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APPENDIX


VAR MODEL


Appendix A - 1 - Stationarity Test



Seasonal Unit Root Test for GDP Method: Traditional HEGY

Null Hypothesis: Unit root at specified frequency Periodicity (Seasons): 4

Non-Seasonal Deterministics: None Seasonal Deterministics: None

Lag Selection: 4 (Automatic: AIC, maxlags=12) Sample Size: 44




Significance Level

Test Stat.

1% 5%

10%

Frequency 0 -3.526552 n=40


-2.53 -1.88


-1.59

n=60

-2.57 -1.92

-1.60

n=44*

-2.54 -1.89

-1.59

Frequency 2PI/4 and 6PI/4 8.994004 n=40


30.65 7.98


3.66

n=60

30.93 7.99

3.73

n=44*

30.71 7.98

3.67

Frequency PI -3.382790 n=40


-2.53 -1.88


-1.59

n=60

-2.57 -1.92

-1.60

n=44*

-2.54 -1.89

-1.59

All seasonal frequencies 10.31861 n=40


21.15 5.75


2.91

n=60

21.27 5.75

2.98

n=44*

21.17 5.75

2.93

All frequencies 10.53863 n=40


16.59 4.88


2.83

n=60

16.65 4.87

2.92

n=44*

16.60 4.88

2.85

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The relationship between budget deficit and trade deficit in Vietnam - 21

*Note: Obtained using linear interpolation.

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