Vodova, P., 2011. Determinants of Commercial Banks’ Liquidity in the Cezh Republic. Recent Researches in Applied and Computational Mathematics,ISBN: 978-1-61804-00202: 92-97.
PHỤ LỤC 1: Chi tiết các biến nghiên cứu
CAP | NPL | ROE | IRL | IRM | IRB | MIR | GDP | INF | UNE | FIC | L1 | L2 | L3 | L4 | |
T 1/2010 | 0.1248 | 0.0190 | 0.0271 | 0.1600 | 0.0555 | 0.1084 | 0.0750 | 0.0584 | 0.0762 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1556 | 0.2020 | 0.4160 | 0.5402 |
T 2/2010 | 0.1247 | 0.0170 | 0.0266 | 0.1600 | 0.0555 | 0.1050 | 0.0750 | 0.0584 | 0.0846 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1625 | 0.2235 | 0.4162 | 0.5724 |
T 3/2010 | 0.1253 | 0.0200 | 0.0274 | 0.1600 | 0.0555 | 0.0950 | 0.0750 | 0.0584 | 0.0946 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1621 | 0.2127 | 0.4171 | 0.5472 |
T 4/2010 | 0.1253 | 0.0240 | 0.0289 | 0.1450 | 0.0300 | 0.0888 | 0.0700 | 0.0616 | 0.0923 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1629 | 0.2096 | 0.4181 | 0.5379 |
T 5/2010 | 0.1243 | 0.0170 | 0.0255 | 0.1450 | 0.0350 | 0.0875 | 0.0700 | 0.0616 | 0.0905 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1697 | 0.2161 | 0.4169 | 0.5306 |
T 6/2010 | 0.1243 | 0.0180 | 0.0269 | 0.1450 | 0.0250 | 0.0839 | 0.0700 | 0.0616 | 0.0869 | 0.0290 | 0.0000 | 0.1668 | 0.2049 | 0.4188 | 0.5143 |
T 7/2010 | 0.1234 | 0.0210 | 0.0283 | 0.1500 | 0.0300 | 0.0840 | 0.0700 | 0.0652 | 0.0819 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1658 | 0.2039 | 0.4245 | 0.5221 |
T 8/2010 | 0.1285 | 0.0230 | 0.0297 | 0.1500 | 0.0300 | 0.0832 | 0.0700 | 0.0652 | 0.0818 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1753 | 0.2092 | 0.4412 | 0.5266 |
T 9/2010 | 0.1260 | 0.0200 | 0.0292 | 0.1700 | 0.0500 | 0.0817 | 0.0700 | 0.0652 | 0.0892 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1723 | 0.2101 | 0.4339 | 0.5289 |
T 10/2010 | 0.1242 | 0.0210 | 0.0273 | 0.1700 | 0.0500 | 0.1040 | 0.0700 | 0.0678 | 0.0966 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1721 | 0.2117 | 0.4285 | 0.5271 |
T 11/2010 | 0.1227 | 0.0230 | 0.0302 | 0.1800 | 0.0500 | 0.1279 | 0.0900 | 0.0678 | 0.1109 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1711 | 0.2135 | 0.4242 | 0.5292 |
T 12/2010 | 0.1789 | 0.0214 | 0.0217 | 0.1900 | 0.0500 | 0.1317 | 0.1000 | 0.0678 | 0.1175 | 0.0288 | 0.0000 | 0.1715 | 0.2170 | 0.4198 | 0.5310 |
T 1/2011 | 0.1788 | 0.0220 | 0.0220 | 0.1800 | 0.0400 | 0.1314 | 0.1050 | 0.0590 | 0.1217 | 0.0270 | 0.0000 | 0.1717 | 0.2165 | 0.4219 | 0.5319 |
T 2/2011 | 0.1787 | 0.0210 | 0.0217 | 0.1800 | 0.0400 | 0.1265 | 0.1100 | 0.0590 | 0.1224 | 0.0270 | 1.0000 | 0.1709 | 0.2129 | 0.4221 | 0.5258 |
T 3/2011 | 0.1783 | 0.0230 | 0.0235 | 0.2000 | 0.0600 | 0.1331 | 0.1200 | 0.0590 | 0.1279 | 0.0270 | 1.0000 | 0.1704 | 0.2175 | 0.4198 | 0.5357 |
T 4/2011 | 0.1762 | 0.0200 | 0.0261 | 0.2000 | 0.0600 | 0.1306 | 0.1300 | 0.0592 | 0.1395 | 0.0258 | 1.0000 | 0.1669 | 0.2114 | 0.4233 | 0.5362 |
T 5/2011 | 0.1755 | 0.0220 | 0.0329 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1350 | 0.1400 | 0.0592 | 0.1509 | 0.0258 | 1.0000 | 0.1659 | 0.2093 | 0.4288 | 0.5410 |
T 6/2011 | 0.1750 | 0.0240 | 0.0376 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1350 | 0.1500 | 0.0592 | 0.1603 | 0.0258 | 1.0000 | 0.1644 | 0.2051 | 0.4436 | 0.5535 |
T 7/2011 | 0.1744 | 0.0230 | 0.0562 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1366 | 0.1400 | 0.0603 | 0.1689 | 0.0218 | 1.0000 | 0.1625 | 0.2056 | 0.4484 | 0.5674 |
T 8/2011 | 0.1733 | 0.0210 | 0.0694 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1360 | 0.1400 | 0.0603 | 0.1764 | 0.0218 | 1.0000 | 0.1619 | 0.2022 | 0.4504 | 0.5623 |
T 9/2011 | 0.1742 | 0.0230 | 0.0858 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1335 | 0.1400 | 0.0603 | 0.1816 | 0.0218 | 1.0000 | 0.1606 | 0.2002 | 0.4538 | 0.5657 |
T 10/2011 | 0.1722 | 0.0220 | 0.0979 | 0.2250 | 0.0850 | 0.1352 | 0.1500 | 0.0589 | 0.1850 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1586 | 0.1992 | 0.4530 | 0.5690 |
T 11/2011 | 0.1721 | 0.0240 | 0.1129 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1433 | 0.1500 | 0.0589 | 0.1862 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1566 | 0.1970 | 0.4531 | 0.5698 |
T 12/2011 | 0.1722 | 0.0246 | 0.1256 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1240 | 0.1500 | 0.0589 | 0.1858 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1537 | 0.1935 | 0.4531 | 0.5705 |
T 1/2012 | 0.1722 | 0.0240 | 0.1263 | 0.2400 | 0.1000 | 0.1352 | 0.1400 | 0.0475 | 0.1727 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1539 | 0.1929 | 0.4629 | 0.5802 |
T 2/2012 | 0.1722 | 0.0230 | 0.1275 | 0.2100 | 0.0800 | 0.1146 | 0.1300 | 0.0475 | 0.1685 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1541 | 0.1904 | 0.4688 | 0.5791 |
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Xem toàn bộ 83 trang tài liệu này.
0.1751 | 0.0230 | 0.1410 | 0.2100 | 0.0800 | 0.1065 | 0.1150 | 0.0475 | 0.1595 | 0.0227 | 1.0000 | 0.1541 | 0.1894 | 0.4696 | 0.5769 | |
T 4/2012 | 0.1750 | 0.0250 | 0.1616 | 0.1900 | 0.0700 | 0.0766 | 0.1050 | 0.0493 | 0.1457 | 0.0229 | 0.0000 | 0.1548 | 0.1887 | 0.4702 | 0.5734 |
T 5/2012 | 0.1698 | 0.0240 | 0.1632 | 0.1800 | 0.0700 | 0.0705 | 0.0950 | 0.0493 | 0.1330 | 0.0229 | 0.0000 | 0.1509 | 0.1814 | 0.4648 | 0.5589 |
T 6/2012 | 0.1739 | 0.0220 | 0.1701 | 0.1650 | 0.0750 | 0.0752 | 0.0800 | 0.0493 | 0.1220 | 0.0229 | 0.0000 | 0.1513 | 0.1807 | 0.4702 | 0.5616 |
T 7/2012 | 0.1738 | 0.0240 | 0.1938 | 0.1500 | 0.0600 | 0.0666 | 0.0800 | 0.0510 | 0.1120 | 0.0217 | 0.0000 | 0.1516 | 0.1796 | 0.4686 | 0.5550 |
T 8/2012 | 0.1867 | 0.0220 | 0.0618 | 0.1500 | 0.0600 | 0.0724 | 0.0800 | 0.0510 | 0.1041 | 0.0217 | 0.0000 | 0.1642 | 0.2023 | 0.5039 | 0.6210 |
T 9/2012 | 0.1952 | 0.0230 | 0.0292 | 0.1500 | 0.0600 | 0.0502 | 0.0800 | 0.0510 | 0.0996 | 0.0217 | 0.0000 | 0.1710 | 0.2162 | 0.5086 | 0.6431 |
T 10/2012 | 0.1976 | 0.0250 | 0.0223 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | 0.0460 | 0.0700 | 0.0525 | 0.0966 | 0.0199 | 0.0000 | 0.1759 | 0.2212 | 0.5152 | 0.6480 |
T 11/2012 | 0.1980 | 0.0250 | 0.0110 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | 0.0441 | 0.0800 | 0.0525 | 0.0943 | 0.0199 | 0.0000 | 0.1780 | 0.2270 | 0.5145 | 0.6562 |
T 12/2012 | 0.2061 | 0.0255 | 0.0069 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | 0.0800 | 0.0700 | 0.0525 | 0.0921 | 0.0199 | 0.0000 | 0.1805 | 0.2310 | 0.5181 | 0.6631 |
T 1/2013 | 0.2061 | 0.0250 | 0.0069 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | 0.0481 | 0.0650 | 0.0476 | 0.0707 | 0.0210 | 0.0000 | 0.1799 | 0.2295 | 0.5200 | 0.6633 |
T 2/2013 | 0.2063 | 0.0270 | 0.0069 | 0.1500 | 0.0700 | 0.0532 | 0.0700 | 0.0476 | 0.0704 | 0.0210 | 0.0000 | 0.1802 | 0.2314 | 0.5172 | 0.6643 |
T 3/2013 | 0.1972 | 0.0260 | 0.0073 | 0.1400 | 0.0650 | 0.0466 | 0.0650 | 0.0476 | 0.0691 | 0.0210 | 0.0000 | 0.1826 | 0.2355 | 0.5188 | 0.6689 |
T 4/2013 | 0.2004 | 0.0240 | 0.0082 | 0.1400 | 0.0650 | 0.0452 | 0.0650 | 0.0490 | 0.0683 | 0.0228 | 0.0000 | 0.1819 | 0.2331 | 0.4562 | 0.5846 |
T 5/2013 | 0.1990 | 0.0250 | 0.0085 | 0.1300 | 0.0580 | 0.0246 | 0.0600 | 0.0490 | 0.0674 | 0.0228 | 0.0000 | 0.1756 | 0.2299 | 0.4459 | 0.5835 |
T 6/2013 | 0.1980 | 0.0280 | 0.0088 | 0.1300 | 0.0620 | 0.0354 | 0.0600 | 0.0490 | 0.0673 | 0.0228 | 0.0000 | 0.1786 | 0.2335 | 0.4781 | 0.6252 |
T 7/2013 | 0.1986 | 0.0260 | 0.0088 | 0.1300 | 0.0630 | 0.0547 | 0.0600 | 0.0514 | 0.0681 | 0.0222 | 0.0000 | 0.1779 | 0.2304 | 0.4704 | 0.6095 |
T 8/2013 | 0.1996 | 0.0250 | 0.0095 | 0.1300 | 0.0630 | 0.0456 | 0.0550 | 0.0514 | 0.0690 | 0.0222 | 0.0000 | 0.1771 | 0.2292 | 0.4588 | 0.5937 |
T 9/2013 | 0.1947 | 0.0260 | 0.0107 | 0.1200 | 0.0530 | 0.0463 | 0.0550 | 0.0514 | 0.0683 | 0.0222 | 0.0000 | 0.1759 | 0.2303 | 0.4819 | 0.6310 |
T 10/2013 | 0.1963 | 0.0260 | 0.0110 | 0.1200 | 0.0530 | 0.0434 | 0.0500 | 0.0542 | 0.0674 | 0.0220 | 0.0000 | 0.1760 | 0.2293 | 0.4744 | 0.6179 |
T 11/2013 | 0.1968 | 0.0266 | 0.0110 | 0.1200 | 0.0500 | 0.0420 | 0.0500 | 0.0542 | 0.0665 | 0.0220 | 0.0000 | 0.1754 | 0.2293 | 0.4647 | 0.6075 |
T 12/2013 | 0.1924 | 0.0266 | 0.0116 | 0.1200 | 0.0500 | 0.0463 | 0.0550 | 0.0542 | 0.0660 | 0.0220 | 0.0000 | 0.1750 | 0.2282 | 0.4692 | 0.6120 |
T 1/2014 | 0.1913 | 0.0260 | 0.0119 | 0.1200 | 0.0500 | 0.0550 | 0.0550 | 0.0496 | 0.0545 | 0.0218 | 0.0000 | 0.1741 | 0.2282 | 0.4577 | 0.6000 |
T 2/2014 | 0.1911 | 0.0250 | 0.0126 | 0.1200 | 0.0500 | 0.0325 | 0.0270 | 0.0496 | 0.0505 | 0.0218 | 0.0000 | 0.1743 | 0.2246 | 0.4511 | 0.5813 |
T 3/2014 | 0.1916 | 0.0250 | 0.0135 | 0.1100 | 0.0500 | 0.0288 | 0.0270 | 0.0496 | 0.0483 | 0.0218 | 0.0000 | 0.1746 | 0.2248 | 0.4465 | 0.5747 |
T 4/2014 | 0.1916 | 0.0240 | 0.0151 | 0.1100 | 0.0500 | 0.0316 | 0.0300 | 0.0518 | 0.0473 | 0.0214 | 0.0000 | 0.1745 | 0.2212 | 0.4502 | 0.5707 |
T 5/2014 | 0.1909 | 0.0250 | 0.0154 | 0.1100 | 0.0500 | 0.0318 | 0.0300 | 0.0518 | 0.0473 | 0.0214 | 0.0000 | 0.1742 | 0.2188 | 0.4551 | 0.5718 |
T 6/2014 | 0.1910 | 0.0230 | 0.0170 | 0.1050 | 0.0450 | 0.0336 | 0.0350 | 0.0518 | 0.0477 | 0.0214 | 0.0000 | 0.1742 | 0.2135 | 0.4621 | 0.5661 |
T 7/2014 | 0.1906 | 0.0230 | 0.0183 | 0.0850 | 0.0250 | 0.0309 | 0.0270 | 0.0562 | 0.0480 | 0.0212 | 0.0000 | 0.1740 | 0.2107 | 0.4641 | 0.5620 |
0.1904 | 0.0239 | 0.0218 | 0.0850 | 0.0250 | 0.0385 | 0.0300 | 0.0562 | 0.0473 | 0.0212 | 0.0000 | 0.1740 | 0.2092 | 0.4662 | 0.5605 | |
T 9 năm 2014 | 0.1903 | 0.0239 | 0.0247 | 0.0750 | 0.0150 | 0.0274 | 0.0260 | 0.0562 | 0.0461 | 0.0212 | 0.0000 | 0.1739 | 0.2076 | 0.4740 | 0.5659 |
PHỤ LỤC 2: Hồi quy biến phụ thuộc
Mô hình hồi quy biến phụ thuộc L1
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 12/02/14 Time: 22:26 | ||||
Sample: 1 57 | ||||
Included observations: 57 | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
C | 0.158298 | 0.009809 | 16.13799 | 0 |
NPL | -1.098217 | 0.237706 | -4.620067 | 0 |
ROE | 0.146402 | 0.010588 | 13.82692 | 0 |
IRM | -0.045833 | 0.023607 | -1.941545 | 0.0576 |
GDP | -0.108084 | 0.095896 | -1.127098 | 0.2649 |
R-squared | 0.874319 | Mean dependent var | 0.168704 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.864651 | S.D. dependent var | 0.008957 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.003295 | Akaike info criterion | -8.508984 | |
Sum squared resid | 0.000565 | Schwarz criterion | -8.329769 | |
Log likelihood | 247.506 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -8.439335 | |
F-statistic | 90.4364 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.077596 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0 |
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 12/02/14 Time: 22:27 | ||||
Sample: 1 57 | ||||
Included observations: 57 | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
C | 0.223015 | 0.014379 | 15.50972 | 0 |
NPL | -1.03446 | 0.348453 | -2.968722 | 0.0045 |
ROE | 0.282023 | 0.015521 | 18.17019 | 0 |
IRM | -0.06515 | 0.034605 | -1.882685 | 0.0653 |
GDP | -0.466222 | 0.140574 | -3.316558 | 0.0017 |
R-squared | 0.900175 | Mean dependent var | 0.212864 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.892496 | S.D. dependent var | 0.014733 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.004831 | Akaike info criterion | -7.744047 | |
Sum squared resid | 0.001213 | Schwarz criterion | -7.564832 | |
Log likelihood | 225.7053 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -7.674398 | |
F-statistic | 117.2278 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.333187 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0 |
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 12/02/14 Time: 22:28 | ||||
Sample: 1 57 | ||||
Included observations: 57 | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
C | 0.479466 | 0.061241 | 7.829214 | 0 |
NPL | 4.37425 | 1.484067 | 2.947474 | 0.0048 |
ROE | -0.041371 | 0.066105 | -0.625844 | 0.5342 |
IRM | 0.146122 | 0.147382 | 0.991449 | 0.3261 |
GDP | 2.373462 | 0.598707 | 3.96431 | 0.0002 |
R-squared | 0.811597 | Mean dependent var | 0.457273 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.749535 | S.D. dependent var | 0.030135 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.020574 | Akaike info criterion | -2.128369 | |
Sum squared resid | 0.022011 | Schwarz criterion | -1.432319 | |
Log likelihood | 143.1101 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | -1.845882 | |
F-statistic | 17.03532 | Durbin-Watson stat | 1.664449 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0 |
Method: Least Squares | ||||
Date: 12/02/14 Time: 22:29 | ||||
Sample: 1 57 | ||||
Included observations: 57 | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
C | 0.659427 | 0.07027 | 9.384231 | 0 |
NPL | 4.687377 | 1.702873 | 2.752628 | 0.0081 |
ROE | -0.3307 | 0.075851 | -4.359845 | 0.0001 |
IRM | 0.525167 | 0.169112 | 3.10544 | 0.0031 |
GDP | 3.785879 | 0.686979 | 5.510912 | 0 |
R-squared | 0.699965 | Mean dependent var | 0.576614 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.676885 | S.D. dependent var | 0.04153 | |
S.E. of regression | 0.023607 | Akaike info criterion | -0.141961 | |
Sum squared resid | 0.028979 | Schwarz criterion | 0.561936 | |
Log likelihood | 135.2709 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | 0.143633 | |
F-statistic | 30.32828 | Durbin-Watson stat | 2.50307 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0 |