Model of Factors Affecting Cltd at Agribank Vietnam


enterprises and the ability to manage and monitor bank loans. In which, Credit terms are the strongest influencing factor with a Beta coefficient of 3.11. Because most small and medium enterprises find that the credit terms offered by banks such as: loan interest rates, collateral requirements, loan repayment period... are disadvantageous to the business. This has partly caused costs for the business and affected the business's production and business activities. On that basis, the author also makes some recommendations to improve credit efficiency for commercial banks in Kenya. (Leah Atieno Auma, 2017). [91]

Domestic research:


Nguyen Kim Anh (2004) has presented "basic theories on credit operations, from which he analyzed factors affecting the development of credit operations of Vietnamese commercial banks such as: loan appraisal, collateral assessment, credit risk management... these are also factors affecting the credit quality of banks". (Nguyen Kim Anh, 2004), [29]

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Nguyen Van Tuan (2015) used descriptive statistics and secondary data analysis methods to clarify the current status of credit quality at Agribank Vietnam through a group of quantitative indicators such as: Group of indicators reflecting the scale of credit capital provision of commercial banks, Group of indicators reflecting the level of safety in credit activities of commercial banks, Group of indicators of commercial banks' profits; and qualitative indicators such as: Bank credit granting process, Internal credit rating system to assess the debt repayment capacity of enterprises, Indicators reflecting the capacity to develop credit products and customer care policies. At the same time, combined with the use of primary data analysis methods through Cronbach's Alpha reliability coefficient analysis, EFA (Exploratory Factor Analysis), ANOVA variance analysis and regression analysis, the study quantified the level of influence of factors on the credit quality of Agribank Vietnam including: Bank credit policy; Bank credit procedures and regulations; Organizational work; Bank human resource quality; Management capacity; Banking technology equipment; Credit information; Internal inspection and control work; Capital mobilization work. In which, the factor "Bank credit procedures and regulations" has the strongest influence with a coefficient of 0.265; followed by the factor "Bank credit policy" with a coefficient of 0.257 and the lowest influence is the factor "Bank organization work" with a coefficient of 0.069".


Model of Factors Affecting Cltd at Agribank Vietnam

Credit policy

Internal control and inspection work

Quality of human resources

CREDIT QUALITY

Capital mobilization

Organizational work

Management capacity

Credit information

Credit process

Technology equipment


Source: Nguyen Van Tuan (2015), [35]


Figure 2.2. Model of factors affecting credit quality at Agribank Vietnam

2.3.3. Studies on bank credit for supporting industries


Foreign research:


Zaghum Umar et al. (2019). The study examines the conditional correlation and optimal hedge ratio results between credit default swap (CDS) spreads of the US metal mining industry of copper, platinum, silver and gold used during 2017-2018. The volatility and conditional correlation of CDS and metal prices are compared using multivariate GARCH models, differentiating features of financial time series. The study uses estimation techniques and constructs forecasts of optimal hedge ratios. The results of the study show that copper prices are a better substitute for other metal prices in the US and that copper mining industries have lower credit risk than other metal mining (Zaghum Umar et al. 2019). [121]

LingxiaoTang et al. (2019). With the rapid growth of credit card business in China's energy industry, credit risks are gradually exposed. This study aims to scientifically measure the credit risk of credit cards used in China 's energy industry and lay a foundation for comprehensive credit risk management. Based on the analysis of influencing factors of credit risk, this study applies a random algorithm and monthly data of credit cards used by energy industry customers in a branch of the Postal Savings Bank of China from April 2014 to June 2015.


2017 to construct an effective credit risk assessment model and scientifically measure credit risk in China's energy industry. The results show that credit card features such as overdraft ratio and credit card expense amount within a month have a significant impact on credit risk, the comprehensive prediction accuracy of our model is as high as 91.5%, and its stability is very satisfactory. These findings can provide valuable information to help banks improve credit risk management (LingxiaoTang et al. 2019). [92]

ShiqiOu ZhenhongLin et al. (2019). The Chinese government introduced a new energy vehicle credit limit in 2017 to encourage fuel-saving and electrification technologies in the Chinese passenger car market. This study summarizes the dual credit policy and develops a Credit Model for the Energy and Oil Consumption Industry to quantify the impact of this policy on consumer choice and profitability of the clean energy industry, in which the capital subsidy is used to represent the industry's response to the policy. The key findings from the model results include: (1) Enterprise Average Fuel Consumption rules alone can stimulate more sales of electric vehicles (PEVs) than the dual credit policy; however, (2) the dual credit policy can stimulate more battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in the market, compared to other policy scenarios; (3) the industry may lose about $2122/vehicle in 2020 under the dual credit policy; (4) battery electric vehicles with ranges greater than 250km and plug-in hybrid SUVs may become popular under the dual credit policy; (5) credit allocation to BEVs under the dual credit policy may affect PEV production; and (6) the reduction in fuel-saving technology costs helps to minimize the profit loss affected by the preferential credit policy. (ShiqiOu ZhenhongLin et al. 2019). [110]

Alfredo JuanGrau (2018). Analyzing the impact of trade credit on profitability determinants during the European crisis. The study uses panel data for a total of more than 24,000 European agri-food companies from 2010 to 2014. Among the main contributions of the study is that separating industry effects and country effects by separating national policies and trade credit provision, the impact of trade credit on profitability depends on the country and the characteristics of the size, specificity, market power or reputation of the European agri-food company. (Alfredo JuanGrau, 2018), [70]

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Studies on information technology to expand the analysis of information in the industry, thereby promoting a deeper understanding of the processes, operations, policy making and rational planning of the industry (Li et al., 2015), [89]. However, due to the lack of micro-level or complete data on supporting industry enterprises, few studies have fully analyzed the spatial distribution of supporting industry industries in China at multiple scales, from the perspective of time change, incorporating all types of supporting industry enterprises (Watkins, 2014), [117]. The Administration for Industry and Commerce (AIC) of China is funded to register, supervise and manage supporting industry enterprises and protect the rights and interests of consumers (AIC, 2016). Regional offices record detailed operational information for each enterprise. The registration data of supporting industry enterprises, collected from the China AIC office, can enable and support the spatiotemporal analysis of supporting industry sectors. A typical registration file contains information of a supporting industry enterprise, including name, address, registration date, supporting industry category, business scope, postal code, legal representative, and registered capital. Typically, these records are recorded manually and entered into the system at local AIC locations. During this process, important information is over-looked or overlooked and thus frequently missing from the database. In the study by FaLi et al. (2018) [81], 43.64% of the data did not have supporting industry category values. However, this information is required when conducting spatial distribution analysis of supporting industry types and industries. Thus, the lack of customer information will affect the accuracy of the bank's credit decisions (FaLi et al., 2018), [81]. In addition to customer information that is a supporting industry enterprise, information about the operating plan of the supporting industry enterprise is also valuable information for the bank to decide to grant credit. An effective operating plan ensures that the supporting industry enterprise operates well (Luengo et al. 2012). Moreover, the application of Science and Technology in the operations of supporting industry enterprises is extremely necessary in the supporting industry.

The analysis of the capacity of supporting industry enterprises, the financial capacity of supporting industry enterprises is emphasized in demonstrating the competitiveness of enterprises and especially the capital policies of supporting industry enterprises are demonstrated through the studies of Combes and Associates (2010), [75]. By analyzing the financial capacity of supporting industry enterprises and the capital structure in supporting industry enterprises, many authors have tried to explain the capital structures of enterprises such as Giuliano and Associates.

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1991; Liu et al. (2016), [90]. Studies on clustering of supporting industry enterprises and participation in supporting industry clusters by Duranton et al. (2005), [77], when supporting industry enterprises participate in industry clusters, it will ensure that the enterprise's operations are more efficient and safe, increase the enterprise's internal capacity, and help enterprises access credit sources more easily (M. Colledani et al. 2010), [96]. A research model by Bernard et al. (2011), [72] also shows that the use of information by supporting industry enterprises when participating in the Multinational Corporation network is useful information for the industry in general and the supporting industry in particular. If an enterprise participates in the Multinational Corporation network, it proves that the enterprise is developing and has prestige in the domestic and international markets. Domenech et al. (2011), [78] concluded that the use of enterprise-related information such as financial capacity, level of participation in global networks will be important data to optimize information to assess the development of enterprises and certainly this will be an important source of information for banks to decide whether to provide capital or not? Information on the type of CNHT enterprise, the duration of operation of the enterprise, the enterprise's business portfolio, geographical information... these data are taken from many different sources. In China, they are taken from the AIC office, this data source is easier to apply to researchers, planners and decision makers (FaLi et al., 2018), [81]

Domestic research:


Phuong Chi (2011), "Credit creates conditions for the development of supporting industries". The author's research results show that the Government has identified that in the coming time, supporting industries are one of the areas that need to prioritize capital allocation for development and the banking sector needs to continue to implement monetary and credit solutions to fully and promptly meet the borrowing needs of businesses. Banks need to continue to improve the process of assessing customers' creditworthiness and business activities to improve appraisal efficiency, thereby increasing the ability to lend without collateral; Develop credit programs and packages with reasonable interest rates for businesses, diversify banking products and services; Simplify administrative procedures to increase businesses' access to capital. On the part of supporting industries businesses, they must improve themselves, strengthen their management capacity, seek markets, and provide transparent information to enhance their reputation with banks. Enterprises need to participate in production and business activities according to the product value chain to create

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conditions for banks to control cash flow and financial situation of enterprises during the borrowing process. (Phuong Chi, 2011), [50]

Thach Hue (2017), "Credit solutions for supporting industry enterprises". The article analyzed the current situation of Vietnam's supporting industry in recent times and showed that financial resources are still limited, enterprises in Vietnam's supporting industry are facing many difficulties and challenges to innovate and develop. The author believes that "essential solutions are needed for capital sources, preferential finance, infrastructure and factory space to help supporting industry enterprises increase investment in production and technology. At the same time, improve the quality of human resources and orient the search for markets as well as product output". Through a survey of enterprises, it is shown that many commercial banks have paid attention and provided certain support to supporting technology industries and fields. Specifically, such as Vietnam Development Bank (VDB), Vietnam Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Industry and Trade, Tien Phong Bank... However, the author also stated that "in practice, accessing preferential credit sources for supporting industry enterprises is not as easy and convenient as desired. Difficulties in complicated loan procedures; lack of collateral, small scale of production and business, poor financial management skills and, in addition, inadequate and non-transparent information and finance... are barriers that make it difficult for small and medium-sized enterprises in the supporting industry to borrow credit when needed." In the solution section, the author proposed that "Relevant levels and sectors should soon study credit support solutions with preferential interest rates, flexible loan terms and loan limits suitable to the conditions of enterprises. At the same time, loosen regulations on mortgaged assets... so that enterprises can easily access capital when needed, instead of having to borrow from informal channels in the market. In addition, it is also necessary to establish a financial fund specifically for supporting industry enterprises and an open fund to attract all domestic and international funding sources. Private enterprises in the supporting technology and supporting technology for high technology should be allowed to access ODA loans to invest in purchasing equipment, machinery, and technology from foreign countries such as Japan, Korea, and some advanced technology countries. From there, increase production capacity and join the global production chain. Even allow and support Vietnamese supporting industry enterprises to invest in acquiring enterprises in Japan that are producing supporting technology components. Because these Japanese enterprises are facing difficulties in the problem of aging population and lack of successor generations,

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are in need of technology transfer to Vietnamese enterprises". (Thach Hue, 2017), [62]

2.3.4. Research gaps and research directions of the thesis


After reviewing domestic and foreign research related to the topic, the author found that previous research has the following main directions:

- When researching the credit quality of commercial banks, the authors all approach it from the perspective of credit for enterprises in general or for production households at a commercial bank or a group of commercial banks, but do not specifically research credit for enterprises in the supporting industry.

- For studies on factors affecting credit quality, the authors have used many different models and methods (GMM dynamic panel data regression method, VAR model, multiple linear regression model, SEM linear structure model) to measure the level of influence of internal and external factors on credit quality, however, the authors only approached from the perspective of credit for enterprises in general and did not delve into credit research for enterprises in the supporting industry.

- There are many studies on the field of supporting industries, but they only focus on the development of supporting industries, the role of supporting industries in economic development, or the impact of supporting industries on attracting foreign direct investment (FDI), but do not delve into credit activities for supporting industries.

- There are very few studies on credit for supporting industry enterprises in Vietnam at present. However, in the world, there are quite a few studies on credit for each supporting industry such as automobile manufacturing, metal mining, etc. and studies on assessing factors affecting credit risk for supporting industry enterprises at commercial banks.

Lending activities of commercial banks are the main activities that bring a lot of profit to banks but always have many potential risks, so commercial banks must find measures to improve credit quality. On the other hand, the field of supporting industry, although it was born a long time ago in the world, has only recently received attention in Vietnam. Enterprises operating in the supporting industry are usually small and medium enterprises, although they have borrowed capital from banks to maintain their operations, but the operating efficiency is not high due to the fragmentation in the process of organizing production and business and not receiving appropriate support from the State. Therefore


These enterprises have contributed to increasing bad debts for the banking system. Currently, the development of the supporting industry is mainly from attracting foreign direct investment (FDI), while access to credit for small and medium enterprises operating in the supporting industry is facing many difficulties.

Therefore, the author realizes that the research on credit activities for the supporting industry in Vietnam is currently very new when the supporting industry has just begun to appear in Vietnam but has not yet been deeply integrated. Based on that perception, the author directs his research to analyze the current status of credit quality for the supporting industry and the factors affecting credit quality for the supporting industry at Vietnamese commercial banks to find solutions to improve credit quality for the supporting industry at Vietnamese commercial banks in the coming time.

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