Concept: Rainfall Intensity Is The Amount Of Rain In A Unit Of Time, Usually Symbolized As A, The Unit Of Measurement Is Usually Mm/minute. Rainfall Intensity Is A

According to the study of chapter 2, the rainfall regime at Lang station and Ha Dong station are relatively close to each other but different from the rainfall regime at Son Tay town station. At the same time, the terrain characteristics of the inner city districts and the southern plain districts of Hanoi can be considered similar, but cannot be similar to the terrain of Son Tay town and the northern districts of Hanoi have semi-mountainous terrain.

3.3. Comments and conclusions of chapter 3.

1/ Applying the statistical analysis method to determine the calculated daily rainfall value H n,p according to the frequency with the calculation diagram in Figure 3.1 gives results that ensure the necessary reliability, consistent with the characteristics of the rainfall regime in our country in the current climate and weather situation affected by the phenomenon of climate change. The daily rainfall value calculated according to the frequency H n,p established at 12 meteorological stations selected for study all achieved the reliability level of the calculation results R confidence 95%. Therefore, it is recommended to use the calculated daily rainfall data H n,p at a frequency of p = 1% 99.99% established with actual rainfall data collected from 1960 - 2010 at the locations of 12 meteorological stations selected for study as in Appendix 1, from PL.1-1 to PL.1-13, to replace the calculated daily rainfall values ​​H n,p in TCVN9845:2013 [5] to calculate the design flow of drainage works on roads in areas with these meteorological stations.

2/ The values ​​of the characteristic coefficient of the shape of the rainTT built for meteorological stations in our country with the actual rainfall measurement data series from 1960 - 2010 all meet the error standards prescribed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), which is the evaluation standard in the hydrometeorological industry currently used by many countries. It is recommended to use the values ​​of the characteristic coefficient of the shape of the rainT at the calculation period T = 5ph1440ph established with actual rainfall measurement data from 1960 - 2010 for 12 meteorological stations selected for study as in Appendix 2, from PL.2-1 to PL.2-13, to calculate the design flow of small drainage works on roads in areas with these meteorological stations.

The characteristic coefficient of rain shape T set in Appendix 2 is also used to calculate the conversion of daily rainfall calculated H n,p according to frequency into rainfall calculated H T,p at shorter periods according to frequency using formula (3.10), H T,p = T .H n,p , used to calculate the design flow for medium and large basins according to the Sokolovsky formula, used in calculating showers - runoff according to the NAM - MIKE model for reliable results.

Maybe you are interested!

3/ Propose a method and criteria for rain zoning suitable for the requirements of calculating small-basin flood flow of small drainage works on the road as follows: Rain zoning is based on the main indicator which is the characteristic coefficient function of the rain shape  T T , that is, the relationship of reducing rain intensity according to the calculation period, with the level of error when calculating the zoning between the values ​​( T,p ) k at positions k in the rain area compared to the average value T characteristic of the entire rain area must not exceed the allowable level of error, that is, must ensure the condition R hh 2 [R hh 2 ] cp ; and the analysis and synthesis of a number of factors affecting the rain and flood regime such as the cause of rain and flood, the rainy season, and terrain characteristics.

Due to the lack of conditions to collect actual rainfall measurement data updated to the present time at all meteorological stations and rainfall measurement points nationwide, the thesis only stops at the level of proposing and recommending methods and criteria for appropriate rainfall zoning as above.

Concept: Rainfall Intensity Is The Amount Of Rain In A Unit Of Time, Usually Symbolized As A, The Unit Of Measurement Is Usually Mm/minute. Rainfall Intensity Is A

Chapter 4:

RESEARCH ON DETERMINING RAINFALL INTENSITY PARAMETERS IN CALCULATION OF DESIGN FLOW OF DRAINAGE WORKS

SMALL ON THE ROAD IN VIETNAM


4.1. Concept of rainfall intensity.

4.1.1. Concept: Rainfall intensity is the amount of rain in a unit of time, usually denoted by a, the unit of measurement is usually mm/minute. Rainfall intensity is an important characteristic parameter of a rainstorm.

a

H t

at max

a t

4.1.2. Instantaneous rain intensity, a t : At any given time t of a rainstorm, the instantaneous rain intensity is calculated according to formula (4.1).

a dH

t dt

(4.1) H

In there:

a t is the instantaneous rainfall intensity H t is the cumulative rainfall, which is

function of t


0 t *


t magic

t is the calculation time. Figure 4.1: Evolution of accumulated rainfall H t and

Instantaneous rainfall intensity in an actual rainfall event

+) According to rain gauge documents, the evolution of an actual rainstorm can be described as follows: at

At the beginning of the rain, the rain intensity a is equal to 0. The rain intensity a t increases gradually over the duration of the rain and reaches its maximum value a tmax at some time t * , usually around the middle of the rain. Next, the rain intensity gradually decreases and when the rain ends, the rain intensity a t is equal to 0 again. This development is shown in Figure 4.1.

+ Thus, in a real rainstorm, the instantaneous rain intensity changes continuously and is a function that depends on time and space.

4.1.3. Maximum average rainfall intensity during the calculation period, a T .

In calculating the peak flood flow of small drainage works on roads, the highest average rainfall intensity in a certain calculation period T is of interest.

The maximum average rainfall intensity during the calculation period T is determined

according to formula (4.2) as follows:

a H T

T T

(4.2)

In which: a T is the maximum average rainfall intensity in the calculation period T (mm/min)

H T is the maximum rainfall in the calculation period T (mm)

T is the calculated rainfall period (minutes).

If we consider the rain frequency factor p%, add the index p to the symbols.


of a and H in the formula, that is:


a T , p

H T , p

T


(4.2')

At this time: a T,p is called the maximum average rainfall intensity in the calculation period T at frequency p, or also called the calculated rainfall intensity in period T and frequency p, or the maximum limit rainfall intensity in the calculation period T and frequency p (mm/min).

H T,p is the maximum rainfall in the calculation period T at frequency p, also known as the calculated rainfall in period T and frequency p (mm).

T is the calculated rainfall period (ph). In the calculation of Q p of drainage works, the calculated period T is taken as the water concentration time of the basin, at this time a T,p is denoted as a ,p , H T,p is denoted as H ,p and the index ''T'' in other rainfall parameters is also denoted as '' ''.

+) According to the above concept, the maximum average rainfall intensity a T in the calculation period T is determined as follows: on the chart of the automatic rain gauge, move and select the steepest section of the chart to determine the maximum value of rainfall H T of the calculation period T, and calculate a T according to formula (4.2). Figure 4.2 below.

H t

0

t (ph)

T1

T2

Rainfall Ht, mm

a T

a T

H T

H T1

T2

H T


0 Period T

Figure 4.2: Method for determining the maximum average rainfall intensity during the calculation period T on a self-recording rain gauge, H t is the accumulated rainfall

Figure 4.3: Relationship between calculated rainfall intensity a T , maximum rainfall in calculated period H T and calculated rainfall period T

+ Analyzing the diagram in Figure 4.2 to determine the calculated rainfall intensity a T at time period T, we see.

./ When the calculated rainfall period T increases, the maximum rainfall in the calculated period H T also increases, but the increase rate of H T cannot be equal to the increase rate of T, so the calculated rainfall intensity in the period a T is reduced. In other words, the calculated rainfall intensity in the period a T is inversely proportional to the calculated rainfall period T, Figure 4.3.

To study this property, many authors have relied on actual rainfall data on self-recording rain gauges and have reached very consistent conclusions.

The research results all show that the calculated rainfall intensity at period a T is inversely proportional to the calculated rainfall period T according to an exponential function relationship.

./ When determining the maximum rainfall H T in the calculated rainfall period T on the rainfall accumulation curve, the section with the largest slope must be chosen. This proves that the calculated rainfall intensity in the period a T is a quantity that depends on the shape of the rain.

Studies based on self-recording rain gauges have shown the shape of rain

will be different in each rainy region and the calculated rainfall frequency p. In a rainy region, the calculated rainfall intensity at a T will change according to the calculated rainfall frequency p. The smaller the frequency p, the larger a T,p and vice versa.

4.2. Assumptions when determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T of period T.

When determining the maximum average rainfall intensity a T in the calculation period T according to the instructions in Figure 4.2 and formula (4.2) above, in fact, we only consider each period of rain with a length equal to T independently without considering the influence of the time before and after the rain.

4.3. Methods for determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and design frequency p.

Determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p can be divided into 2 groups of methods as follows.

i) Direct method: by statistical analysis method, directly determine the calculated rainfall intensity value a T,p at period T and frequency p based on actual rainfall data collected at meteorological stations using self-recording rain gauges. This method is considered an accurate method. But it can only be used when there is a long enough series of self-recording rain gauge data at meteorological stations.

ii) Indirect method: the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p are determined by empirical formulas developed by mathematical regression method or through calculated daily rainfall. This method gives results of determining a T,p with a certain level of accuracy. The advantage of the method is that it is less dependent on meteorological stations or is used in cases where there is no self-recorded rainfall data or there is self-recorded rainfall data but the observation time is short, not long enough.

- 95 -

Although a lot of investment has been made so far, the number of meteorological stations with automatic rain gauges in our country is still very few. The number of meteorological stations that are qualified to use the direct calculation method aT ,p is still small. Therefore, the indirect method is still an important method used to determine the calculated rainfall intensity parameter aT ,p used in calculating the design flow of small drainage works on roads.

The thesis studies both groups of methods above to diversify the determination of calculated rainfall intensity aT ,p at period T and frequency p used for calculating design flow of small drainage works on roads, suitable for the current conditions of the rainfall database at meteorological stations in our country.

4.4. Direct method to determine calculated rainfall intensity a T,p .

The direct method is used when there are actual self-recorded rain gauge data with a long enough number of observation years. This is considered the method that gives the most accurate results in determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p, so it should be encouraged and prioritized in calculating the design flow of small drainage works on roads when there are sufficient conditions for self-recorded rain gauge data. In addition, in this thesis, the results of determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p of the direct method are used as a basis for comparison to evaluate errors when building empirical formulas to determine the calculated rainfall intensity in the indirect method.

With accumulated rainfall data on automatic rain gauges recorded each year, lasting up to 30, 50 years until 2010 provided by the National Center for Hydrometeorology (Table

2.1 Chapter 2), the thesis researches the direct determination of the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p in accordance with the characteristics of the series of self-recorded rainfall data at meteorological stations in our country currently affected by the phenomenon of climate change. Initially, the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p were established for 12 meteorological stations selected for research in regions across the country. The results were presented in the form of lookup tables and formed into a - T - p (rainfall intensity - time - frequency) relationship curves. When conditions permit, it will be expanded to other meteorological stations with self-recorded rainfall gauges. The basis for determining a T,p by the direct method is to use the statistical analysis method. To determine the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p, there must be a statistical sample of the actual calculated rainfall intensity period from the results of rainfall measurements at meteorological stations using self-recorded rainfall gauges. Method for determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T at time period T on the self-recorded rain gauge chart as instructed in Figure 4.2, formula (4.2) and assumption in section 4.2. Actual statistical sample data series

- 96 -

The period rainfall intensity is entered into the frequency calculation to determine a T,p as follows: each year, at each calculation period T, select a value of the maximum period rainfall intensity of the year (a T max ) i , with i being the survey year.

Unlike the daily rainfall data series which is usually very continuous, the rainfall intensity data series on the self-recording rain gauge can be interrupted for some years due to the malfunction of the self-recording rain gauge. Therefore, using the statistical analysis method to find the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at the time period T and frequency p will be more complicated. The thesis determines

Determine the calculated rainfall intensity aT ,p for two common cases of self-recorded rain gauge data, the case where the self-recorded rain gauge data series (a T max ) i is continuous and the case where the self-recorded rain gauge data series (a T max ) i is interrupted for one or several years to make the most of the actual self-recorded rain gauge database of meteorological stations in our country today.

4.4.1. The case where the actual self-recorded rainfall data series at meteorological stations is continuous. This case is achieved at 9/12 meteorological stations selected for study: Muong Lay town station, Tuyen Quang city station, Lang - Hanoi city station, Ha Dong - Hanoi city station, Dong Hoi city station, Da Nang city station, Nha Trang city station, Buon Ma Thuot city station.

Ma Thuot, Can Tho City station, and at all calculation periods T = 5 minutes 1440 minutes.

In this case, the determination of a T,p is as shown in the diagram in Figure 3.1, section 3.1, chapter 3, but it should be noted when using the formulas in chapter 3 for the rainfall intensity parameters in chapter 4: it is necessary to replace the parameters in these formulas related to daily rainfall with the parameters of the calculated rainfall intensity period.

For the statistical data series a T max at meteorological stations in our country, the Cs/Cv ratio is often large, and the level of fluctuation is also very large as shown in the studies in chapter 2, so applying the Kritski-Menkel distribution function to calculate a T,p is appropriate.

When determining the calculated rainfall intensity parameters a T,p at period T and frequency p

By statistical analysis method for use in calculating the design flow of small drainage works on roads, it is recommended to use the allowable sampling error limit as: [ ' aT ] cp = 10% and [ ' Cv ] cp = 15%, refer to the irrigation standard QP.TL.C-6-77 [7]. According to the research results in the thesis, the number of years of self-recorded measurement and monitoring a T max in our country needs to be at least from n yc = 25 - 35 years. In case of expanding the allowable sampling error level of the dispersion coefficient Cv, the number of years of self-recorded measurement and monitoring required can be reduced to only n yc = 10 - 35 years. Usually, the larger the calculation period T, the longer the number of years of self-recorded measurement and monitoring required n yc (see Table PL.14-1 of Appendix 14 of the thesis appendix).

4.4.2. In case the actual self-recorded rainfall data series at meteorological stations is interrupted for one or several years of observation.

This case falls into 3/12 meteorological stations selected for research: Lang Son City station (interruption from 1979 - 1986, 8 years), Son Tay Town - Hanoi station (interruption from 1979 - 1982, 4 years), Vinh City station (interruption 1 year 1968 and from 1988 - 1990, 3 years), in all calculation periods T = 5ph 1440ph. During the entire observation period from 1960 - 2010, the interruption of some years as above was due to the broken automatic rain gauge.

In this case, a T,p is determined by statistical analysis according to the diagram in Figure 4.4 on the following page.

4.4.3. Results of constructing a-T-p curve using direct method at 12 research meteorological stations with actual rainfall data from 1960 - 2010 and recommendations.

- Detailed research content of the method of directly calculating the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at period T and frequency p can be found in Appendix 14 of the thesis appendix.

To shorten the time and improve the accuracy, FFC2008 [58] and TSTV2002 [57] software were used to support the calculation and drawing of theoretical frequency curves.

- The results of determining the calculated rainfall intensity a T,p at the period T and the frequency p at 12 meteorological stations selected for research with the actual self-recorded rainfall data series collected from 1960 - 2010 are established as a - T - p (rainfall intensity - time - frequency) relationship curves and lookup tables as in Appendix 3: from Graphs PL.3-1 to Graph PL.3-12 and from Tables PL.3-13 to Table PL.3-24. The values ​​of a T,p at 12 meteorological stations selected for research are established for frequency levels from p = 1% 99.99% and calculation periods T = 5ph, 10ph, 20ph, 30ph, 60ph, 180ph, 360ph, 540ph, 720ph, 1080ph, 1440ph.

The calculated rainfall intensity values ​​aT ,p determined by the direct method for the selected meteorological stations for study with actual self-recorded rainfall data collected from 1960 - 2010 all ensure to satisfy statistical testing standards with high reliability, R confidence 95 %.

- It is recommended to use the calculated rainfall intensity values ​​a T,p at period T and frequency p

calculated by direct method with actual self-recorded rainfall data from 1960 - 2010 at the locations of 12 research meteorological stations as shown in Appendix 3 of the thesis appendix, graphs and tables from PL.3-1 to PL.3-24, to calculate the flood flow of small drainage works on roads in areas with these meteorological stations. Appendix 3 applies to frequency levels p = 1% 99.99% and calculation periods T = 5ph 1440 ph.

Comment


Agree Privacy Policy *