Political, Legal, Socio-Economic Environment


- The psychology of using cash as a consumer habit among the population still accounts for the majority and has existed for a long time, so it is not possible to immediately abandon the habit of using cash to accept the conveniences of new payments. The majority of the population has a mentality of fear and apprehension of risks in using electronic banking services and modern distribution channels.


CONCLUSION OF CHAPTER 2

Based on the theoretical issues analyzed and presented in Chapter 1, in Chapter 2 the thesis presented an overview of the Vietnamese economic situation from 2004 to 2008, the development and overview of Vietnamese commercial banks and focused on studying the current status of retail activities of Vietnamese commercial banks in recent times. With illustrative data tables, the thesis comprehensively analyzed the current status of retail activities of Vietnamese commercial banks, thereby pointing out the results achieved, the limitations and the causes of those limitations.

Based on the analysis of the current retail activities of commercial banks, the thesis has drawn some lessons in retail activities: Vietnamese commercial banks need to develop a complete and clear retail development strategy, with appropriate investment in resources, facilities and technology systems to serve retail banking activities. Vietnamese commercial banks need to cooperate closely and compete fairly in retail activities to provide the most convenient products and services to the population, ensuring cost reduction and high business efficiency; Urgently invest in building a complete CRM system and MIS system to serve the development of retail banking activities and ensure strict risk management. At the same time, banks need to segment customers to have appropriate pricing policies as well as build and issue appropriate products and services to meet the needs of each customer group.


CHAPTER 3

SOLUTIONS TO DEVELOP RETAIL ACTIVITIES AT VIETNAMESE COMMERCIAL BANKS


3.1. ORIENTATION FOR DEVELOPMENT OF RETAIL ACTIVITIES OF VIETNAMESE COMMERCIAL BANKS [26,32,34,35,37,40,41]

3.1.1. Potential for retail development of Vietnamese commercial banks

3.1.1.1 Political, legal, socio-economic environment

Politics, law

Vietnam has had a stable political environment in recent years, and is forecasted to be increasingly improved and stable in the process of deep international integration. A fairly complete legal system, with fairly synchronous, consistent, stable and transparent legal documents will be a factor promoting the economy in general and banking business activities in particular, especially retail activities providing banking products and services for individual customers.

In recent years, the Vietnamese Government has been perfecting and promulgating new legal documents to guide and facilitate commercial banks in providing services in general and services for individual customers in particular. The regulations have helped commercial banks specify, simplify and computerize processes and procedures related to banking services such as electronic document regime, electronic signature, security regime, regulations on check payment, decree on foreign exchange management, etc. This is an open legal corridor to help banks deploy new services and products that are more suitable to customers' requirements. The system of these documents has created favorable conditions in the legal environment for commercial banks to expand and improve the efficiency of banking services for individual customers.


Economy

- Vietnam has a stable macro economy:

Although the world economic situation has fluctuated greatly, Vietnam's macro economy has maintained stable growth. This is a decisive factor ensuring the continuous growth of the personal customer service market in emerging economies like Vietnam and is also a basic premise to create trust for individual customers in using banking services. When people's material and spiritual life is constantly improved, the increasing savings rate in household income is a premise for banks to develop capital mobilization. Among the four main sources of savings (private, state, organization, and foreign), private savings are the largest and most readily available source of capital.

- Retail industry development :

Vietnam is considered a potential market for the development of the retail industry and has the attractiveness of an emerging market with a large consumer market with a large population of more than 86 million people, with about 65% of the population in working age, more than half of the population under 30 years old and people's income is increasing. This has brought Vietnam the fourth position in the world in retail opportunities after India, Russia and China. The size of the Vietnamese retail market in 2007 reached 732 trillion VND, in particular, with a growth rate of 20%/year, consumer spending in Vietnam is expected to reach 53 billion USD in 2010. According to the report of AT Kearney in 2008, Vietnam is considered the world's number 1 potential and investment priority retail market.

- Foreign investment increased sharply:

With its commitments when joining the WTO, and with advantages in geographical location, abundant resources and labor, especially a stable political and economic environment, Vietnam is a market with great potential to attract foreign investment capital. Foreign-invested enterprises attract more workers,


These will be potential customer areas for commercial banks to provide services to individuals in these booming industrial zones.

-Service industries are increasingly developing :

Service industries such as aviation, sales distribution, training, insurance, transportation, telecommunications, electricity, water, housing, self-service points of sale, tourism, hotels, transportation... have grown significantly in volume and scope, the number of payments for these services by individual customers is increasing. Vietnamese commercial banks consider this a potential segment of individual customers to link up to provide collection payment services or electronic services via phone, internet, cards, checks...

Society

With nearly 86 million people, ranked 13th in the world, Vietnam is considered a country with a young and dynamic population. The large and constantly growing population, high proportion of young population, increasing education level, relatively stable income are prerequisites for developing the personal customer service market for commercial banks, as well as financial institutions. The total population is expected to reach 90 million people by 2020, of which the urban population is expected to account for 35-50%. The income of the population in recent years has tended to increase. According to statistics, the urban population currently accounts for 24% of the country's population, or about 20 million people. In large cities such as Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, the dense population, a total of about 8-9 million people, a relatively high average income, and large consumption demand, are good conditions for developing payment activities, especially bank cards.

Consumer habits are gradually changing: Although cash payments are still relatively popular, consumer styles in society are becoming more civilized, retail trade has been changing quite strongly with the emergence of many distribution systems such as supermarkets, large-scale store systems... And at these very points, payment methods through


Cards are an increasingly popular means. As society develops, people's thinking and habits gradually change, typically the habit of using ATM cards. At the same time, with the advancement of science and technology, people are gradually getting used to modern means of payment such as cards, checks, electronic banking services... and have realized the advantages of non-cash payment methods.

3.1.1.2. Technology

The national IT and telecommunications system is increasingly developing synchronously, creating a foundation for the development process, diversifying service products and improving the quality of banking services. The development of telecommunications and information technology will create conditions for the emergence of online payment channels such as Internet banking, Phone banking, SMS Banking, and the most popular and convenient means is payment cards. This will be a fundamental factor creating the premise for the development of e-commerce, a form of online trading of goods and services. It can be said that the prospect of e-commerce development in Vietnam in the coming time is very high, creating opportunities for banks to promote card issuance and payment activities and other electronic banking services.

Vietnam has had a very strong growth rate in telephone and Internet subscribers in recent years. According to Table 3.1, as of June 2008, all telecommunication networks in the country had 61.8 million units, with a telephone density of 69.5/100 people, a very high rate compared to other countries in the region. With a growth rate of 35-37%/year continuously for many years, the country has had 7.1 million Internet subscribers meeting the needs of 20.1 million users, reaching a density of 23.6/100 people, higher than the average of the ASEAN region and the world; far surpassing Thailand (12.65%), China (9.41%), Philippines (9.12%)... It is estimated that by 2010, the density of Internet subscribers will be 35-40%, this will really create an Internet whirlwind, people will have access to technology, banks will have a wide open market to develop electronic banking services such as Internet Banking, Phone Banking, SMS banking...


Table 3.1: Summary of the development situation of Vietnam's telecommunications network



2004

2005

2006

2007

6/ 2008

1. Phone:

Total number of machines (million machines)

Number of telephones developed in the year (million units)

Telephone density / 100 people


10.28


2.97


12.56


15.76


5.48


19.00


27.46


11.70


32.57


46.94


19.48


55.2


61.80


14.86


69.50

2. Internet:






Total subscribers (Million subscribers)

1.90

2.88

4.06

5.10

7.10

Number of subscribers growing during the year (Million)

subscriber)


1.05


1.20


1.18


1.04


2.00

Number of users

5.90

10.62

14.84

18.20

20.10

Subscriber density (%)

7.17

13.00

17.67

21.40

23.60

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Political, Legal, Socio-Economic Environment

Source: Summary report of Vietnam Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications

With the macro economy continuing to grow steadily, Vietnam is entering the pre-industrialization stage with a large population and rapidly increasing per capita income along with the promotion of industrialization, modernization, and the rapid improvement of the national information technology and telecommunications system, creating a potential market for Vietnamese commercial banks to develop their retail banking activities.

3.1.1.3 Advantages of Vietnamese commercial banks

Direct competitors of Vietnamese commercial banks are foreign banks, foreign joint venture banks, and non-financial organizations. Despite advantages in technology and staff qualifications, up to now, the market share of deposit mobilization of the group of foreign bank branches only accounts for about 10% of the total deposit mobilization of the entire system. The lending market share only accounts for a small lending market share, and in recent years, it has generally tended to decrease (although the total outstanding loans of this group have increased, but at a slower rate than domestic banks). The branches


Foreign bank branches have limited operating networks, do not have access to cheap capital sources (payment deposits, deposits from residents), have few opportunities to compete on interest rates, are not familiar with the market... The strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and challenges of foreign banks can be assessed through analysis table 3.2.

Table 3.2 Analysis of foreign banks using SWOT model


Strengths

- Strong financial capacity

- Good management skills

- Good management and administration skills

- Modern technology

- Good human resources

- Perfect service quality

- Diverse products and services, many utilities

Weaknesses

- Limited market share

- Small transaction network

- High price of products and services

- Low profitability

- Poor understanding of business environment and consumer habits

- Lack of understanding of customers

Opportunities

- Political and legal environment is increasingly improved

-Vietnam's economy develops sustainably

- Favorable cultural and social environment

- Penetration and openness are increasingly deep and wide

Threats

- Industry competitors

-Limited human resources

- Incompatible technology infrastructure

- Changing economic environment

Meanwhile, Vietnamese commercial banks are in the process of strong restructuring to operate according to international practices. Banks are aiming to develop into a multi-functional bank, operating on par with banks in the region. Vietnamese commercial banks are making fundamental innovations in governance, improving financial capacity and operational capacity, and banking services for individual customers are one of the service groups with strong development potential, capable of creating many added values ​​for economic processes and social utilities.


It can be seen that Vietnamese commercial banks have great strengths and opportunities in developing their operations in general and retail operations in particular, as shown in Table 3.3.

Table 3.3: Analysis of Vietnamese commercial banks according to SWOT model



Strengths

- Understand customer needs, provide products and services that meet customer needs

- Large market share

-Wide trading network

-Low transaction costs, simple procedures

- Deep understanding of business environment, customers and consumer habits


Weaknesses

- Limited financial capacity

- Management capacity and management level are not really good

- Human resources are often of low quality.

- Low quality of service

- Products and services are not diverse and have few utilities.

- Poor connection between Vietnamese commercial banks

tight

Opportunities

- Political and legal environment is increasingly improved

- Vietnam's economy is developing stably.

- Favorable cultural and social environment

- Technology development creates conditions for Vietnamese commercial banks to apply and develop convenient service products.

- Penetration and openness are increasingly deep and wide

- Competition and cooperation between commercial banks increased, creating motivation for

NHTMVN development

Threats

- Fierce competition among commercial banks in all fields and scope of operations

- There is no clear strategy in developing NHBL activities.

- Human resources are limited

- Changing economic environment

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