
2.3.1.2. Average annual rainfall index
Rainfall factors have a great influence on tourism activities. Places with heavy rain often have many rainy days and high humidity. Places with heavy rain often have negative effects on human health and reduce the time for tourism activities. To evaluate, the researcher chose the total rainfall factor to see the distribution of rainfall and the differentiation of air humidity in the research area. At the same time, heavy rain and some special rainfall patterns (heavy rain, drizzle...) have a great influence on time, increasing the risk in organizing and successfully implementing tourism activities.
The South has a fairly large amount of rainfall due to its location directly receiving the southwest monsoon and adjacent to the sea. However, the average annual rainfall is unevenly distributed in the Southern regions, from very heavy rain to very little rain. Phu Quoc is located in the far west of Vietnam and receives the earliest summer monsoon, so it has the highest rainfall in the region, over 3000 mm/year. On the contrary, in the central lowland of the South, the rainfall is less than 1300 mm with a 6-month dry season. The NCS relies on the rainfall classification for DL by Indian researchers [43] because this classification is suitable for Vietnam's climate conditions. From there, 4 levels of annual rainfall classification in the Southern region were built ( Table 2.2 ): Heavy rain - Rn ≥ 2000mm TDTL for DL; Moderate rain - 1500 <Rn
<2000mm TL for DL; Little rain 1300 <Rn <1500mm and very little rain 1300 <Rn evaluate RTL for DL.
2.3.1.3. Number of rainy days
In tourism activities, the number of rainy days also reflects the time conditions for organizing and implementing tourism activities. The number of rainy days reflects the humidity level over time and has an impact on human health, on the organization of some typical tourism activities such as national tourism, eco-tourism. In the South, island areas such as Phu Quoc, Con Dao or Ca Mau peninsula, where the direction of the summer monsoon is perpendicular, Phuoc Long of Binh Phuoc where the terrain is wind-blocking, have a lot of rainy days, while the area around the Tien and Hau rivers has very few rainy days. From the data collected from 20 stations in the South, the researcher classified the number of rainy days into 4 levels: Number of rainy days n ≥ 160 : TĐTL for tourism; average number of rainy days 140 ≤ n<160 TL for tourism; Number of low rainy days 120 ≤ n<140 and number of very low rainy days n < 120 RTL for tourism development.

Table 2.1. Classification criteria for tourism in Southern Vietnam
Target
Grant | Rating level | Symbol | |
Average temperature (T: ºC) | T>26 | very hot | I |
24<T≤26 | Hot | II | |
T≤24 | Heat | III | |
Rainfall (Rn: mm) | Rn ≥ 2000 | Heavy rain | A |
1500 <Rn <2000 | Moderate rain | B | |
1300 <Rn <1500 | Little rain | C | |
1300 <Rn | Very little rain | D | |
Number of rainy days (n: days) | n ≥ 160 | Number of rainy days | a |
140 ≤ n<160 | Number of moderate rainy days | b | |
120 ≤ n<140 | Few rainy days | c | |
n < 120 | Very few rainy days | d |
Maybe you are interested!
-
Identify Rating Levels and Rating Scales
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of the islanders. Therefore, this indicator will be divided into two sub-indicators:
a1. Natural tourism attractiveness a2. Cultural tourism attractiveness
b. Tourist capacity
The two island communes in Quan Lan have different capacities to receive tourists. Minh Chau Commune is home to many standard hotels and resorts, attracting high-income domestic and international tourists. Meanwhile, Quan Lan Commune has many motels mainly built and operated by local people, so the scale and quality are not high, and will be suitable for ordinary tourists such as students.
c. Time of exploitation of Quan Lan Island Commune:
Quan Lan tourism is seasonal due to weather and climate conditions and festivals only take place on certain days of the year, specifically in spring. In Quan Lan commune, the period from April to June and from September to November is considered the best time to visit Quan Lan because the cultural tourism activities are mainly associated with festivals taking place during this time.
Minh Chau island commune:
Tourism exploitation time is all year round, because this is a place with a number of tourist attractions with diverse ecosystems such as Bai Tu Long National Park Research Center, Tram forest, Turtle Laying Beach, so besides coming to the beach for tourism and vacation in the summer, Minh Chau will attract research groups to come for tourism combined with research at other times of the year.
d. Sustainability
The sustainability of ecotourism sites in Quan Lan and Minh Chau communes depends on the sensitivity of the ecosystems to climate changes.
landscape. In general, these tourist destinations have a fairly high level of sustainability, because they are natural ecosystems, planned and protected. However, if a large number of tourists gather at certain times, it can exceed the carrying capacity and affect the sustainability of the environment (polluted beaches, damaged trees, animals moving away from their habitats, etc.), then the sustainability of the above ecosystems (natural ecosystems, human ecosystems) will also be affected and become less sustainable.
e. Location and accessibility
Both island communes have ports to take tourists to visit from Van Don wharf:
- Quan Lan – Van Don traffic route:
Phuc Thinh – Viet Anh high-speed boat and Quang Minh high-speed boat, depart at 8am and 2pm from Van Don to Quan Lan, and at 7am and 1pm from Quan Lan to Van Don. There are also wooden boats departing at 7am and 1pm.
- Van Don - Minh Chau traffic route:
Chung Huong high-speed train, Minh Chau train, morning 7:30 and afternoon 13:30 from Van Don to Minh Chau, morning 6:30 and afternoon 13:00 from Minh Chau to Van Don.
f. Infrastructure
Despite receiving investment attention, the issue of infrastructure and technical facilities for tourism on Quan Lan Island is still an issue that needs to be resolved because it has a direct impact on the implementation of ecotourism activities. The minimum conditions for serving tourists such as accommodation, electricity, water, communication, especially medical services, and security work need to be given top priority. Ecotourism spots in Minh Chau commune are assessed to have better infrastructure and technical facilities for tourism because there are quite complete and synchronous conditions for serving tourists, meeting many needs of domestic and foreign tourists.
3.2.1.4. Determine assessment levels and assessment scales
Corresponding to the levels of each criterion, the index is the score of those levels in the order of 4, 3, 2, 1 decreasing according to the standard of each level: very attractive (4), attractive (3), average (2), less attractive (1).
3.2.1.5. Determining the coefficients of the criteria
For the assessment of DLST in the two communes of Quan Lan and Minh Chau islands, the students added evaluation coefficients to show the importance of the criteria and indicators as follows:
Coefficient 3 with criteria: Attractiveness, Exploitation time. These are the 2 most important criteria for attracting tourists to tourism in general and eco-tourism in particular, so they have the highest coefficient.
Coefficient 2 with criteria: Capacity, Infrastructure, Location and accessibility . Because the assessment area is an island commune of Van Don district, the above criteria are selected by the author with appropriate coefficients at the average level.
Coefficient 1 with criteria: Sustainability. Quan Lan has natural and human-made ecotourism sites, with high biodiversity and little impact from local human factors. Most of the ecotourism sites are still wild, so they are highly sustainable.
3.2.1.6. Results of DLST assessment on Quan Lan island
a. Assessment of the potential for natural tourism development
For Minh Chau commune:
+ Natural tourism attractiveness is determined to be very attractive (4 points) and the most important coefficient (coefficient 3), so the score of the Attractiveness criterion is 4 x 3 = 12.
+ Capacity is determined as average (2 points) and the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), then the score of Capacity criterion is 2 x 2 = 4.
+ Exploitation time is long (4 points), the most important coefficient (coefficient 3) so the score of the Exploitation time criterion is 4 x 3 = 12.
+ Sustainability is determined as sustainable (4 points), the important coefficient is the average coefficient (coefficient 1), so the score of the Sustainability criterion is 4 x 1 = 4 points
+ Location and accessibility are determined to be quite favorable (2 points), the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), the criterion score is 2 x 2 = 4 points.
+ Infrastructure is assessed as good (3 points), the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), then the score of the Infrastructure criterion is 3 x 2 = 6 points.
The total score for evaluating DLST in Minh Chau commune according to 6 evaluation criteria is determined as: 12 + 4 + 12 + 4 + 4 + 6 = 42 points
Similar assessment for Quan Lan commune, we have the following table:
Table 3.3: Assessment of the potential for natural ecotourism development in Quan Lan and Minh Chau communes
Attractiveness of self-tourismof course
Capacity
Mining time
Sustainability
Location and accessibility
Infrastructure
Result
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
CommuneMinh Chau
12
12
4
8
12
12
4
4
4
8
6
8
42/52
Quan CommuneLan
6
12
6
8
9
12
4
4
4
8
4
8
33/52
b. Assessment of the potential for humanistic tourism development
For Quan Lan commune:
+ The attractiveness of human tourism is determined to be very attractive (4 points) and the most important coefficient (coefficient 3), so the score of the Attractiveness criterion is 4 x 3 = 12.
+ Capacity is determined to be large (3 points) and the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), then the score of the Capacity criterion is 3 x 2 = 6.
+ Mining time is average (3 points), the most important coefficient (coefficient 3) so the score of the Mining time criterion is 3 x 3 = 9.
+ Sustainability is determined as sustainable (4 points), the important coefficient is the average coefficient (coefficient 1), so the score of the Sustainability criterion is 4 x 1 = 4 points.
+ Location and accessibility are determined to be quite favorable (2 points), the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), the criterion score is 2 x 2 = 4 points.
+ Infrastructure is rated as average (2 points), the coefficient is quite important (coefficient 2), then the score of the Infrastructure criterion is 2 x 2 = 4 points.
The total score for evaluating DLST in Quan Lan commune according to 6 evaluation criteria is determined as: 12 + 6 + 6 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 36 points.
Similar assessment with Minh Chau commune we have the following table:
Table 3.4: Assessment of the potential for developing humanistic eco-tourism in Quan Lan and Minh Chau communes
Attractiveness of human tourismliterature
Capacity
Mining time
Sustainability
Location and accessibility
Infrastructure
Result
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Point
DarkMulti
Quan CommuneLan
12
12
6
8
9
12
4
4
4
8
4
8
39/52
Minh CommuneChau
6
12
4
8
12
12
4
4
4
8
6
8
36/52
Basically, both Minh Chau and Quan Lan localities have quite favorable conditions for developing ecotourism. However, Quan Lan commune has more advantages to develop ecotourism in a humanistic direction, because this is an area with many famous historical relics such as Quan Lan Communal House, Quan Lan Pagoda, Temple worshiping the hero Tran Khanh Du, ... along with local festivals held annually such as the wind praying ceremony (March 15), Quan Lan festival (June 10-19); due to its location near the port and long exploitation time, the beaches in Quan Lan commune (especially Quan Lan beach) are no longer hygienic and clean to ensure the needs of tourists coming to relax and swim; this is also an area with many beautiful landscapes such as Got Beo wind pass, Ong Phong head, Voi Voi cave, but the ability to access these places is still very limited (dirt hill road, lots of gravel and rocks), especially during rainy and windy times; In addition, other natural resources such as mangrove forests and sea worms have not been really exploited for tourism purposes and ecotourism development. On the contrary, Minh Chau commune has more advantages in developing ecotourism in the direction of natural tourism, this is an area with diverse ecosystems such as at Rua De Beach, Bai Tu Long National Park Conservation Center...; Minh Chau beach is highly appreciated for its natural beauty and cleanliness, ranked in the top ten most beautiful beaches in Vietnam; Minh Chau commune is also home to Tram forest with a large area and a purity of up to 90%, suitable for building bridges through the forest (a very effective type of natural ecotourism currently applied by many countries) for tourists to sightsee, as well as for the purpose of studying and researching.
Figure 3.1: Thenmala Forest Bridge (India) Source: https://www.thenmalaecotourism.com/(August 21, 2019)
3.2.2. Using SWOT matrix to evaluate Quan Lan island tourism
General assessment of current tourism activities of Quan Lan island is shown through the following SWOT matrix:
Table 3.5: SWOT matrix evaluating tourism activities on Quan Lan island
Internal agent
Strengths- There is a lot of potential for tourism development, especially natural ecotourism and humanistic ecotourism.- The unskilled labor force is relatively abundant.- resource environmentunpolluted, still
Weaknesses- Poorly developed infrastructure, especially traffic routes to tourist destinations on the island.- The team of professional staff is still weak.- Tourism products in general
quite wild, originalintact
general and DLST in particularalone is monotonous.
External agents
Opportunity- Tourism is a key industry in the socio-economic development strategy of the province and Van Don economic zone.- Quan Lan was selected as a pilot area for eco-tourism development within the framework of the green growth project between Quang Ninh province and the Japanese organization JICA.- The flow of tourists and especially ecotourism in the world tends toincreasing
Challenge- Weather and climate change abnormally.- Competition in tourism products is increasingly fierce, especially with other localities in the province such as Ha Long, Mong Cai...- Awareness of tourists, especially domestic tourists, about ecotourism and nature conservation is not high.
Through summary analysis using SWOT matrix we see that:
To exploit strengths and take advantage of opportunities, it is necessary to:
- Diversify products and service types (build more tourism routes aimed at specific needs of tourists: experiential tourism immersed in nature, spiritual cultural tourism...)
- Effective exploitation of resources and differentiated products (natural resources and human resources)
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The impact of social capital on business performance - a case study of the Textile and Garment industry in the Southern region of Vietnam - 36 -
Research on theoretical and practical basis of developing high-quality human resources to form a knowledge-based economy in Vietnam - 27 -
Ownership regime for forest resources in Vietnam - 2 -
Education - Training with the development of high quality human resources in Vietnam today - 23
Weather and climate affect the human body in a comprehensive way - in fact, it is a combination of many meteorological and climatic factors that are closely related and influence each other. Therefore, when evaluating, it is necessary to evaluate the factors comprehensively and build a system of comprehensive indicators according to the evaluation criteria.
2.3.2. Classification results of Bioclimate of Southern Tourism
As a result, in the Southern region, there are a total of 12 types of SKH. They are represented through a set of symbols such as: IAa, IBb, ICc, IDb, .... The description of the characteristics of SKH units is carried out in order from SKH types: III - slightly hot, II - hot, to: I - very hot; From SKH types with heavy rain (A), moderate rain (B), little rain
(C) to very little rain (D); based on the number of rainy days: number of days with a lot of rain (a), number of days with moderate rain (b), number of days with little rain (c), number of days with very little rain (d) ... Specifically, the 12 types of climate change are as follows: IIIAa: Type of slightly hot climate change, lots of rain, number of days with a lot of rain ; IIAa: Type of hot climate change, lots of rain, number of days with a lot of rain; IAa: Type of very hot climate change, lots of rain, number of days with a lot of rain; IAb: Type of very hot climate change, lots of rain, number of days with moderate rain; IAc: Type of very hot climate change, lots of rain, number of days with little rain; IBa: Type of very hot climate change, moderate rain, number of days with a lot of rain; IBb: Type of very hot climate change, moderate rain, number of days with moderate rain; IBc: Type of very hot climate change, moderate rain, number of days with little rain; ICb: Type of very hot climate change, little rain, number of days with moderate rain; ICc: Type of very hot climate change, little rain, number of days with little rain; IDb: Very hot SKH type, very little rain, number of moderate rain days; IDd: Very hot SKH type, very little rain, number of very little rain days.
2.3.3. Establishing a classification map of Southern SKH
2.3.3.1. Principles for establishing a Southern Biodiversity Classification Map
For the formation of SKH map, starting from the perspective of SKH research on the basis of considering the essential relationship between lowland climate conditions and highland conditions.
Human physiology, the construction of the SKH map must comply with the following principles: The SKH map must first reflect the climatic characteristics of the research territory, their differentiation in space. The SKH map must reflect the advantages and disadvantages of the SKH conditions for the organization of tourism and the implementation of tourism activities in the research area. The SKH map serving the purpose of tourism and recreation must reflect the nature of the impacts of climatic factors on human health and the implementation of tourism activities.
2.3.3.2. Method of creating a Bioclimatic Classification Map of the South
- The methods used to create a SKH map include statistical and data processing methods, field methods and methods using the GIS geographic information system. The map methods to represent the main contents of the map are the point symbol method (meteorological stations), the qualitative background method combined with brush strokes (types of SKH).
Based on the content and research territory to determine the map scale. The Southern region's SKH classification map for sustainable tourism development is selected with a map scale of 1:250,000, UTM projection grid based on the VN-2000 reference system.
Table 2.2. Classification results of Southern Tourism SKH


2.3.4. Evaluation of Southern tourism SKH resources using TCI index
The results of the assessment and calculation of the climate data series at the Southern meteorological stations in the period 1980-2015 ( Table 2.4 ), compared with Table 1.2, show that the average annual TCI of the Southern region is mainly in the range of 40-54 (acceptable to relatively good), which can develop tourism activities. In 12 months, TCI
<40 (unfavorable for tourism activities) only appears on average from 1-3 months, some places only have 1 month with TCI unfavorable for tourism development such as Vung Tau, Can Tho, Cao Lanh, Chau Doc, even Con Dao has no month unfavorable for tourism activities, from May to November TCI is at an acceptable threshold for implementing tourism activities. For areas with quite high temperature conditions of 25°C on average, quite large rainfall of over 1,200 mm/year such as the South, the results of the average annual TCI and monthly TCI as above show the tourism development potential of the area.
TCI – Tourism climate index reaches a score of 60 – 80 points (good to very good) commonly in 4 months from December, January, February, March. This is the dry season in the South, this season is often very favorable for tourism activities. By April, TCI begins to lower its rating to the limit for tourism activities. The reason for this is that in April the climate is too hot and harsh, hindering the heat exchange process. The CID and CIA indexes often exceed the comfortable level of thermal sensation. On the other hand, in April, the first rains of the rainy season begin to appear, which also hinders outdoor tourism activities. TCI decreases, being rated at an unfavorable level for tourism development in the months of May, June, and September.
VII. This is the rainy season in Southern Vietnam, climate indicators such as rainfall, wind, number of sunny hours per day, large temperature and humidity differences, the total TCI results in some places are <40. Even the rainfall index at Southern stations is 0 in the rainy season months, from V - VIII, in December, this index increases to a good to very good level for tourism activities at all Southern stations.
The TCI tourism climate index is not the same between regions. The Southeast region has more months with good to very good TCI index than the Central region. The favorable months for tourism development in the Southeast start from November to March, April of the following year, the month with TCI > 70 (good), Vung Tau has many high TCI months and the highest TCI score > 80, which is excellent for tourism development, especially resorts. Meanwhile, the Central provinces have fewer months with TCI, from December to February or March of the following year. Some provinces in the Central region also have unfavorable TCI index for tourism in 3 months such as Soc Trang, Phu Quoc, Rach Gia.





