Prognostic role of sST2 biomarker in heart failure - 2


LIST OF TABLES

Table 1.1 Meta-analyses of the prognostic role of sST2 in chronic heart failure...31 Table 1.2 Studies of the prognostic role of sST2 in heart failure 32

Table 2.1 Classification of body mass index according to Asia-Pacific standards

..........................................................................................................43

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Table 2.2 Diagnostic criteria for anemia according to the World Health Organization 225 44

Table 2.3 Values ​​of variables used in the study 47

Prognostic role of sST2 biomarker in heart failure - 2

Table 3.1 Average values ​​of heart rate and blood pressure 62

Table 3.2 Characteristics of hematological test values ​​62

Table 3.3 Biochemical test characteristics 63

Table 3.4 Characteristics of echocardiographic values ​​64

Table 3.5 Characteristics of medical treatment at admission and after 6 months 65

Table 3.6 Characteristics of sST2 in study 68

Table 3.7 Association between sST2 and clinical characteristics 69

Table 3.8 Differences in sST2 concentrations by gender and body mass index 69

Table 3.9 Differences in sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations according to NYHA classification ...70 Table 3.10 sST2 concentrations according to the cause of heart failure 70

Table 3.11 Differences in sST2 concentrations in comorbidity groups 71

Table 3.12 Correlation between test parameters and sST2 concentration 72

Table 3.13 Correlation between sST2 and NT-proBNP with echocardiographic parameters

.......................................................................................................... 73

Table 3.14 sST2 concentration according to number of hospitalizations 73

Table 3.15 sST2 concentration according to indications for treatment groups 74

Table 3.16 Univariate Cox regression analysis of all-cause mortality 75

Table 3.17 Multivariate Cox regression analysis of all-cause mortality 76

Table 3.18 Adjusted HR for all-cause mortality 76

Table 3.19 Univariate Cox regression analysis for cardiovascular mortality 77

Table 3.20 Multivariate Cox regression analysis of cardiovascular mortality 78

Table 3.21 Independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality .78 Table 3.22 Univariate Cox regression analysis of hospitalization for heart failure 79

Table 3.23 Multivariate Cox regression analysis of hospitalization for heart failure 80

Table 3.24 Comparison of cardiovascular event rates by sST2 concentration subgroups

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Table 3.25 Association between sST2 concentration and all-cause mortality 83

Table 3.26 Comparison of C statistical values ​​of sST2 and NT-proBNP 86 values

Table 3.27 Comparison of prognostic models 87

Table 3.28 Comparison of combined prognostic models 87

Table 3.29 Group analysis of all-cause mortality 88

Table 4.1 Age characteristics in studies 90

Table 4.2 Characteristics of comorbidities in studies 94

Table 4.3 PSTM characteristics in studies 99

Table 4.4 Characteristics of echocardiographic parameters in 100 studies

Table 4.5 Characteristics of medical treatment in studies 102

Table 4.6 Characteristics of sST2 concentrations in studies 103

Table 4.7 Correlation between sST2 and biochemical indices in studies 111 Table 4.8 Correlation between sST2 and NT-proBNP in studies 111

Table 4.9 Correlation between sST2 and PSTM, TTTTTTg, and DKNT in studies

rescue 112

Table 4.10 Frequency of events in studies 114

Table 4.11 sST2 cutoff points in 119 studies


LIST OF CHARTS

Figure 1.1 Prevalence of chronic heart failure by age and sex 5


Figure 1.2 Survival rate after diagnosis of chronic heart failure 6


Figure 1.3 Prognostic value of sST2 according to cut-off point 28 ng/ml 30


Figure 1.4 Comparison of prognosis of sST2, NT-proBNP and troponin T 30


Figure 3.1 Gender distribution by age groups 59


Figure 3.2 Distribution of physical characteristics of the study population 59


Figure 3.3 NYHA functional classification 60


Figure 3.4 Distribution of causes of chronic heart failure in the study of 60


Figure 3.5 Rate of comorbidities 61


Figure 3.6 Distribution of the number of comorbidities 61


Figure 3.7 Percentage (%) of functional and physical symptoms 62


Figure 3.8 Distribution of chronic anemia 63


Figure 3.9 Distribution of estimated glomerular filtration rate 63


Figure 3.10 Radiographic characteristics of the study population 64


Figure 3.11 Correlation chart between echocardiographic indices 64


Figure 3.12 Distribution chart of NT-proBNP 65


Figure 3.13 Cumulative event rates after 3, 6, 12 months of follow-up 66


Figure 3.14 Distribution chart of causes of death 66


Figure 3.15 Hospitalization frequency rate in 12 months 67


Figure 3.16 Distribution of sST2 concentration 67


Figure 3.17 Distribution of sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations according to functional classification

NYHA 70

Figure 3.18 sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations according to the number of comorbidities 71

Figure 3.19 Correlation chart between sST2 and NT-proBNP concentrations 72

Figure 3.20 Graph of sST2 and all-cause mortality over time 81

Figure 3.21 ROC curve showing the predictive value of all-cause mortality of sST2 82

Figure 3.22 All-cause mortality curve according to sST2 concentration

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Figure 3.23 ROC curve comparing sST2 and NT-proBNP values ​​according to all-cause mortality 84

Figure 3.24 ROC curve comparing sST2 and NT-proBNP values ​​according to cardiovascular death events 84

Figure 3.25 ROC curve comparing sST2 and NT-proBNP values ​​according to heart failure hospitalization events 85

Figure 3.26 Rate of cardiovascular events according to subgroups of sST2 and NT-proBNP 86


LIST OF DIAGRAM

Figure 1.1 Pathophysiological mechanism of heart failure 7


Figure 1.2 Heart failure diagnosis diagram 10


Figure 1.3 Schematic diagram of the ST2 18 gene promoter regions


Figure 1.4 Structure of the two main ST2 isoforms: ST2L and sST2 19


Figure 1.5 Local regulatory mechanism and cytokine function of IL-33 20


Figure 1.6 Dynamic inflammatory and immune functions of the IL-33/ST2L system 23


Figure 2.1 Research diagram 54


Figure 3.1 Research procedure diagram 58


LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1.1 Frequency of chronic heart failure in the world 4

Figure 1.2 Biomarkers according to the pathophysiological mechanism of heart failure 13

Figure 1.3 Location of ST2 gene on chromosome 2 17

Figure 1.4 Anti-fibrotic and anti-remodeling functions of the IL-33/ST2 system 24

Figure 1.5 Role of the IL33/ST2 system in normal and failing hearts 25

Figure 1.6 Sources of sST2 protein production in heart failure 26


INTRODUCTION

Chronic heart failure is a common health problem, increasing and associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and health care costs 1-3 . Chronic heart failure is not only a burden in Europe and the United States but is also increasing and has a great impact in Asia in general and Southeast Asian countries in particular 2,4,5,6 . Despite many advances in treatment, the mortality and hospitalization rates of patients with chronic heart failure with PSTM ≤ 40% remain high 4,7,8,9,10 , the mortality rate due to chronic heart failure and hospitalization in Southeast Asia is generally higher than in the world 11,12 . There are not many published epidemiological statistics on heart failure in Vietnam, the number of people with chronic heart failure is estimated at 1.5 to 3.5 million and the rate of hospitalization due to chronic heart failure is still high 12 . This increases the economic and social burden 12,13 . Predicting patients at high risk of hospitalization and death is of great importance in patient care and treatment to identify patients who need close monitoring and intensive care.

Natriuretic peptides (BNP and NT-proBNP) are biomarkers that have been developed and widely applied. NT-proBNP is recommended as Class I in the diagnosis, prognosis and risk stratification of patients with chronic heart failure with PSTM ≤ 40% in recent guidelines of major associations such as the European Society of Cardiology, the American Heart Association or the Vietnam Cardiology Association 14-16 . NT-proBNP reflects the mechanical stress on the heart wall and the state of congestion, so it plays an important role in the diagnosis of heart failure 17. In clinical practice, natriuretic peptides are affected by many individual factors (such as age, sex, body mass index and glomerular filtration rate) 18,19 . NT-proBNP also increases in many diseases that are common co-morbidities in chronic heart failure and changes with different treatments 17 . Therefore, the use of NT-proBNP for prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure is still limited because NT-proBNP does not reflect myocardial remodeling, changes according to many factors or changes according to treatment, so it needs to be quantified many times 20,21,22, 23,24 . Developing and evaluating new factors or tools in combination with NT-proBNP to predict and stratify the risk of patients with chronic heart failure more accurately and effectively is an urgent need in the current management of chronic heart failure.

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