Operation, Management and Maintenance Costs (Billion VND)


Chapter 7. 6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS


From the above analysis, we can see that the project is completely feasible in terms of finance and economy, in line with the policy and is encouraged by the city to implement. Compared to land leasing, if VBH changes the land use purpose, it will increase the budget by 817.04 billion VND, create jobs for more than 300 workers during the implementation period (construction period) and nearly 100 long-term workers (Management Board), at the same time, the project also contributes to beautifying the landscape and improving the quality of life for the city's residents.

Since the project is financially and economically feasible, the government does not need to provide any additional support. Interest rate subsidies for the city's housing construction program are not affected by the project. The project does not require compensation for site clearance, so there is no negative externality on displaced and cleared residents. In the long term, people living around the project area will benefit from the positive impact of commercial leasing activities, job creation, and increased land and business premises prices.

The analysis also shows that both enterprises and the state benefit when enterprises change land use purposes. When implementing the project, it will bring the investor 1,110.6 billion VND, bringing revenue to the budget of more than 800 billion VND, many times larger than the revenue from long-term land lease.

The State should agree to change the purpose of land use because of the benefits from budget revenue, in accordance with planning policies, to enhance urban aesthetics and increase land use coefficient, take advantage of vertical urban development, and at the same time create jobs for workers.

If the state agrees to allow enterprises to convert land use purposes by buying back land at state prices (Steering Committee 09), the state will lose 716.8 billion VND in budget revenue.

If the state agrees to allow enterprises to convert land use purposes by buying back land at market prices, the state and enterprises will still benefit, so enterprises will still be willing to invest in the above project and the state will not have to provide any additional subsidies.


The thesis recommends that the state should organize a public bidding for projects to convert land use purposes from long-term lease land to the field of apartment and office construction for rent. Because these lands are often large in area and located in the center, they have great value. Any enterprise that wins the bid will have to pay back the cost to the investment project establishment unit because that will encourage enterprises to establish investment projects to convert land use purposes. The cost of preparing project investment documents is not large compared to the revenue that the state receives, which is hundreds of times higher.

The project does not take into account negative environmental externalities during construction because it is believed that these externalities will be eliminated because after the project is implemented, the environment will be improved compared to before because the land for the project is an industrial production facility. Although during construction, the project investor will have to comply with environmental regulations, the state needs to monitor the environmental impacts during the construction process to limit negative externalities.

Summary conclusion, answers to research questions:


- Binh Hoa Joint Stock Company (VBH) should change the land use purpose to invest in Binh Hoa project, build apartment complex and office for rent.

- The HCM City People's Committee has a positive incentive to allow VBH to change land use purposes.


REFERENCES


[1] Resolution No. 22/2002/NQ-HD dated June 29, 2002 of the People's Council of Ho Chi Minh City.

[2] Decision No. 80/2002/QD-UB dated July 8, 2002 of the People's Committee of Ho Chi Minh City

[3] http://www.thesaigontimes.vn/Home/thoisu/doisong/11839/

[4] Decision 4159/QD-UBND dated September 14, 2006 of the People's Committee of Ho Chi Minh City on continuing to allow VBH to use land.

[5] Land lease contract No. 9871/HD-TNMT-DKKTD dated October 16, 2006 of the Department of Natural Resources and Environment.

[6] Land Law, Socialist Republic of Vietnam 2003, Article 38.

[7] Decree 198/2004/ND-CP dated December 3, 2004 of the Government on land use fee collection.

[8] Map of the architectural and landscape space organization of the Binh Hoa Apartment, Office and Commercial Service Complex of Urban Construction Design Consulting Joint Stock Company, 2009.

[9] http://www.forecast-chart.com/forecast-inflation-rate.html

[10] Nguyen Tan Binh, Business performance analysis, HCM City National University Publishing House, 2003, page 299.

[11] Fulbright Economics Teaching Program - Lecture notes for Financial Analysis, 2009.

[12] Glenn P.Jenkins, Arnold C.Harberger, (1995), Cost and benefit analysis for investment decisions, Harvard university, pp. 9 to 13.

[13] Decision No. 2554/QD-TCCB dated August 8, 2005 of the Minister of Industry (now the Ministry of Industry and Trade) on converting Binh Hoa Electronics One Member Co., Ltd. into Binh Hoa Electronics Joint Stock Company.

[14] Document No. 49/UBND-QLDT of Binh Thanh District People's Committee dated January 13, 2009 on ensuring educational land in the district's planning.

[15] http://vietbao.vn/The-gioi-giai-tri/Thieu-can-ho-dien-tich-nho/50789802/411

[16] Construction investment capital rate 2009, issued by the Ministry of Construction according to decision

Decree 411/QD-BXD dated March 31, 2010.


[17] Decision 410/QD-BXD dated March 31, 2010 of the Ministry of Construction on the announcement of the 2009 construction price index.

[18] http://vneconomy.vn/2010012111041111P0C19/chi-so-gia-tieu-dung-thang- 12010-tang-136.htm

[19] http://203.162.71.77:808/vn/thongtinnganh/48620/index.aspx

[20] http://vneconomy.vn/20100324012725770P0C19/cpi-thang-3-tang-075-bao-hieu- rui-ro-lam-phat.htm

[21] VBH's application for providing architectural planning agreement sent to the Department of Planning and Architecture on August 22, 2008.

[22] Certificate of land use rights in Decision 4159/QD-UBND dated September 14, 2006 of Ho Chi Minh City People's Committee.

[23] CBRE report Q3/2009, Q4/2009 and Q1/2010.

[25] Total demand for apartments in Ho Chi Minh City in the period 2010 - 2011, see at http://www.vietrees.com/index.php?navi=home

[26] Investment reports on projects: District 2, District 12, Linh Dong (HCM); C1 Quang Trung, Vinh Tan (Nghe An) invested and constructed by Tecco.

[27] http://vietnamnet.vn/lanhte/200912/Mong-chua-xong-nha-da-ban-885579

[28] Circular 01/2009/TT-BXD of the Ministry of Construction stipulates a number of contents on granting certificates of house ownership and guiding the sample contract for buying and selling apartments in construction investment projects of housing business organizations.

[29] http://diaoc.tuoitre.vn/Index.aspx?ArticleID=355810&ChannelID=204

[30] http://www.vtc.vn/bvntd/156-246887/the-gioi-tieu-dung/lai-suat-huy-dong-tien- gui-tai-ngan-hang-vuot-115nam.htm

[31] http://www.dothi.net/news/tin-tuc/thi-truong/2010/03/3b9aee56/ (data collection from CBRE)

[32] Vietnam inflation forecast data by Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), 2009.

[33] Selling price of Linh Dong apartment - Thu Duc, provided by TECCO

[34] ADB (Asian Developing Bank), (1997), Guidelines for economic analysis of projects, pp. 22 – 24.


APPENDIX


Appendix 1. Project input information


Appendix 2. Land lease contract


Appendix 3. Design and detailed planning of Binh Hoa project


Appendix 4. Construction progress of apartment complex


Appendix 5. Operation, management and maintenance costs (billion VND)


Appendix 6. Debt repayment schedule (billion VND)


Appendix 7. Depreciation schedule (billion VND)


Appendix 8. Financial income statement (billion VND) Appendix 9. Project financial revenue (billion VND) Appendix 10. Financial cashflow (billion VND)

Appendix 11. Crystal Ball results for apartment and land prices calculated according to state prices Appendix 12. Crystal Ball results for apartment and land prices calculated according to market prices Appendix 13. Project economic cash flow (billion VND)


Appendix 1. Project input information



Year

2010


Unit

0

Domestic inflation

proportion

8%

Foreign inflation

proportion

2.54%




Domestic price index


1.00

Foreign price index


1.00

Exchange rate VND/USD 1/10/2010

proportion

18544




Land value



Land area

m 2

24,418.5

Land rental price

VND/m2 / year

47,625

Land rent

billion VND/m2 / year

1.16

Land price on the market, No Trang Long

million VND/m 2

37,777

Land area along No Trang Long alley

m 2

24,418,500

Land purchase coefficient on No Trang Long street


1.0

Land use rights transfer tax/land value

proportion

4%

Land use transfer tax, agricultural prices

billion VND

9.33

Total land value, according to state decision, before conversion

billion VND

233.20

Total land value, according to state decision, after conversion

billion VND

242.52

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Operation, Management and Maintenance Costs (Billion VND)


Construction planning (m 2 )

Construction land


Number of floors

Number of floors for long term lease

Number of floors of apartments for sale

Construction floor area (m 2 )

Investment rate (million VND/ m2 )

Block A, block1

995

15

2

13

14925

5730

block2

1400

20

2

18

28000

7180

block3

600

18

2

16

10800

6450

Block B, block1

1487

15

2

13

22305

5730

block2

647

20

2

18

12940

7180

Block C, block1

524

15

2

13

7860

5730

block2

1097

20

2

18

21940

7180

Pool

863

1



863

8540

School

1,100.0

2



2200


Green park, school


15,705.5


1



15705.5

2000



Block construction floor area

m 2

118770

Construction area/apartment area ratio

proportion

1.15

Apartment floor area:

m 2

103278.26

Floor area of ​​apartment for rent (2 floors)

m 2

11739.13

Floor area of ​​apartment for sale

m 2

91539.13

Management and operation fees

VND/m2 / year

60000

2 Blocks for rent + Basement for rent



Long term rental



Basement, Management Board Contract



Total basement area for rent, long term

m 2

9,188.2

Car parking fee

VND/month/unit

0.85

Motorbike parking fee

VND/month/unit

0.1

Total car fee

VND/month

108.8

Total motorbike fee

VND/month

25.4

External revenue rate

proportion

50%

Expected to charge visitors fee

VND/month

67.1

Total revenue from basement

VND/month

201.3

Real rental price increase/decrease rate

proportion


Prepayment period

month

12

Tax

proportion

10%

Office floor for rent



Number of floors for rent, long term

unit

2

1 floor area for rent, long term

m 2

5869.57

Total area for long term apartment rental

m 2

11739.13

Apartment rental price (including management fee and VAT)

USD/m2 / month

30

Apartment rental price (including management fee and VAT)

VND/m2 / month

556320

Apartment rental price

VND/m2 / year

6,676

Real rental price increase/decrease rate

proportion


Tax

proportion

10%

Maintenance deduction

proportion

2%

Prepayment (time)

month

12

Short term rental



Office floor for rent



Number of floors for rent, short term

unit

0

1 floor area for rent, short term

m 2

5869.57

Total area for apartment rental, short term

m 2

0.00

Apartment rental price (excluding management fee)

USD/m2 / month

24.7

Apartment rental price

VND/m2 / month

458036.8

Apartment rental price

VND/m2 / year

5,496

Real rental price increase/decrease rate

proportion



Room occupancy rate

proportion


Tax

proportion

10%

Maintenance deduction

proportion

2%

Prepayment (time)

month

3


Apartment building, sold out



Total floor area of ​​apartment for sale

m 2

91539.1

Real selling price increase/decrease rate

proportion


Apartment selling price (including Tax, transaction fee)

VND/ m2

14

Floor area for sale

proportion


Exchange transaction fee

proportion

1%

Tax

proportion

10%

Maintenance fee/selling price

proportion

2%

% of payment in 2011

proportion

0%

% of payment in 2012



% of payment from 2013 onwards



Revenue from apartment sales 2011 (excluding tax)

billion VND

0

Revenue from apartment sales 2012 (excluding tax)

billion VND


Revenue from apartment sales 2013 (excluding tax)

billion VND


Total revenue from apartment sales (excluding tax)

billion VND

0

Revenue from apartment sales 2011 (after deducting 10% tax)

billion VND

0.00

Revenue from apartment sales 2012 (after deducting 10% tax)

billion VND


Revenue from apartment sales 2013 (after deducting 10% tax)

billion VND


Total revenue from apartment sales (after tax)


0.00

Expense



7 Block



Construction costs

billion VND

1008,681

Exterior cost/apartment floor area

VND/ m2

0.30

Management costs/construction costs

billion VND

1%

Exterior costs

billion VND

35,631

Management Fees

billion VND

10.09

Total cost of building construction

billion VND

1,054,398

Internal roads, trees, sports grounds

billion VND

36.45

Total infrastructure cost:

billion VND

36.45

Basement (Cost calculated according to investment rate method)



Total usable floor area

m 2

10,209.1

Usable area

proportion

90%

Adjustment factor (basement) min


1.1

Adjustment factor (basement) max


1.13

Pool



Swimming pool construction costs

000VND/ m2

9,911.0

Total cost of swimming pool construction

billion VND

8.55

School



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