) | (0.09018) | (0.13312) | (0.32141) | (0.13752) | (0.09288) | |
{-0.66201} | {-1.64899} | {-0.92065} | {-0.71407} | {-0.08921} | {-1.95319} | |
C | 0.000272 | 0.000257 | -4.41E-05 | -0.000207 | 0.000271 | 0.000121 |
(0.00042) | (0.00035) | (0.00051) | (0.00123) | (0.00053) | (0.00036) | |
{ 0.64676} | { 0.74392} | {-0.08648} | {-0.16834} | { 0.51431} | { 0.34131} | |
R-squared | 0.740800 | 0.773190 | 0.672686 | 0.487969 | 0.826693 | 0.831319 |
Adj. R- squared | 0.592685 | 0.643585 | 0.485650 | 0.195380 | 0.727660 | 0.734930 |
Sum sq. resids | 0.001814 | 0.001221 | 0.002661 | 0.015513 | 0.002840 | 0.001295 |
S.E. equation | 0.004647 | 0.003813 | 0.005629 | 0.013590 | 0.005815 | 0.003927 |
F-statistic | 5.001539 | 5.965717 | 3.596552 | 1.667763 | 8.347683 | 8.624620 |
Log likelihood | 556.2656 | 582.5626 | 530.7633 | 413.5319 | 526.4431 | 578.6416 |
Akaike AIC | -7.628054 | -8.023498 | -7.244561 | -5.481682 | -7.179596 | -7.964535 |
Schwarz SC | -6.563188 | -6.958633 | -6.179695 | -4.416817 | -6.114731 | -6.899670 |
Mean dependent | 3.76E-05 | 3.76E-05 | -0.000248 | -0.000408 | -0.000279 | -0.000205 |
S.D. dependent | 0.007281 | 0.006387 | 0.007848 | 0.015150 | 0.011142 | 0.007628 |
Determinant resid covariance (dof adj.) | 1.22E-28 | |||||
Determinant resid covariance | 7.72E-30 | |||||
Log likelihood | 3325.453 | |||||
Akaike information criterion | -45.58577 | |||||
Schwarz criterion | -39.19657 |
Nguồn: Tính toán của tác giả từ Eviews 6
Bảng 10: Kết quả ước lượng mô hình VAR với biến DCV
Date: 05/11/17 Time: 02:03 | ||||||
Sample (adjusted): 2005M10 2016M10 | ||||||
Included observations: 133 after adjustments | ||||||
Standard errors in ( ) & t-statistics in { } | ||||||
DTCK | DTCV | DTT | DQD_SA | DCPI_SA | DCV | |
DTCK(-1) | -0.581102 | 0.035444 | -0.093580 | 0.104651 | 0.409825 | 0.432094 |
(0.18336) | (0.15388) | (0.21740) | (0.52749) | (0.20744) | (0.18623) | |
{-3.16918} | { 0.23033} | {-0.43045} | { 0.19839} | { 1.97562} | { 2.32021} | |
DTCK(-2) | -0.445427 | -0.188869 | -0.114021 | -0.051367 | -0.171096 | -0.068142 |
(0.23353) | (0.19599) | (0.27689) | (0.67182) | (0.26420) | (0.23719) | |
{-1.90736} | {-0.96367} | {-0.41180} | {-0.07646} | {-0.64760} | {-0.28729} | |
DTCK(-3) | -0.487867 | -0.272356 | -0.192893 | -0.294638 | -0.416234 | -0.351302 |
(0.23963) | (0.20110) | (0.28411) | (0.68936) | (0.27110) | (0.24338) | |
{-2.03596} | {-1.35430} | {-0.67893} | {-0.42741} | {-1.53538} | {-1.44345} | |
DTCK(-4) | -0.013508 | 0.166308 | 0.142977 | 0.347199 | 0.172823 | 0.167832 |
(0.23388) | (0.19628) | (0.27730) | (0.67282) | (0.26459) | (0.23754) | |
{-0.05776} | { 0.84730} | { 0.51561} | { 0.51604} | { 0.65316} | { 0.70655} | |
DTCK(-5) | 0.226258 | 0.421635 | 0.729687 | 0.341116 | 0.009768 | 0.112833 |
(0.22015) | (0.18476) | (0.26102) | (0.63332) | (0.24906) | (0.22359) | |
{ 1.02776} | { 2.28212} | { 2.79555} | { 0.53862} | { 0.03922} | { 0.50464} | |
DTCK(-6) | -0.041809 | 0.269869 | 0.168605 | 1.004799 | -0.257160 | -0.218649 |
(0.21976) | (0.18443) | (0.26056) | (0.63220) | (0.24862) | (0.22320) | |
{-0.19025} | { 1.46325} | { 0.64709} | { 1.58936} | {-1.03435} | {-0.97962} | |
DTCK(-7) | -0.243286 | 0.219316 | 0.538958 | 1.093845 | -0.280892 | -0.370461 |
(0.20482) | (0.17190) | (0.24285) | (0.58923) | (0.23172) | (0.20803) | |
{-1.18779} | { 1.27587} | { 2.21932} | { 1.85639} | {-1.21220} | {-1.78082} | |
DTCK(-8) | -0.168366 | 0.154440 | 0.242200 | 0.403910 | -0.025712 | -0.262026 |
(0.16285) | (0.13667) | (0.19308) | (0.46849) | (0.18424) | (0.16540) | |
{-1.03387} | { 1.13001} | { 1.25438} | { 0.86216} | {-0.13956} | {-1.58420} | |
DTCV(-1) | 1.030762 | 0.319960 | -0.243841 | 0.504408 | -0.398440 | 0.037976 |
(0.20002) | (0.16787) | (0.23716) | (0.57543) | (0.22629) | (0.20315) | |
{ 5.15323} | { 1.90602} | {-1.02818} | { 0.87658} | {-1.76074} | { 0.18693} | |
DTCV(-2) | 0.096092 | -0.420213 | 0.366550 | -0.467130 | -0.503315 | -0.452564 |
(0.26724) | (0.22428) | (0.31685) | (0.76879) | (0.30233) | (0.27142) | |
{ 0.35958} | {-1.87364} | { 1.15686} | {-0.60762} | {-1.66477} | {-1.66740} | |
DTCV(-3) | 0.227157 | 0.323207 | 0.047155 | -0.656964 | 0.449429 | 0.560057 |
(0.29557) | (0.24806) | (0.35044) | (0.85030) | (0.33439) | (0.30020) | |
{ 0.76854} | { 1.30296} | { 0.13456} | {-0.77263} | { 1.34404} | { 1.86563} | |
DTCV(-4) | -0.026300 | -0.317248 | -0.299453 | -0.459688 | -0.420798 | -0.204536 |
(0.29914) | (0.25105) | (0.35468) | (0.86057) | (0.33843) | (0.30382) | |
{-0.08792} | {-1.26367} | {-0.84430} | {-0.53417} | {-1.24339} | {-0.67321} |
-0.528432 | -0.668413 | -0.976002 | -0.838108 | -0.395680 | -0.643339 | |
(0.27512) | (0.23089) | (0.32620) | (0.79147) | (0.31125) | (0.27943) | |
{-1.92073} | {-2.89490} | {-2.99206} | {-1.05893} | {-1.27125} | {-2.30235} | |
DTCV(-6) | 0.003132 | -0.324747 | -0.509134 | -0.720075 | -0.091275 | -0.098257 |
(0.29459) | (0.24724) | (0.34929) | (0.84749) | (0.33328) | (0.29921) | |
{ 0.01063} | {-1.31350} | {-1.45764} | {-0.84965} | {-0.27387} | {-0.32839} | |
DTCV(-7) | 0.109692 | -0.287332 | -0.231796 | -1.146613 | 0.437918 | 0.426795 |
(0.28238) | (0.23698) | (0.33480) | (0.81234) | (0.31946) | (0.28680) | |
{ 0.38846} | {-1.21246} | {-0.69234} | {-1.41149} | { 1.37080} | { 1.48814} | |
DTCV(-8) | 0.563787 | 0.164444 | 0.183538 | -0.455953 | 0.060809 | 0.447929 |
(0.25997) | (0.21818) | (0.30823) | (0.74788) | (0.29411) | (0.26404) | |
{ 2.16868} | { 0.75372} | { 0.59545} | {-0.60966} | { 0.20676} | { 1.69646} | |
DTT(-1) | -0.005142 | -0.222553 | 0.109571 | -0.142200 | 0.007094 | -0.117935 |
(0.09613) | (0.08068) | (0.11398) | (0.27656) | (0.10876) | (0.09764) | |
{-0.05349} | {-2.75849} | { 0.96131} | {-0.51418} | { 0.06523} | {-1.20788} | |
DTT(-2) | 0.047640 | 0.133244 | 0.020428 | -0.184429 | 0.100038 | -0.036018 |
(0.09700) | (0.08141) | (0.11501) | (0.27905) | (0.10974) | (0.09852) | |
{ 0.49114} | { 1.63678} | { 0.17762} | {-0.66092} | { 0.91160} | {-0.36560} | |
DTT(-3) | 0.028073 | 0.033318 | 0.035086 | 0.224826 | -0.087692 | -0.193862 |
(0.08860) | (0.07436) | (0.10505) | (0.25488) | (0.10023) | (0.08999) | |
{ 0.31686} | { 0.44809} | { 0.33400} | { 0.88208} | {-0.87487} | {-2.15438} | |
DTT(-4) | 0.047237 | 0.051708 | 0.161037 | -0.006038 | 0.166853 | 0.104425 |
(0.08537) | (0.07164) | (0.10122) | (0.24558) | (0.09658) | (0.08670) | |
{ 0.55334} | { 0.72174} | { 1.59103} | {-0.02459} | { 1.72765} | { 1.20439} | |
DTT(-5) | 0.121874 | 0.128304 | -0.010862 | 0.170823 | 0.018586 | 0.169048 |
(0.08209) | (0.06889) | (0.09733) | (0.23615) | (0.09287) | (0.08337) | |
{ 1.48472} | { 1.86244} | {-0.11160} | { 0.72338} | { 0.20014} | { 2.02766} | |
DTT(-6) | -0.114162 | -0.150171 | -0.329865 | 0.019826 | 0.080529 | 0.047586 |
(0.08075) | (0.06777) | (0.09574) | (0.23231) | (0.09136) | (0.08202) | |
{-1.41374} | {-2.21587} | {-3.44528} | { 0.08534} | { 0.88148} | { 0.58020} | |
DTT(-7) | 0.047096 | -0.013670 | 0.137579 | -0.098551 | -0.062566 | 0.082787 |
(0.08050) | (0.06756) | (0.09544) | (0.23157) | (0.09107) | (0.08176) | |
{ 0.58507} | {-0.20235} | { 1.44151} | {-0.42557} | {-0.68703} | { 1.01260} | |
DTT(-8) | -0.116012 | -0.072152 | -0.031078 | -0.315583 | 0.155227 | -0.110556 |
(0.07833) | (0.06574) | (0.09287) | (0.22535) | (0.08862) | (0.07956) | |
{-1.48102} | {-1.09754} | {-0.33463} | {-1.40044} | { 1.75161} | {-1.38962} | |
DQD_SA(-1) | 0.048727 | 0.077213 | 0.111068 | -0.497668 | 0.189188 | 0.156404 |
(0.04352) | (0.03653) | (0.05160) | (0.12521) | (0.04924) | (0.04420) | |
{ 1.11954} | { 2.11386} | { 2.15231} | {-3.97470} | { 3.84219} | { 3.53816} | |
DQD_SA(-2) | -0.029152 | 0.039718 | 0.106667 | -0.087853 | 0.052444 | 0.115819 |
(0.05460) | (0.04583) | (0.06474) | (0.15709) | (0.06178) | (0.05546) | |
{-0.53388} | { 0.86671} | { 1.64759} | {-0.55927} | { 0.84896} | { 2.08839} | |
DQD_SA(-3) | 0.024984 | 0.020646 | 0.027938 | 0.205037 | 0.155116 | 0.038888 |
(0.05834) | (0.04896) | (0.06917) | (0.16783) | (0.06600) | (0.05925) | |
{ 0.42825} | { 0.42168} | { 0.40390} | { 1.22168} | { 2.35019} | { 0.65631} | |
DQD_SA(-4) | 0.131949 | 0.090046 | 0.114855 | 0.167701 | 0.056899 | 0.119042 |
(0.06053) | (0.05080) | (0.07177) | (0.17414) | (0.06848) | (0.06148) | |
{ 2.17978} | { 1.77249} | { 1.60029} | { 0.96301} | { 0.83085} | { 1.93624} | |
DQD_SA(-5) | 0.032503 | 0.051076 | -0.063070 | -0.006421 | -0.056179 | 0.032790 |
(0.06443) | (0.05407) | (0.07639) | (0.18536) | (0.07289) | (0.06544) | |
{ 0.50444} | { 0.94454} | {-0.82558} | {-0.03464} | {-0.77069} | { 0.50106} | |
DQD_SA(-6) | 0.031241 | -0.014898 | 0.131081 | -0.128276 | 0.048534 | 0.075046 |
(0.06033) | (0.05063) | (0.07153) | (0.17356) | (0.06826) | (0.06128) | |
{ 0.51781} | {-0.29423} | { 1.83245} | {-0.73907} | { 0.71106} | { 1.22470} | |
DQD_SA(-7) | 0.112272 | 0.149872 | -0.004473 | 0.174395 | -0.044257 | 0.083172 |
(0.06042) | (0.05070) | (0.07163) | (0.17380) | (0.06835) | (0.06136) | |
{ 1.85833} | { 2.95586} | {-0.06245} | { 1.00341} | {-0.64751} | { 1.35545} | |
DQD_SA(-8) | 0.000296 | 0.013216 | -0.159668 | 0.226950 | -0.137713 | -0.019443 |
(0.05869) | (0.04925) | (0.06958) | (0.16883) | (0.06639) | (0.05961) | |
{ 0.00505} | { 0.26832} | {-2.29463} | { 1.34423} | {-2.07415} | {-0.32620} | |
DCPI_SA(-1) | 0.054165 | 0.063900 | -0.023016 | 0.278748 | 0.604578 | 0.099082 |
(0.11041) | (0.09266) | (0.13090) | (0.31762) | (0.12491) | (0.11214) | |
{ 0.49060} | { 0.68963} | {-0.17583} | { 0.87761} | { 4.84022} | { 0.88359} | |
DCPI_SA(-2) | 0.283546 | 0.226048 | 0.111259 | 0.492580 | -0.056038 | 0.237839 |
(0.12926) | (0.10848) | (0.15325) | (0.37184) | (0.14623) | (0.13128) | |
{ 2.19369} | { 2.08384} | { 0.72598} | { 1.32470} | {-0.38322} | { 1.81172} | |
DCPI_SA(-3) | -0.219953 | -0.208360 | -0.271358 | -0.540731 | 0.168620 | -0.124720 |
(0.11863) | (0.09956) | (0.14065) | (0.34126) | (0.13420) | (0.12048) | |
{-1.85418} | {-2.09290} | {-1.92933} | {-1.58450} | { 1.25644} | {-1.03517} | |
DCPI_SA(-4) | -0.067475 | -0.107702 | 0.009055 | -0.173958 | -0.140412 | 0.008174 |
(0.12109) | (0.10162) | (0.14357) | (0.34834) | (0.13699) | (0.12298) | |
{-0.55725} | {-1.05984} | { 0.06307} | {-0.49939} | {-1.02499} | { 0.06646} | |
DCPI_SA(-5) | 0.061131 | 0.100476 | 0.149653 | 0.284018 | 0.180055 | 0.033073 |
(0.11720) | (0.09836) | (0.13896) | (0.33717) | (0.13259) | (0.11904) | |
{ 0.52159} | { 1.02151} | { 1.07695} | { 0.84237} | { 1.35795} | { 0.27784} | |
DCPI_SA(-6) | 0.047320 | 0.060068 | 0.145460 | 0.043251 | -0.217756 | -0.068935 |
(0.10331) | (0.08670) | (0.12249) | (0.29720) | (0.11688) | (0.10493) | |
{ 0.45804} | { 0.69282} | { 1.18754} | { 0.14553} | {-1.86312} | {-0.65698} | |
DCPI_SA(-7) | 0.011594 | -0.016343 | -0.293398 | 0.176054 | 0.003169 | 0.022881 |
(0.10055) | (0.08438) | (0.11922) | (0.28926) | (0.11375) | (0.10212) | |
{ 0.11530} | {-0.19368} | {-2.46107} | { 0.60864} | { 0.02786} | { 0.22406} | |
DCPI_SA(-8) | 0.021082 | 0.041035 | 0.089746 | -0.009671 | 0.004757 | 0.028972 |
(0.08850) | (0.07428) | (0.10493) | (0.25461) | (0.10013) | (0.08989) | |
{ 0.23821} | { 0.55247} | { 0.85527} | {-0.03799} | { 0.04751} | { 0.32231} | |
DCV(-1) | 0.179725 | 0.207928 | 0.237448 | 0.474451 | 0.316977 | -0.042358 |
(0.11167) | (0.09372) | (0.13240) | (0.32125) | (0.12634) | (0.11342) | |
{ 1.60944} | { 2.21866} | { 1.79340} | { 1.47688} | { 2.50902} | {-0.37347} |