APPENDIX 2: SUMMARY OF POLICIES RELATED TO DEVELOPING LINKAGES IN PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
RAW WOOD IN TUYEN QUANG
TT
Text name | Content | Year of issue | |
I. Land policy group | |||
1 | Decision No. 30/2007/QD-UBND | Approving the Forestry Development Plan of Tuyen Quang province for the period 2006 - 2010, with a vision to 2020. | 2007 |
2 | Directive No. 04/2008/CT-UBND July 23, 2008 | On strengthening the management of forestry land in the province | 2008 |
3 | Decision No. 65/QD-UBND dated March 17, 2010 | On approving the Project on allocating planted forests associated with allocating forestry land under the Program 327 and Project 661 were re-planned as production forests in Tuyen Quang province in 2010. | 2010 |
4 | Decision No. 1770/QD-CT dated December 31, 2012 | On adjusting the planning of 3 types of forests (protection, special use, production) Tuyen Quang province | 2012 |
5 | Resolution No. 40/NQ-HDND dated December 7, 2016 of the People's Council of Tuyen Quang province, term XVIII, 3rd session | On adjusting the Forest Protection and Development Plan of Tuyen Quang for the period 2011-2020, supplementing the plan to 2025 | 2016 |
6 | Decision 1859/QD-UBND, December 31, 2016 | On adjusting the planning of 3 types of forests (protection, special-use, production) in Tuyen Quang province for the period 2016 - 2020 | 2016 |
II. Policy group on forest support and development | |||
1 | Decision No. 21/2007/QD-UBND | Issuing Regulations on supporting production forest planting using capital from the 5 million hectare new planting project Forests in Tuyen Quang province in the period 2007 - 2010 | 2007 |
2 | Decision No. 135/QD-UBND | On promulgating the Plan to implement the Resolution of the Provincial Party Executive Committee (term) XIV) on forestry economic development in the period 2006-2010, orientation to 2020 | 2007 |
3 | Document No. 1527/UBND/NLN of Tuyen Quang Provincial People's Committee | On the rights and obligations of households and individuals assigned to planted forests under Program 327 and Project 661, which were re-planned as production forests in 2010. | 2010 |
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Document No. 2349/UBND/NLN of Tuyen Quang Provincial People's Committee | Regarding support for households and individuals participating in planting, caring for and protecting forests 327 and 661 that have been re-planned as production forests when implementing forest allocation | 2010 | |
5 | Decree No. 75/2015/ND-CP September 9, 2015 of the Government | On the mechanism and policy for forest protection and development, associated with the policy of rapid and sustainable poverty reduction and support for ethnic minorities in the period 2015-2020 | 2015 |
6 | Decision No. 295/QD-UBND September 7, 2016 | Approving the Project to improve productivity, quality and efficiency of planted forests in Tuyen Quang province for the period 2016-2020 | 2016 |
7 | Decision No. 198/QD-UBND June 24, 2016 | On approving the unit price of seedlings, investment rate for planting protective forests, support level for planting protective forests, production in Tuyen Quang province Quang 2016 | 2016 |
8 | Resolution No. 03/2017/NQ-HDND of the People's Council of Tuyen Quang province, Term XVIII, Session 4 | On the policy of supporting high-quality forestry varieties in Tuyen Quang province, period 2018-2021 | 2017 |
9 | Instruction No. 2325/HDLN-NN-TC-KHĐT | On the order, documents and procedures for implementing the policy to support high-quality forestry seedlings in Tuyen Quang province in the period 2018-2021 | 2017 |
10 | Decision No. 1450/QD-UBND December 8, 2017 | On approving the allocation of budget estimates to implement the 2017 Sustainable Forestry Development Target Program | 2017 |
III. Policy group on encouraging and supporting the development of linkages | |||
1 | Decision No. 1012/QD-CT dated June 27, 2008 | On approving the planning of raw material production area supplying An Hoa Pulp Mill, Tuyen Quang province | 2008 |
2 | Decision No. 300/QD-CT dated March 25, 2013 | On the establishment of the Steering Committee for planting paper raw material forests in Tuyen Quang province | 2013 |
3 | Plan No. 1391/2014/KH- BNN-TCLN April 29, 2014 | On Developing Economic Cooperation and Linkage in Forestry Product Value Chains for the 2014 - 2020 Period | 2014 |
4 | Decision No. 258/QD-UBND dated September 7, 2015 | On approving the Plan for allocating planted forests using state budget capital that have been re-planned as production forests after adjusting the classification of 3 forest types according to Decision 1770/QD-CT dated December 31, 2012 of the Chairman of the Provincial People's Committee | 2015 |
5
Resolution No. 05/2016/NQ-HDND July 13, 2016 | On the policy to encourage the development of agricultural, forestry and fishery cooperatives in Tuyen Quang province | 2016 | |
6 | Decision No. 38/2016/QD-TTg September 14, 2016 | On promulgating a number of policies on forest protection, development and investment in supporting infrastructure, assigning public service tasks to companies agriculture, forestry | 2016 |
7 | Notice No. 150/TB-VP dated March 21, 2017 | Announcement of the conclusion of Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc at the working session with leaders Tuyen Quang Provincial Committee on Forestry Economic Development | 2017 |
8 | Decree 98/2018/ND-CP July 5, 2018 | On policies to encourage the development of cooperation and association in the production and consumption of agricultural products | 2018 |
9 | Resolution No. 11/2019/NQ-HDND August 1, 2019 | On the policy of supporting the linkage of production and consumption of agricultural products in Tuyen Quang province | 2019 |
APPENDIX 3: LOGIT MODEL RESULTS
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Cases a
N | Percent | ||
Selected Cases | Included in Analysis | 390 | 88.2 |
Missing Cases | 52 | 11.8 | |
Total | 442 | 100.0 | |
Unselected Cases | 0 | .0 | |
Total | 442 | 100.0 | |
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value
Internal Value | |
0 | 0 |
1 | 1 |
Block 0: Beginning Block
Iteration History a,b,c
Iteration
-2 Log likelihood | Coefficients | ||
Constant | |||
Step 0 | 1 | 534,227 | .256 |
2 | 534,227 | .258 | |
3 | 534,227 | .258 |
b. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 534,227 |
c. Estimation terminated at iteration number 3 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001. |
Classification Table a,b
Observed
Predicted | |||||
Y | Percentage Correct | ||||
0 | 1 | ||||
Step 0 | Y | 0 | 0 | 170 | .0 |
1 | 0 | 220 | 100.0 | ||
Overall Percentage | 56.4 | ||||
b. The cut value is .500 |
Variables in the Equation
B | SE | Wald | df | Sig. | Exp(B) | ||
Step 0 | Constant | .258 | .102 | 6.375 | 1 | .012 | 1,294 |
Variables not in the Equation
Score | df | Sig. | |||
Step 0 | Variables | X1 | 33,447 | 1 | .000 |
X2 | .074 | 1 | .786 | ||
X3 | .404 | 1 | .525 | ||
X4 | .155 | 1 | .694 | ||
X5 | 19,057 | 1 | .000 | ||
X6 | 78,038 | 1 | .000 | ||
X7 | 194,457 | 1 | .000 | ||
X8 | 115,680 | 1 | .000 | ||
X9 | 173,227 | 1 | .000 | ||
X10 | 81,746 | 1 | .000 | ||
Overall Statistics | 281,231 | 10 | .000 | ||
Block 1: Method = Enter
Iteration History a,b,c,d
Iteration
-2 Log likelihood | Coefficients | ||||||
Constant | X1 | X2 | X3 | X4 | |||
Step 1 | 1 | 217,403 | -2.770 | .001 | -.010 | -.036 | -.102 |
2 | 160,459 | -4.837 | .003 | -.015 | -.150 | -.172 | |
3 | 141,742 | -6.925 | .005 | -.019 | -.288 | -.237 | |
4 | 137,564 | -8.525 | .006 | -.022 | -.367 | -.283 | |
5 | 137,235 | -9.153 | .007 | -.024 | -.389 | -.296 | |
6 | 137,232 | -9.221 | .007 | -.024 | -.391 | -.297 | |
7 | 137,232 | -9.222 | .007 | -.024 | -.391 | -.297 | |
Iteration History a,b,c,d
Iteration
Coefficients | |||||||
X5 | X6 | X7 | X8 | X9 | X10 | ||
Step 1 | 1 | .282 | .666 | 1.401 | .673 | 1,186 | .666 |
2 | .622 | 1,282 | 2.021 | 1,159 | 1,818 | 1,219 | |
3 | 1,037 | 1,918 | 2,562 | 1,591 | 2,374 | 1,725 | |
4 | 1,383 | 2,392 | 2,956 | 1,893 | 2,779 | 2,078 | |
5 | 1,521 | 2,571 | 3.105 | 2.005 | 2,934 | 2.209 | |
6 | 1,536 | 2,590 | 3.120 | 2.016 | 2,950 | 2.222 | |
7 | 1,536 | 2,590 | 3.120 | 2.016 | 2,951 | 2.222 | |
b. Constant is included in the model. |
c. Initial -2 Log Likelihood: 534,227 |
d. Estimation terminated at iteration number 7 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001. |
Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients
Chi-square | df | Sig. | ||
Step 1 | Step | 396,995 | 10 | .000 |
Block | 396,995 | 10 | .000 | |
Model | 396,995 | 10 | .000 |
Model Summary
Step
-2 Log likelihood | Cox & Snell R Square | Nagelkerke R Square | |
1 | 137.232 a | .639 | .856 |
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 7 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Classification Table a
Observed
Predicted | |||||
Y | Percentage Correct | ||||
0 | 1 | ||||
Step 1 | Y | 0 | 156 | 14 | 91.8 |
1 | 14 | 206 | 93.6 | ||
Overall Percentage | 92.8 | ||||
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B | SE | Wald | df | Sig. | Exp(B) | ||
Step 1 a | X1 | .007 | .003 | 6,746 | 1 | .009 | 1,007 |
X2 | -.024 | .032 | .539 | 1 | .463 | .976 | |
X3 | -.391 | .542 | .519 | 1 | .471 | .677 | |
X4 | -.297 | .473 | .394 | 1 | .530 | .743 | |
X5 | 1,536 | .581 | 6,995 | 1 | .008 | 4,646 | |
X6 | 2,590 | .537 | 23,281 | 1 | .000 | 13,326 | |
X7 | 3.120 | .511 | 37,257 | 1 | .000 | 22,650 | |
X8 | 2.016 | .502 | 16,163 | 1 | .000 | 7,510 | |
X9 | 2,951 | .502 | 34,567 | 1 | .000 | 19,118 | |
X10 | 2.222 | .506 | 19,301 | 1 | .000 | 9,230 | |
Constant | -9.222 | 1,650 | 31,255 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: X1, X2, X3, X4, X5, X6, X7, X8, X9, X10.
Step number: 1
Observed Groups and Predicted Probabilities
160 +
+
I
I
I
I
FI
I
R 120 +
+
EI
I
QI
1I
UI
1I
E 80 +0
1+
N I0
1I
C I0
1I
Y I0
1I
1+
11I
1 11I
40 +0
I0 I00
I0000 1 1
1 1 11 11111I
Predicted ---------+--------+--------+--------+--------- +---------
+--------+--------+--------+----------
Prob: 0 ,1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,6
,7 ,8 ,9 1
Group: 000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000011111111111111111111
111111111111111111111111111111
Predicted Probability is of Membership for 1 The Cut Value is .50
Symbols: 0 - 0
1 - 1
Each Symbol Represents 10 Cases.
APPENDIX 4. CALCULATION OF INDICATORS FOR PRODUCTION RESULTS OF HOUSEHOLD RAW MATERIAL WOOD PLANTING
PL-4.1. Calculation results of indicators of linked and non-linked household groups in the form of direct linkage between An Hoa Paper Joint Stock Company and households
a, Group of associated households
Tree species: Acacia hybrid
Mining cycle: 6 years Discount rate: 7.5%
Unit: VND
Year
Income (Bt) | Cost (Ct) | Bt - Ct | |
0 | 0 | 6,057,500.0 | (6,057,500.0) |
1 | 0 | 3,532,500.0 | (3,532,500.0) |
2 | 0 | 3,655,000.0 | (3,655,000.0) |
3 | 0 | 900,000.0 | (900,000.0) |
4 | 0 | 600,000.0 | (600,000.0) |
5 | 0 | 600,000.0 | (600,000.0) |
6 | 84,229,500.0 | 18,470,000.0 | 65,759,500.0 |
Total | 84,229,500.0 | 33,815,000.0 | 50,414,500.0 |
Target
Unit | Value | |
NPV | Copper | 28,511,608.3 |
IRR | % | 25% |
BCR | Time | 2.09 |
a, Unaffiliated household groups
Year
Income (Bt) | Cost (Ct) | Bt - Ct | |
0 | 0 | 8,492,500.00 | (8,492,500.00) |
1 | 0 | 3,730,000.00 | (3,730,000.00) |
2 | 0 | 4,195,000.0 | (4,195,000.00) |
3 | 0 | 900,000.0 | (900,000.00) |
4 | 0 | 600,000.0 | (600,000.00) |
5 | 0 | 600,000.0 | (600,000.00) |
6 | 79,686,000.0 | 17,560,000.0 | 62,126,000.00 |
Total | 79,686,000.00 | 36,077,500.00 | 43,608,500.00 |





