Hiệu quả hoạt động của các tổ chức tài chính vi mô tại Việt Nam - 26


Random-effects GLS regression

Number of obs =

128

Group variable: id

Number of groups =

26

R-sq:

within = 0.2557

Obs per group:

min =


4

between = 0.2879

avg =

4.9

overall = 0.2742

max =

5


Wald chi2(8) =

41.94

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed)

Prob > chi2 =

0.0000

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Hiệu quả hoạt động của các tổ chức tài chính vi mô tại Việt Nam - 26



se

Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

pfb

-.3762515

.2890908

-1.30

0.193

-.942859

.190356

age

-.0112648

.0050105

-2.25

0.025

-.0210852

-.0014443

cpb

-.1078765

.0261304

-4.13

0.000

-.1590912

-.0566618

oea

-.0089762

.0085339

-1.05

0.293

-.0257024

.00775

der

-.0247241

.0181514

-1.36

0.173

-.0603002

.010852

par30

.2346548

.8665692

0.27

0.787

-1.46379

1.933099

nab

.0260406

.0414654

0.63

0.530

-.0552301

.1073114

glp

.0327505

.0390065

0.84

0.401

-.0437008

.1092017

_cons

1.65489

.7037354

2.35

0.019

.2755945

3.034186

sigma_u

.12512912



sigma_e

.12963293


rho

.482327

(fraction of variance due to u_i)



Coefficients


(b) fe2

(B)

.

(b-B)

Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) S.E.

pfb

-.2250828

-.3762515

.1511688

.3657838

age

-.0526354

-.0112648

-.0413707

.0109305

cpb

-.0868941

-.1078765

.0209824

.0081913

oea

-.0055092

-.0089762

.003467

.0003201

der

-.0221465

-.0247241

.0025776

.

par30

-.1099122

.2346548

-.344567

.3144592

nab

-.0409506

.0260406

-.0669913

.0275394

glp

.0675938

.0327505

.0348433

.038253

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg


Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic


chi2(8) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 27.10

Prob>chi2 = 0.0007

(V_b-V_B is not positive definite)

Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity in fixed effect regression model

H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i

chi2 (26) = 445.67

Prob>chi2 = 0.0000


Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 25) = 10.292

Prob > F = 0.0036

Dynamic panel-data estimation, two-step system GMM


Group variable: id

Number of obs

=

103

Time variable : year

Number of groups

=

26

Number of instruments = 19

Obs per group: min

=

3

F(9, 25) = 354.86

avg

=

3.96

Prob > F = 0.000

max

=

4


se

Coef.

Std. Err.

t

P>|t|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

se







L1.

.5821673

.1517143

3.84

0.001

.2697057

.8946288

pfb

2.640703

1.404319

1.88

0.072

-.2515467

5.532952

age

-.0456731

.0070234

-6.50

0.000

-.0601381

-.0312081

cpb

.4494569

.123871

3.63

0.001

.1943398

.7045739

oea

-9.398224

1.472048

-6.38

0.000

-12.42996

-6.366485

der

1.136075

.1822222

6.23

0.000

.7607818

1.511369

par30

-7.711767

2.802192

-2.75

0.011

-13.48299

-1.940544

nab

.2880242

.1097998

2.62

0.015

.0618872

.5141611

glp

-.1119417

.114712

-0.98

0.338

-.3481955

.1243121

_cons

-6.851933

3.133885

-2.19

0.038

-13.30629

-.3975758

Warning: Uncorrected two-step standard errors are unreliable.


Instruments for first differences equation Standard

D.(der cpb par30 nab glp)

GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed) L(1/4).(L.se age oea) collapsed

Instruments for levels equation Standard

der cpb par30 nab glp

_cons

GMM-type (missing=0, separate instruments for each period unless collapsed) D.(L.se age oea) collapsed


Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -2.10 Pr > z = 0.036 Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.29 Pr > z = 0.774


Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(9) = 5.19 Prob > chi2 = 0.818 (Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)

Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(9) = 6.60 Prob > chi2 = 0.678 (Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)


Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets: GMM instruments for levels

Hansen test excluding group: chi2(7)

=

6.51

Prob > chi2 =

0.482

Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(2)

=

0.09

Prob > chi2 =

0.955

iv(der cpb par30 nab glp)





Hansen test excluding group: chi2(4)

=

1.85

Prob > chi2 =

0.764

Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(5)

=

4.76

Prob > chi2 =

0.446


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